IFPI's Biggest-Selling Global Recording Artist of 2026?

Kalshi Culture › Music Closes Feb 28, 2027 · $2.1K traded · $1.1K at stake · prices read 3 h ago

The odds

62%BTS

BTS62%▼ 1
Taylor Swift28%
Bad Bunny5%
Drake5%
Billie Eilish4%
Kendrick Lamar3%
Morgan Wallen3%
Stray Kids2%
The Weeknd2%
Sabrina Carpenter2%
Lady Gaga2%
Ariana Grande2%

10 more

Tyler, The Creator2%
Mrs. GREEN APPLE2%
SEVENTEEN2%
Eminem2%
Linkin Park2%
Zach Bryan2%
Ed Sheeran2%
SZA2%
Justin Bieber2%
Adele2%

How the odds have moved

BTS: 57% on Oct 20, 62% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
BTS	62%	▼ 1	58¢	65¢	$1.54	1.5K
Taylor Swift	28%		26¢	30¢	$3.33	4.1K
Bad Bunny	5%		2¢	8¢	$12.50	576
Drake	5%		1¢	8¢	$12.50	199
Billie Eilish	4%		3¢	4¢	$25.00	62.00
Kendrick Lamar	3%			5¢	$20.00	204
Morgan Wallen	3%			5¢	$20.00	232
Stray Kids	2%			4¢	$25.00	90.00
The Weeknd	2%			4¢	$25.00	40.00
Sabrina Carpenter	2%			4¢	$25.00	54.00
Lady Gaga	2%			4¢	$25.00	68.00
Ariana Grande	2%			4¢	$25.00	193
Tyler, The Creator	2%			4¢	$25.00	38.00
Mrs. GREEN APPLE	2%			4¢	$25.00	43.00
SEVENTEEN	2%			4¢	$25.00	63.00
Eminem	2%			4¢	$25.00	527
Linkin Park	2%			4¢	$25.00	63.00
Zach Bryan	2%			4¢	$25.00	39.00
Ed Sheeran	2%			4¢	$25.00	38.00
SZA	2%			4¢	$25.00	38.00
Justin Bieber	2%			4¢	$25.00	121
Adele	2%			4¢	$25.00	38.00

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: IFPI's Biggest-Selling Global Recording Artist, Taylor Swift, Bad Bunny

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Here’s to 20 Years of ‘Taylor Swift’Rolling Stone · 2 days agoWe look back at Taylor Swift's 2006 self-titled debut album — and where her illustrious songwriting career began. It’s strange to think the songs we used to sing from one of the most famous self-titled debut album’s turn 20 years old…
Taylor Swift's Next Tour Could Be CLOSER Than We Think!Yahoo Sports · 3 days agoIs Taylor Swift preparing for a NEW TOUR in 2027?! 👀 Patrick Allen and JoJo in KC break down the speculation surrounding Taylor's return to the stage, including her Academy Museum Gala performance, possible touring clues, and JoJo's…
Taylor Swift's debut album turns 20 | Exclusive new documentaryUSA TODAY · 3 days agoTaylor Swift's blue eyes are still putting "those Georgia stars to shame" 20 years later. The "Tim McGraw" singer's self-titled debut album arrived Oct. 24, 2006, introducing country music to a 16-year-old songwriter with big dreams, curly…
Travis Kelce Makes Unexpected Appearance With NWSL Players During Chiefs' Bye Week Without Taylor SwiftYahoo Sports · 3 days agoTravis Kelce and the Chiefs are part of the Kansas City community, and their work doesn't stop when they leave the football field. With millions of fans watching, NFL players have a chance to put the spotlight on causes that matter and…
Happy 20th Birthday, ‘Debut’: A Look Back at Taylor Swift’s Self-Titled First Album, Via a Previously Unpublished Q&AVariety · 48 h agoSwift: [Talking to then-publicist Paula Erickson, who is collecting her order.] I want a No. 2 with no onions and a chocolate shake… [Turning to me.] It doesn’t count if you eat it out of town. That’s a rule. Since you’re not from around…
Travis Kelce shares how Taylor Swift changed his connection with NFL fansYahoo Sports · 3 days agoTravis Kelce has spent more than a decade building his reputation as one of the NFL's most recognizable tight ends. However, his relationship with Taylor Swift has introduced him to a different audience, creating unexpected connections…
Maya Hawke Says These 2 Taylor Swift Songs Are Like ‘Epic Poetry,’ Explains Why Eminem Is the GOATBillboard · 4 days ago"They tell a full story," the Stranger Things star said of her Swift song picks. While facing the heat on Hot Ones, Maya Hawke praised two artists she thinks are the epitome of cool: Taylor Swift and Eminem. Hawke has long been a fan of…
14-year-old Taylor Swift on stardomABC News · 45 h agoABC News - Breaking News, Latest News and Videos
The Posture Bra Taylor Swift Fans Can't Stop BuyingHeadlines Plus · 32 h agoA posture bra that caught Taylor Swift's attention has become a must-have for shoppers everywhere. The News Leader reports that the trend took off quickly as fans and everyday buyers rushed to get their hands on it. Supporters say the…
Taylor Swift: Biles, Ledecky, Richardson never out of styleNBC Olympics · 38 h agoTaylor Swift highlights three women at the top of their sports in Simone Biles, Katie Ledecky and Sha'Carri Richardson, who know how to achieve greatness all too well. Note: Some components of NBCOlympics.com may not be optimized for users…
Taylor Swift Makes Her Case to Hollywood Heavyweights in Oscar CampaignGridiron Heroics · 43 h agoTaylor Swift and Travis Kelce are one of the biggest celebrity couples in the NFL right now. After a relationship that lasted for almost three years, the two got married in one of the biggest wedding events in recent history. More than…
Taylor Swift fans grow concerned over 20th anniversary plansGeo News · 2 days agoPublished October 24, 2026 Taylor Swift seems to be going against Swifties' predictions and theories as the 20th anniversary of her Debut album passes by without the announcement for a re-release. The 36-year-old pop superstar told fans in…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onIFPI

Trading closesFeb 28, 2027 10:00 AM ET

Traded$2.1K (8,326 contracts)

This week$205

At stake$1.1K

In the news31 headlines today, 656 this week

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If Taylor Swift is #1 on IFPI's Biggest-Selling Global Recording Artist of the Year, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions