Largest Company end of October 2026?
65%NVIDIA
- NVIDIA65%▲ 2
- Apple34%▼ 3
- Alphabet<1%
6 more
- Microsoft<1%
- Tesla<1%
- Saudi Aramco<1%
- Broadcom<1%
- Amazon<1%
- SpaceX<1%
Install
Starlink active subscribers in Q3
Settled Between 13,500,000 and 14,000,000A day before, traders had a median of 13.75M
The last odds before it closed
—
- ✓ Above 12.5 million—
- ✓ Above 13 million—
- ✓ Above 13.5 million97%▼ 1
- Above 14 million99%▲ 5
- Above 14.5 million1%▼ 57
- Above 15 million1%▼ 19
- Above 15.5 million54%▲ 41
- Above 16 million54%▲ 49
How the odds have moved
Above 14 million: 86% on Oct 20, 4% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Last odds | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✓ Above 12.5 million | — | |||||
| ✓ Above 13 million | — | |||||
| ✓ Above 13.5 million | 97% | 200 | ||||
| ✗ Above 14 million | 99% | 1.8K | ||||
| ✗ Above 14.5 million | 1% | 2.6K | ||||
| ✗ Above 15 million | 1% | 3.6K | ||||
| ✗ Above 15.5 million | 54% | 635 | ||||
| ✗ Above 16 million | 54% | 415 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Starlink
Search ›-
Elon Musk Says Ukraine Violated Starlink TermsOct 24, 2026 at 05:30 PM EDT Amid the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war, Elon Musk said Kyiv violated the terms of SpaceX’s commercial Starlink service by using it for offensive drone strikes, as Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said… -
Elon Musk REVEALS why Starlink was disrupted in UkraineSpaceX CEO Elon Musk explained in an X post why Starlink access was disrupted in Ukraine, saying that the country's military violated the terms of service. Elon Musk REVEALS why Starlink was disrupted in Ukraine -
Ukraine denies violating Starlink terms as satellite services returnFox & Friends' co-host Brian Kilmeade discusses the restoration of Starlink services in Ukraine, questions surrounding Elon Musk's role and his new book, 'Uniting the States.' ... Ukraine denies violating Starlink terms as satellite… -
Elon Musk details why Ukraine’s Starlink service was disruptedFox News chief foreign correspondent Trey Yingst reports on the latest Russia attacks on Ukraine and breaks down concerns about Starlink access. The ‘Fox News Sunday’ panel provides analysis. Elon Musk details why Ukraine’s Starlink… -
Starlink seems to be working normally again in UkraineBuy One Founder Summit Ticket, Get a Second for Free. Register now. SpaceX appears to have lifted restrictions the Ukrainian military’s of use Starshield — the military-grade version of the company’s Starlink internet system. The Wall… -
Schiff: Hegseth Should Testify Over Starlink in Ukraine—‘Somebody Is Lying’Oct 25, 2026 at 12:22 PM EDT Oct 25, 2026 at 12:24 PM EDT Senator Adam Schiff, a California Democrat, said Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth and other administration officials should be called to testify about restrictions affecting Ukraine’s… -
Musk says SpaceX restricted Ukraine's Starlink connection as service restoredElon Musk has said his company SpaceX restricted Ukraine's Starlink internet service, after Ukrainian officials said connectivity issues appeared to have been resolved. Kyiv has not officially commented on Musk's latest claim but Ukrainian… - The autocrats waging war on StarlinkBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. How Washington can…
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GOP Sen. Tillis says "guardrails and accountability" needed after Starlink Ukraine slowdownAfter Elon Musk's SpaceX temporarily throttled Starlink satellite communication system in Ukraine, Sen. Thom Tillis joined the growing number of Republican lawmakers speaking out against it. "I get it's a private company, but they're… -
Ukraine says Starlink is back to normal after disruptionsUkraine's President Volodymyr Zelenskyy answers media questions before his meeting with Finnish Prime Minister Petteri Orpo in Kyiv, Ukraine, on Thursday. Efrem Lukatsky/AP hide caption Ukraine said Saturday that the Starlink satellite… -
Elon Musk says SpaceX closed Ukraine Starlink ‘loophole’ after limits hit drone operationsElon Musk has said his company imposed limits on the use of its Starlink satellite system in Ukraine last week, after curbs led to disruption to Ukrainian military operations. Ukraine said Saturday that both Starlink, run by Musk’s SpaceX… -
Musk confirms SpaceX was behind thwarting of Ukraine’s Starlink access: ‘Evil warmongers’Elon Musk has all but confirmed his company SpaceX was the one that throttled Ukraine’s access to its crucial satellite internet system, undermining the country at a vulnerable time in its fight against Russia. Musk claimed Saturday that…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions