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Starbucks comparable transactions growth in 2026
The odds
How the odds have moved
Median: 4.42% on Oct 19, 4.35% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 2% | 96% | 92¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 68.00 | |
| Above 3% | 80% | ▼ 1 | 75¢ | 84¢ | $1.19 | 447 |
| Above 4% | 60% | ▲ 1 | 56¢ | 64¢ | $1.56 | 459 |
| Above 5% | 32% | 28¢ | 35¢ | $2.86 | 494 | |
| Above 6% | 11% | ▲ 1 | 6¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | |
| Above 7% | 6% | ▲ 1 | 2¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | 95.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Starbucks
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How Does Starbucks Make Money? The Starbucks Business Model ExplainedBy AkankshaSaturday October 24, 2026 This piece breaks down how Starbucks makes money, why its business strategy leans so heavily on scale and repeat purchases, and where the model is now being tested by rising costs and slower footfall… -
Starbucks wins $450K rent dispute with Queensland landlord[Bookmark This]Save (0) Please login to bookmark[Click to close bookmark panel/modal] Close Username or Email Address Password Remember Me Starbucks has prevailed in a bid by a landlord of the coffee chain’s Ripley, Queensland outlet to… -
No purchase, no seats: Starbucks China rolls out new policy"Purchase to sit" signs are popping up in Starbucks stores around China Taking a seat at a Starbucks in China? Just make sure you're also ordering something there. A new policy by Starbucks China takes effect across all its 8,000 stores on… -
Starbucks in SEA Airport’s Terminal A to close, affecting 13 employeesSEA TAC, Wash. — A WARN notice filed by HMSHost lists layoffs affecting 135 Starbucks workers in Seattle and at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (SEA), including 13 employees at an airport location that is closing. The Starbucks in… -
No order, no seat: Starbucks China rolls out new store policyTaking a seat at a Starbucks in China? Just make sure you're also ordering something there. A new policy by Starbucks China takes effect across all its 8,000 stores on Thursday, making it mandatory for people to purchase items if they want… -
Starbucks Brings Back Spooky Black Cat Frappuccino and Black Night CookieStarbucks has rolled out its spooky fall lineup, featuring the Black Cat Frappuccino and the Venti Black Night Cookie. The dark-themed treats are built for Halloween season and aimed at customers hunting for something eye-catching on… -
Starbucks Refreshers Strawberry Acai Concentrate Only $6.99 on AmazonFor a limited time, dash over to Amazon where you can snag this Starbucks Refreshers Concentrate Strawberry Acai 32oz for just $6.99 (regularly $8.97)! Starbucks Refreshers Concentrate Strawberry Acai 32oz Only $6.99 (reg. $8.97)! *Compare… -
Starbucks Earnings: Will Brian Niccol’s $500M Gamble Live Up to the Hype on Oct 29?Starbucks (NASDAQ:SBUX | SBUX Price Prediction) reports fiscal fourth-quarter results Thursday, October 29, after the close. Shares are up 21.89% this year. Now Brian Niccol has to show his turnaround can handle new store closings while… -
Starbucks Pledges Up to 650 New Stores While Closing 1% of North American CoffeehousesLisa Fotios and Abhinav Goswami from Pexels via Canva Two weeks ago, Starbucks (SBUX) had to tell the market it was not buying Chipotle (CMG). That says a lot about how confident investors have become in Brian Niccol’s turnaround. The… -
Starbucks stores worldwide: Top 15 countries with the most outlets, US leads with 16,933Starbucks' global footprint remains heavily concentrated in the United States and China, with several Asian markets also emerging as major hubs for the coffee chain. The latest figures featured in Visual Capitalist's country-wise mapping… -
We Tried Ordering Starbucks in a Pumpkin - and It Actually WorkedFall has officially arrived at Starbucks, and one curious Rock Hill Herald reporter decided to put a seasonal twist to the test by trying to order a coffee served in a pumpkin. The unusual request turned out to be more doable than… -
What Could Lift Starbucks Stock?For questions about this article or underlying research, email [email protected]. Starbucks’ Upside Comes From Wider Margins And Higher Sales The profit Starbucks makes on each sale matters most. In the scenario in the table below, Starbucks…
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- Microsoft<1%
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Largest Company end of December 2026?
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- Apple38%▼ 1
- Alphabet2%
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Walmart Credit Card Spend in October (October 2026)
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions