Who will release a new song this year? (2026)

Kalshi Culture › Music Closes Jan 8, 2027 · $6 today · $38.1K traded · $22.6K at stake · prices read 2 h ago

The odds

97%PARTYNEXTDOOR
  • PARTYNEXTDOOR97%
  • Zara Larsson96%
  • The Weeknd90%
  • Dua Lipa88%
  • Eminem88%▼ 1
  • Bad Bunny87%
  • The Marías87%
  • Billie Eilish86%
  • Justin Bieber81%
  • Clairo75%
  • Addison Rae72%
  • NF71%
14 more
  • Geese70%
  • Olivia Dean68%
  • Coldplay67%
  • Nicki Minaj65%
  • Shawn Mendes62%
  • Fall Out Boy62%▼ 35
  • Mariah Carey53%
  • Rihanna43%
  • Linkin Park41%▼ 1
  • Kendrick Lamar28%
  • Migos23%
  • Daft Punk14%▲ 5
  • Frank Ocean13%▼ 4
  • Post Malone3%

How the odds have moved

PARTYNEXTDOOR: 97% on Oct 21, 97% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
✓ Camilo 99% $1.01 110
✓ Lil Nas X 99% $1.01 3.2K
✓ Ice Spice 99% $1.01 354
✓ Big Sean 98% $1.02 310
PARTYNEXTDOOR 97% 96¢ $1.04 241
✓ Tate McRae 96% ▼ 4 $1.04 961
Zara Larsson 96% 94¢ $1.06 298
✓ Justin Timberlake 92% $1.09 2.4K
The Weeknd 90% 4¢ 86¢ $1.16 2.8K
✓ Chappell Roan 90% $1.11 2.4K
Dua Lipa 88% 96¢ $1.04 446
Eminem 88% ▼ 1 84¢ 91¢ $1.10 1.8K
Bad Bunny 87% 2¢ 95¢ $1.05 1.9K
The Marías 87% 26¢ 91¢ $1.10 516
Billie Eilish 86% 3¢ 84¢ $1.19 2.3K
Justin Bieber 81% 2¢ 81¢ $1.23 2.1K
Clairo 75% 42¢ 81¢ $1.23 752
Addison Rae 72% 7¢ 70¢ $1.43 2.1K
NF 71% 25¢ 71¢ $1.41 2.5K
Geese 70% 75¢ $1.33 2.5K
Olivia Dean 68% 34¢ 64¢ $1.56 1.2K
Coldplay 67% 2¢ 67¢ $1.49 2.3K
Nicki Minaj 65% 24¢ 58¢ $1.72 2.2K
Shawn Mendes 62% 64¢ $1.56 705
Fall Out Boy 62% ▼ 35 58¢ 66¢ $1.52 4.3K
Mariah Carey 53% 2¢ 57¢ $1.75 2.2K
Rihanna 43% 5¢ 49¢ $2.04 4.5K
Linkin Park 41% ▼ 1 37¢ 45¢ $2.22 1.9K
Kendrick Lamar 28% 13¢ 39¢ $2.56 1.6K
Migos 23% 18¢ 96¢ $1.04 2.0K
Daft Punk 14% ▲ 5 9¢ 18¢ $5.56 715
Frank Ocean 13% ▼ 4 11¢ 14¢ $7.14 4.5K
✓ Roddy Ricch 10% $10.00 381
Post Malone 3% 98¢ $1.02 311

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Zara Larsson, The Weeknd

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No recent headlines name this market's subject.

Related markets

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Junior Eurovision Winner 2026

99%Armenia
  • Armenia99%▲ 56
  • Albania<1%▼ 1
  • Azerbaijan<1%▼ 1
15 more
  • Croatia<1%▼ 2
  • Cyprus<1%▼ 4
  • France<1%▼ 13
  • Georgia<1%▼ 6
  • Ireland<1%▼ 14
  • Italy<1%▼ 1
  • Malta<1%▼ 22
  • Montenegro<1%▼ 2
  • Netherlands<1%▼ 2
  • North Macedonia<1%▼ 9
  • Poland<1%▼ 7
  • Portugal<1%▼ 1
  • San Marino<1%▼ 4
  • Spain<1%▼ 25
  • Ukraine<1%▼ 16

Pro Football Championship Halftime Show: Headliner(s) (2027)

81%JAY-Z
  • JAY-Z81%▲ 7
  • Beyoncé28%▲ 7
  • Miley Cyrus12%▲ 8
54 more
  • Harry Styles7%▼ 1
  • Taylor Swift7%▲ 2
  • Justin Bieber6%▼ 1
  • Lady Gaga6%▲ 2
  • Rihanna4%
  • Kanye West / Ye4%
  • Ariana Grande3%
  • Lil Wayne2%▼ 1
  • Sabrina Carpenter2%▲ 1
  • Cardi B2%▲ 1
  • Ella Langley2%▲ 1
  • Oasis2%
  • Adele2%
  • AC/DC2%
  • BTS2%
  • Imagine Dragons2%
  • Guns N' Roses2%
  • Eagles2%
  • Katy Perry2%
  • Linkin Park2%
  • SZA2%
  • Travis Scott2%
  • Backstreet Boys2%
  • Elton John2%
  • Pink2%
  • Pearl Jam2%
  • Chris Brown2%
  • Christina Aguilera2%
  • Doja Cat2%
  • Megan Thee Stallion2%
  • Ice Spice2%
  • Cynthia Erivo2%
  • Tyler, The Creator2%
  • Tate McRae2%▼ 3
  • Drake2%
  • Billie Eilish2%
  • Foo Fighters2%
  • Lil Baby2%
  • Chappell Roan2%
  • Post Malone2%
  • Dua Lipa2%
  • Metallica2%
  • Morgan Wallen2%▼ 1
  • Karol G2%
  • Green Day2%
  • Coldplay2%
  • Mariah Carey2%
  • BLACKPINK2%
  • Outkast2%
  • T-Pain2%
  • Stevie Wonder2%
  • Sexyy Red1%
  • Ed Sheeran1%
  • Madonna1%
KalshiCloses Feb 15, 2027 · $7.4K today

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions