The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Above 486 million
95%
91¢
99¢
$1.01
259
Above 488 million
93%
89¢
96¢
$1.04
560
Above 490 million
91%
86¢
95¢
$1.05
299
Above 492 million
90%
85¢
94¢
$1.06
523
Above 494 million
76%
71¢
81¢
$1.23
1.5K
Above 496 million
29%
9¢
76¢
$1.32
1.5K
Above 498 million
29%
13¢
80¢
$1.25
888
Above 500 million
29%
93¢
$1.08
1.1K
Above 502 million
27%
22¢
31¢
$3.23
203
Above 504 million
18%
16¢
19¢
$5.26
285
Above 506 million
11%
10¢
12¢
$8.33
141
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Bills snap counts vs. Raiders: What playing time in Las Vegas revealedYahoo Sports · 16 h agoThe Buffalo Bills escaped Las Vegas with a 33-30 victory over the Raiders on Sunday, improving to 5-1 on the season. While the scoreboard tells one story, the snap counts reveal another, particularly when it comes to offensive personnel…
Oregon Snaps Winless Streak With 2-0 Victory Over Fresno StateOregon State Beavers On SI · 30 h agoAfter beating Bushnell on August 19th, the Oregon State Beavers drew or lost in their next 12 games. That streak is finally over, as the Beavers took down Fresno State 2-0 Thursday night for their first win in the new Pac-12 Conference…
Lions HC Dan Campbell Snaps at Reporter Over Sam LaPorta QuestionsNewsweek · 33 h agoOct 23, 2026 at 05:32 PM EDT Detroit Lions head coach Dan Campbell became increasingly frustrated with a reporter continuing to ask questions about tight end Sam LaPorta, prompting the coach to snap and ultimately leave the podium. Earlier…
Many economists doubted SNAP soda restrictions would work. They were wrong.The Washington Post · 2 days agoBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. What new evidence…
NJ mayor who lunged at critic admits he ‘snapped’ — and ‘would do it again’New York Post · 32 h agoThe New Jersey mayor who had to be restrained after charging at a vocal critic during a township council meeting admitted that he “just basically snapped” — but “would do it again.” Pemberton Township Mayor Matthew Bianchini, 59, said it…
DOJ unveils alleged $42 million SNAP fraud schemeFox News · 2 days agoFox News DOJ unveils alleged $42 million SNAP fraud scheme Colin McDonald, assistant attorney general for the National Fraud Enforcement Division, joins ‘America's Newsroom’ to discuss the DOJ’s crackdown on an alleged $42 million SNAP…
Trump SNAPS at CNN reporter over Putin questionFox News · 2 days agoFox News Trump SNAPS at CNN reporter over Putin question President Trump fires back at a CNN reporter questioning him about his talks with Vladimir Putin over the war in Ukraine, pointing to an American prisoner returning home from Russia.
Atlanta Rapper Shawty Dred Indicted in $42M Federal SNAP Fraud SweepRolling Stone · 2 days agoAtlanta rapper Shawty Dred has been indicted by the United States Department of Justice as part of an alleged $42M fraud scheme involving SNAP benefits. On Wednesday (Oct. 21), the Department of Justice’s Office of Public Affairs released…
Elizabeth Warren warns of "food insecurity crisis" from SNAP cuts and higher pricesCBS News · 2 days agoOctober 22, 2026 / 9:48 AM EDT / CBS News Americans are facing a "food insecurity crisis" after shouldering an additional $22 billion in food costs due to rising inflation and billions of dollars in food-stamp cuts, according to Sen…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.