SpaceX Starship 15th launch? (SpaceX Starship (15th launch))

Kalshi Tech › Space Closes Dec 10 · $410 today · $19.8K traded · $10.3K at stake · prices read 38 min ago

The odds

Nov 21, 2026even chance by
  • Before Oct 30, 20261%
  • Before Nov 13, 202621%▼ 2
  • Before Nov 27, 202675%▲ 4
  • Before Dec 11, 202693%▲ 1

How the odds have moved

Before Oct 30, 2026: 1% on Oct 20, 1% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Before Oct 16, 2026 1% $100.00 27.8K
Before Oct 30, 2026 1% 1¢ $100.00 36.1K
Before Nov 13, 2026 21% ▼ 2 20¢ 22¢ $4.55 16.9K
Before Nov 27, 2026 75% ▲ 4 72¢ 77¢ $1.30 12.1K
Before Dec 11, 2026 93% ▲ 1 91¢ 94¢ $1.06 7.2K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Starship, SpaceX, SpaceX Starship

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  • NASA Confirms SpaceX's Starship Refueling Estimate! [17:21]freerepublic.com · 4 days agoNASA Confirms SpaceX's Starship Refueling Estimate! | 17:21 Ellie in Space | 232K subscribers | 1,683 views | October 23, 2026 Or by mail to: Free Republic, LLC - PO Box 9771 - Fresno, CA 93794 Thank you very much and God bless you. If you…
  • SpaceX ignites giant Super Heavy booster engines ahead of daring Starship launch (video)Space · 20 h agoThe next time Starship launches, could be one of its most challenging missions yet. SpaceX is shooting for new heights with its upcoming Starship test flight, and the booster tapped for the mission is in its final stretch of preparations…
  • SpaceX to attempt ‘profound’ feat in next Starship launchThe Independent · 19 h agoElon Musk says it will mark major ‘milestone in the history of civilisation and consciousness’ SpaceX is preparing for a “profound technology milestone” by attempting to catch both parts of its Starship rocket next month. The fifteenth…
  • Starship Lunar Lander to Be Tested by NASA During Artemis III, Spacecraft Comes with No Crew Cabinautoevolution · 23 h agoAt the end of last week, American space agency NASA announced the latest details of the Artemis III effort, giving us a clearer idea of how four astronauts (Randy Bresnik, Frank Rubio, Andre Douglas, and Luca Parmitano) and their Orion…
  • SpaceX Starship Flight 15 Plans to Catch Ship, Super HeavyTech Times · 5 days agoSpaceX has been steadily building toward a milestone that would close the full reuse loop on the world's largest rocket, and the next test flight appears set to be the most ambitious yet. The company has now laid out what it is targeting…
  • What SpaceX Just Revealed About Starship Is Incredible!freerepublic.com · 3 days agoThis video, hosted by Marcus House, covers a packed week of space news with a primary focus on SpaceX's Starship program and other aerospace developments. Starship and SpaceX Updates: Flight 14 Recap: The video highlights Flight 14, noting…
  • Why would Musk merge SpaceX and Tesla?STLtoday.com · 47 h agoElon Musk said Tuesday that a merger of his two companies SpaceX and Tesla would ​be "a good idea" and that they had formed special committees to discuss a union, sending shares of the space and technology company up 8% in extended…
  • SpaceX's AI infrastructure plans are not yet fully priced in, analysts sayCNBC · 20 h agoSpace Exploration Technologies is likely to rally as its artificial intelligence infrastructure plans take shape, according to a pair of analysts. Bernstein, which has an outperforming rating on the ...
  • SpaceX locks in $40B GPU financing deal with ApolloTechCrunch · 19 h agoSpaceX has reached a binding commitment for roughly $40 billion in financing for AI chips and related data center equipment, the company disclosed in a regulatory filing Monday. SpaceX called the deal the “largest committed GPU financing”…
  • Buy Tesla ahead of potential SpaceX merger, says BarclaysCNBC · 25 h agoA potential merger with SpaceX makes Tesla a buy, according to Barclays. The bank upgraded the electric vehicle stock to overweight from equal weight. It also hiked its price target to $450 from $370, ...
  • Elon Musk vows to give every US child SpaceX stockFox News · 19 h agoElon Musk announces a plan to give one share of SpaceX stock to every child in America. The 'Big Money Show' debates the business and charitable aspects of this multi-billion dollar giveaway, contrasting it with Anthropic's decision to…
  • NASA says Artemis program adjustments improve shot at 2028 moon landingCBS News · 3 days agoUpdated on: October 23, 2026 / 8:05 PM EDT / CBS News NASA is pressing ahead with Artemis moon program revisions to give the agency its best shot at a lunar landing in 2028 using a lander built by either Elon Musk's SpaceX or Jeff Bezos'…

Related markets

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Tech › Space

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?

70%November 30, 2026
  • November 30, 202670%▼ 5
  • Chopsticks catch Super Heavy booster?62%▼ 13
  • Chopsticks catch Starship?39%▼ 15
4 more
  • Super Heavy booster explodes?36%▼ 10
  • Successful splash down?26%
  • November 15, 202621%▼ 5
  • October 31, 2026<1%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions