MTV Video Music Awards 2026: Who will perform

Kalshi Culture › Music Closes Dec 31 · $154K traded · $52.4K at stake · prices read 10 min ago

The odds

2%Troye Sivan
  • Troye Sivan2%

How the odds have moved

Troye Sivan: 4% on Oct 20, 2% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
✓ Sabrina Carpenter 99% $1.01 10.5K
✓ Yung Lean 99% $1.01 8.4K
✓ Sienna Spiro 99% $1.01 3.3K
✓ Charli xcx 99% $1.01 1.4K
✓ Madonna 98% $1.02 14.7K
✓ LISA 98% $1.02 7.0K
✓ Any member of GENER8ION 98% $1.02 6.9K
✓ Raye 98% $1.02 14.3K
✓ Bruno Mars 97% $1.03 87.8K
Ariana Grande 39% $2.56 2.9K
Bad Bunny 30% $3.33 2.0K
PinkPantheress 26% $3.85 1.4K
Ella Langley 20% $5.00 2.1K
Taylor Swift 14% $7.14 3.9K
Shakira 9% $11.11 525
Stella Lefty 9% $11.11 1.8K
Olivia Dean 4% $25.00 3.1K
Tate McRae 2% $50.00 2.3K
Any member of CORTIS 2% $50.00 100
Doja Cat 2% $50.00 100
Lady Gaga 2% $50.00 533
Any member of KATSEYE 2% $50.00 1.5K
Troye Sivan 2% 1¢ 3¢ $33.33 1.7K
Zara Larsson 1% $100.00 3.5K
Billie Eilish 1% $100.00 376
Miley Cyrus 1% $100.00 3.5K
Dua Lipa 1% $100.00 630
Beyonce 1% $100.00 367
DEACTIVATED —

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: MTV Video Music Awards, Troye Sivan

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No recent headlines name this market's subject.

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99%Armenia
  • Armenia99%▲ 56
  • Albania<1%▼ 1
  • Azerbaijan<1%▼ 1
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  • Croatia<1%▼ 2
  • Cyprus<1%▼ 4
  • France<1%▼ 13
  • Georgia<1%▼ 6
  • Ireland<1%▼ 14
  • Italy<1%▼ 1
  • Malta<1%▼ 22
  • Montenegro<1%▼ 2
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  • North Macedonia<1%▼ 9
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  • San Marino<1%▼ 4
  • Spain<1%▼ 25
  • Ukraine<1%▼ 16
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Pro Football Championship Halftime Show: Headliner(s) (2027)

78%JAY-Z
  • JAY-Z78%▼ 4
  • Beyoncé26%▼ 3
  • Harry Styles7%▼ 1
54 more
  • Justin Bieber7%▲ 2
  • Miley Cyrus6%▼ 15
  • Taylor Swift5%
  • Lady Gaga4%
  • Rihanna4%
  • Tate McRae4%▲ 1
  • Kanye West / Ye4%
  • Lil Wayne3%▲ 1
  • Ariana Grande3%
  • Morgan Wallen2%
  • Oasis2%
  • Adele2%
  • AC/DC2%
  • BTS2%
  • Imagine Dragons2%
  • Guns N' Roses2%
  • Eagles2%
  • Katy Perry2%
  • Linkin Park2%
  • SZA2%
  • Travis Scott2%
  • Backstreet Boys2%
  • Elton John2%
  • Pink2%
  • Pearl Jam2%
  • Chris Brown2%
  • Christina Aguilera2%
  • Doja Cat2%
  • Megan Thee Stallion2%
  • Ice Spice2%
  • Cynthia Erivo2%
  • Tyler, The Creator2%
  • Drake2%
  • Billie Eilish2%
  • Foo Fighters2%
  • Lil Baby2%
  • Chappell Roan2%
  • Post Malone2%
  • Dua Lipa2%
  • Metallica2%
  • Sabrina Carpenter2%
  • Karol G2%
  • Green Day2%
  • Coldplay2%
  • Cardi B2%
  • Mariah Carey2%
  • BLACKPINK2%
  • Outkast2%
  • T-Pain2%
  • Ella Langley2%
  • Stevie Wonder2%
  • Sexyy Red1%
  • Ed Sheeran1%
  • Madonna1%
KalshiCloses Feb 15, 2027 · $16K today
Culture › Music

Billboard Hot 100 #2 Song Week of October 31

94%Housewife - Tate McRae
  • Housewife - Tate McRae94%
  • Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley3%▼ 2
  • Patient Zero - Taylor Swift<1%
4 more
  • Boston - Stella Lefty<1%
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  • expectations - Olivia Rodrigo & Chappell Roan<1%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.