Will NewJeans release a new song this year? (Before Jan 2027)

Kalshi Culture › Music Closes Dec 31 · $1 today · $1.9K traded · $801 at stake · prices read 68 min ago

The odds

59%chance▼ 1

How the odds have moved

Yes: 56% on Oct 20, 59% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
Yes	59%	▼ 1	57¢	61¢	$1.64	3.2K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: NewJeans

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NewJeans' Haneul, Overtakes Haerin to Rank No. 2 in Star Ranking Female Idol Category… Shining PresenceSTARNEWS · 4 days agoHaneul of the group NewJeans recorded the No. 2 spot in the Star Ranking female idol ranking. In the 260th Star Ranking female idol voting, which ran from 3:01 p.m. on the 15th to 3:00 p.m. on the 22nd, Haneul secured the No. 2 position…
NewJeans members are resurfacing. So when is the comeback?The Korea Herald · 5 days agoPublished : Oct. 21, 2026 - 15:23:03 Updated : Oct. 21, 2026 - 18:28:38 Danielle's latest YouTube video fuels reunion speculation, but Hanni and Minji remain out of the public eye A dog believed to belong to Hanni and a voice resembling…
Danielle's Melbourne Vlog Highlights NewJeans Bonds with Hanni Visit and Group NodsX (formerly Twitter) · 5 days agoIn her 10-minute YouTube video 'Sisters in Melbourne,' Danielle visits bandmate Hanni, giggles with her fluffy white and brown dogs, and features five colorful ice cream cones fans link to all NewJeans members. Subtle touches like Minji's…
A2O Lite’s ‘Neon’ Shatters K-Pop Debut Records, Outpacing NewJeans on MelonDaily Drama · 9 days agoMarcus came to DailyDrama.com by accident — a spoiler he posted on a Reddit thread went viral, and the rest is history. Based in Chicago, he has a background in screenwriting and an almost unsettling ability to predict plot twists three…
A2O Lite tops Melon faster than NewJeansThe Korea Herald · 11 days agoK-pop A2O Lite tops Melon faster than NewJeans Published : Oct. 15, 2026 - 14:06:22 K-pop team leader and staff reporter at The Korea Herald with 12+ years of journalism experience. Covers K-pop and the music business through exclusives…
K-pop girl group A2O Lite tops Melon faster than NewJeansThe Straits Times · 11 days agoA2O Lite topped Melon’s Top 100 chart just 29 hours after releasing its debut single Neon. Published Oct 15, 2026, 07:05 PM SEOUL – A2O Lite, the new girl group produced by Lee Soo-man and A2O Entertainment, topped Melon’s Top 100 chart…
NewJeans, a genuine internal battle… Hani ranks 3rd in Star Ranking’s female idol categorySTARNEWS · 11 days agoHani of the group NewJeans climbed to third place in the Star Ranking Star Idol Female ranking. In the 259th Star Ranking Star Idol Female voting, which ran from 3:01 p.m. on the 8th to 3:00 p.m. on the 15th, Hani received 14,100 votes…
“Illit Plagiarized NewJeans”: Min Hee-jin Referred to Prosecutors; Official Statement Cites “Cyberbullying”The Sportschosun · 12 days ago[Sportschosun reporter Baek Ji-eun] Former ADOR CEO Min Hee-jin has been referred to prosecutors. On the 1st, the Seoul Yongsan Police Station referred former CEO Min to prosecutors on charges of business obstruction and defamation. At a…
Min Hee-jin referred to prosecutors over claims ILLIT copied NewJeanskoreajoongangdaily · 12 days agoPolice referred the former ADOR CEO to prosecutors over allegations she spread false claims that ILLIT copied NewJeans. Former ADOR CEO Min Hee-jin, who accused girl group ILLIT of plagiarizing NewJeans, has been referred to prosecutors on…
“Illit copied NewJeans”... Min Hee-jin referred to the Prosecution Service on suspicion of obstruction of businessThe Sportschosun · 12 days ago[Sportschosun reporter Lee Ji-hyun] Former ADOR CEO Min Hee-jin, who has claimed that girl group Illit plagiarized NewJeans’ concept, was referred to the Prosecution Service on suspicion of obstruction of business and defamation. Two ADOR…
Police refer Min Hee-jin and aides to prosecutors for defamation over ILLIT-NewJeans claimsCHOSUNBIZ · 12 days agoThrough a press conference in which she used coarse language and harsh attacks and provoked controversy, former ADOR CEO Min Hee-jin was referred to the public prosecutor on charges of defamation and obstruction of business. According to…
Min Hee-jin Referred to Prosecution for Defamation and Business Obstruction over Allegations That ILLIT Plagiarized NewJeansSBS News · 12 days ago▲ Former ADOR CEO Min Hee-jin Former ADOR CEO Min Hee-jin, who has repeatedly raised suspicions that girl group ILLIT from HYBE subsidiary Belift Lab plagiarized ADOR's NewJeans, has been referred to the prosecutors' office on charges…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onSpotify

Trading closesDec 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET

Traded$1.9K (3,170 contracts)

Today$1

This week$162

At stake$801

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If NewJeans releases a new song before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

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