Install
Silver at 3:30pm ET · Fed decision
The odds
How the odds have moved
Median: $51.46 on Nov 12, $50 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above $43.00 | 88% | ▼ 5 | 84¢ | 91¢ | $1.10 | |
| Above $44.00 | 85% | ▼ 5 | 81¢ | 88¢ | $1.14 | |
| Above $45.00 | 81% | ▼ 6 | 77¢ | 84¢ | $1.19 | |
| Above $46.00 | 76% | ▼ 8 | 72¢ | 79¢ | $1.27 | |
| Above $47.00 | 70% | ▼ 9 | 66¢ | 74¢ | $1.35 | |
| Above $48.00 | 64% | ▼ 10 | 60¢ | 67¢ | $1.49 | |
| Above $49.00 | 57% | ▼ 11 | 53¢ | 61¢ | $1.64 | |
| Above $50.00 | 50% | ▼ 12 | 46¢ | 54¢ | $1.85 | |
| Above $51.00 | 44% | ▼ 12 | 40¢ | 47¢ | $2.13 | |
| Above $52.00 | 37% | ▼ 12 | 33¢ | 40¢ | $2.50 | |
| Above $53.00 | 31% | ▼ 11 | 27¢ | 34¢ | $2.94 | |
| Above $54.00 | 25% | ▼ 11 | 21¢ | 28¢ | $3.57 | |
| Above $55.00 | 20% | ▼ 10 | 16¢ | 24¢ | $4.17 | |
| Above $56.00 | 16% | ▼ 9 | 12¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 | |
| Above $57.00 | 13% | ▼ 7 | 9¢ | 16¢ | $6.25 | |
| Above $58.00 | 10% | ▼ 6 | 6¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | |
| Above $59.00 | 8% | ▼ 5 | 4¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Federal Reserve, Fed, FOMC
Search ›- Federal Reserve reduces rate-setting meetings in 2027watch nowShareHalftime ReportFederal Reserve reduces rate-setting meetings in 2027 CNBC's Steve Liesman reports on a change to the Federal Reserve's rate-setting meeting schedule in 2027.01:2416 minutes ago Steve Liesman watch nowwatch…
- Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago PresidentYahoo Finance Video The Fed's Goolsbee discusses monetary policy for a new economy. Terms and Privacy Policy Privacy Dashboard More Info
- Federal Reserve Board announces pricing, effective January 1, 2027, for payment services the Federal Reserve Banks provide to banks and credit unions, and changes to streamline and adjust their check servicesHome News & Events Press Releases Press Release November 12, 2026 Federal Reserve Board announces pricing, effective January 1, 2027, for payment services the Federal Reserve Banks provide to banks and credit unions, and changes to…
- Rising Inflation Poses Challenges for Federal Reserve and ConsumersBusiness Rising Inflation Poses Challenges for Federal Reserve and Consumers By News Desk Last updated: November 11, 2026 4 Min Read Share Recent reports indicate that inflation in the United States continues to rise, posing challenges for…
- Federal Reserve’s Barr warns of agentic AI challenges for banksU.S. Government / Wikimedia Commons (Public domain) The Fed governor says banks will struggle to make sure autonomous AI agents actually do what customers ask by John Chen Thu 12 Nov 2026 · 10:56 EST 3 min read In Regulation Share Follow…
- Federal Reserve to Forgo Rate Decision at October 2027 MeetingPublished on 11/12/2026 at 01:31 pm EST - Modified on 11/12/2026 at 01:32 pm EST The Federal Reserve doesn't plan to make a decision on interest rates when its rate-setting committee convenes in October of next year, according to a…
- Federal ReserveAP Federal Reserve Julia Demaree Nikhinson - AP Nov 10, 2026 22 hrs ago 0 Federal Reserve Board Chairman Kevin Warsh speaks during a news conference at the Federal Reserve, Wednesday, Oct. 28, 2026, in Washington. Julia Demaree Nikhinson…
- Federal Reserve Board issues enforcement action with former employee of United Community BankHome News & Events Press Releases Press Release November 12, 2026 Federal Reserve Board issues enforcement action with former employee of United Community Bank For release at 11:00 a.m. EST Share The Federal Reserve Board on Thursday…
- Federal Reserve’s Rate Hike Chorus Gets LouderEconomic PoliciesFederal Reserve’s Rate Hike Chorus Gets Louder More work needs to be done to return inflation to 2 percent, according to several Federal Reserve officials.Mark Us Preferred on GoogleFederal Reserve chairman Kevin Warsh at…
- Federal Reserve announces revised tentative schedule of Federal Open Market Committee meetings in 2027Home News & Events Press Releases Press Release November 12, 2026 Federal Reserve announces revised tentative schedule of Federal Open Market Committee meetings in 2027 For release at 12:45 p.m. EST Share The Federal Reserve on Thursday…
- Hot US inflation report seals Federal Reserve rate increaseBusinessEconomy US Federal Reserve chairman Kevin Warsh speaks after a Federal Open Market Committee meeting, on a TV screen in the New York Stock Exchange. Bloomberg Show caption: US Federal Reserve chairman Kevin Warsh speaks after a…
- Federal Reserve: December rate hike expectations reinforced – CommerzbankNEWS|11/11/2026 08:30:46 GMTFederal Reserve: December rate hike expectations reinforced – Commerzbank FXStreet Insights TeamFXStreetCommerzbank’s Dr. Christoph Balz highlights that persistent US inflation keeps pressure on the Federal…
Related markets
All commodities ›Silver at 11:30pm ET · RBA decision (Dec 7, 2026 · 11:30pm ET · RBA decision)
Silver at 11:00am ET · Michigan consumer sentiment (preliminary)
Silver at 9:30am ET · US retail sales (Dec 16, 2026 · 9:30am ET · 1 hour after US retail sales)
Silver at 8:00am ET · Bank of England decision (Dec 17, 2026 · 8:00am ET · Bank of England decision)
Silver at 9:30am ET · ECB decision
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions