Largest Company end of October 2026?
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6 more
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Rivian vehicles delivered in Q1 2027
The odds
27,600median
13,00037,000
Median 27,600Middle half 24,333 – 31,167
How the odds have moved
Median: 27,588 on Oct 20, 27,600 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 15000 | 98% | 94¢ | $1.03 | 200 | ||
| Above 17000 | 98% | 96¢ | $1.03 | 400 | ||
| Above 19000 | 96% | 92¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 1.4K | |
| Above 21000 | 92% | 89¢ | 95¢ | $1.05 | 400 | |
| Above 23000 | 83% | 79¢ | 87¢ | $1.15 | 190 | |
| Above 25000 | 71% | 67¢ | 75¢ | $1.33 | 1.8K | |
| Above 27000 | 57% | 54¢ | 61¢ | $1.64 | 1.3K | |
| Above 29000 | 33% | ▲ 1 | 29¢ | 36¢ | $2.78 | 1.2K |
| Above 31000 | 26% | ▲ 1 | 22¢ | 30¢ | $3.33 | 429 |
| Above 33000 | 14% | 10¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | ||
| Above 35000 | 10% | 6¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | 236 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Rivian
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Rivian buys world model startup to accelerate self-driving ambitionsBuy One Founder Summit Ticket, Get a Second for Free. Register now. EV maker Rivian has acquired Third Dimension, a UK startup founded by veterans of the gaming and autonomous vehicle industries that uses AI to turn images and videos into… -
Engadget review recap: iPhone Duo, Rivian R2 and moreA roundup of recent reviews from Engadget. There's no doubt the iPhone Duo was one of the most-anticipated devices of the year. Surprisingly, Apple's first attempt at a folding phone doesn't seem like a first-generation device. Yes, it's… -
3 Things Investors Might Not Know About Rivian's $4.5 Billion LoanRivian (RIVN -3.21%) is on the cusp of becoming the next legitimate electric vehicle (EV) investment on the market. There are many things investors don't understand about such a young company, especially about Rivian's $4.5 billion… -
Prediction: Here's What a $5,000 Investment in Rivian Will Be Worth in 5 YearsRivian Automotive (RIVN -1.16%) trades around $12 per share, giving the electric vehicle manufacturer a market capitalization of about $18 billion. That's a fraction of Tesla's valuation, but Rivian still has a long way to go before… -
Rivian Shines as a Bright Spot in a Down U.S. EV Market, and Surprisingly, It's Not All R2 DrivenWith that said, let's take a look at the newest data that highlights Rivian Automotive's (RIVN -1.91%) surge toward the top during a rough overall month, trailing only Tesla (TSLA -0.63%) in August EV registrations. Going forward, after… -
Rivian buys startup to turn 400,000 daily clips into 3D simsRivian wants to rebuild the roads its customers drive as 3D test worlds for its self-driving system, and it just bought a 15-person UK startup called Third Dimension to do it, as first reported by TechCrunch. The startup was founded in… -
Rivian buys UK simulation startup Third Dimension AI to speed up self-driving workRivian is buying its way into better simulation as it pushes toward hands-free driving and robotaxis. The EV maker announced on Thursday that it has acquired Third Dimension AI, just a week after it launched an early access program for… -
Rivian acquires AI startup Third Dimension to advance self-driving techRivian has acquired Third Dimension, a UK startup that uses artificial intelligence to turn images and videos into 3D environments, to support development of automated driving systems. The electric vehicle maker plans to use the technology… -
Who you gonna call? Rivian channels 'Ghostbusters' with one-of-a-kind Ecto-R1 for Halloween seasonRivian's smaller, more affordable R2 has arrived, giving the electric vehicle maker an entry in the crucial compact SUV market. But the company is also drawing attention with a Halloween-themed spin on another vehicle in its lineup. The… -
Rivian Automotive acquires Third Dimension AI as it works toward full autonomyRivian Automotive announced the acquisition Third Dimension AI for an undisclosed amount. Third Dimension AI was described as a pioneer in AI-powered 3D spatial generation, which ... Rivian Automotive (RIVN) announced the acquisition of… -
Rivian buys Third Dimension AI to turn real roads into 3D test worldsThe 15-person startup turns camera footage into 3D scenes engineers can change. Rivian will use it to test software for its R2 robotaxis on Uber in 2028. Rivian founder and chief executive RJ Scaringe at TechCrunch Disrupt in San… -
What Needs To Be True To Buy Rivian Stock Now?For questions about this article or underlying research, email [email protected]. Rivian Still Loses Money On The Cars It Builds Rivian’s car business still loses money, but the loss is far smaller than it was a year ago. Rivian’s car…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions