Core CPI in October (Oct 2026)
0.21%median
-0.1%1.1%
Median 0.21%Middle half 0.13% – 0.27%
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Headline PCE inflation in October (October 2026)
The odds
0.24%median
-0.1%0.8%
Median 0.24%Middle half 0.15% – 0.33%
How the odds have moved
Median: 0.24% on Nov 2, 0.24% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 0.0% | 96% | 93¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| Above 0.1% | 88% | 83¢ | 93¢ | $1.08 | ||
| Above 0.2% | 63% | 58¢ | 68¢ | $1.47 | ||
| Above 0.3% | 31% | 26¢ | 36¢ | $2.78 | 2.00 | |
| Above 0.4% | 9% | 4¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | 1.00 | |
| Above 0.5% | 4% | 1¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | ||
| Above 0.6% | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | ||
| Above 0.7% | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: inflation, CPI, consumer prices
Search ›- Memory chip shortage spikes consumer prices for PCs and smartphonesCommerce Secretary Howard Lutnick warns a memory chip shortage is driving up tech prices as semiconductor memory costs surge 300% year over year. Rising demand from AI data centers pushes estimated PC prices up 17% and smartphones up 13%…
- Consumer price index rises amid fuel cost surgeInflationary pressure in Taiwan remained elevated last month, with the consumer price index (CPI) rising 2.33 percent year-on-year, its sixth consecutive month above the central bank’s 2 percent alert, albeit slowing from 2.74 percent in…
- Consumer Price Index increases by 0.52% in AugustDoha: The Consumer Price Index (CPI) for August 2026 rose 0.52 percent from July 2026 to 103.31 points, amid ongoing regional challenges and pressure on supply chains, transport and logistics costs. The increase was driven mainly by a…
- Sweden Consumer Price Index (YoY) below expectations (1.2%) in October: Actual (0.9%)AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7000 during Thursday’s Asian session, consolidating the previous day’s recovery gains from a near three-week low as the Democratic sweep in the US midterm elections and Iran diplomacy hopes continue to weigh on…
- Vietnam's consumer prices climb 4.57% in ten monthsVietnam's consumer price index (CPI) climbed an average of 4.57% year-on-year in the first 10 months of 2026m and in October alone, CPI ...
- Sweden Consumer Price Index (MoM) came in at 0% below forecasts (0.3%) in OctoberAUD/USD holds steady above 0.7000 during Thursday’s Asian session, consolidating the previous day’s recovery gains from a near three-week low as the Democratic sweep in the US midterm elections and Iran diplomacy hopes continue to weigh on…
- Consumer Prices Rise 2.8% in October[Economy] : Consumer prices rose two-point-eight percent year-on-year in October, remaining in the upper two percent range for a second consecutive month. According to the Ministry of Data and Statistics on Tuesday, the consumer price…
- Eurozone Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY) meets forecasts (4%) in OctoberAUD/USD holds steady above a two-week low, trading near 0.6965 in the Asian session on Wednesday as early midterm election results heighten political uncertainty and weigh heavily on the US Dollar. Moreover, reviving safe-haven demand…
- Eurozone Core Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY) meets forecasts (2.5%) in OctoberAUD/USD holds steady above a two-week low, trading near 0.6965 in the Asian session on Wednesday as early midterm election results heighten political uncertainty and weigh heavily on the US Dollar. Moreover, reviving safe-haven demand…
- Eurozone Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (MoM) above expectations (0%) in October: Actual (0.4%)AUD/USD holds steady above a two-week low, trading near 0.6965 in the Asian session on Wednesday as early midterm election results heighten political uncertainty and weigh heavily on the US Dollar. Moreover, reviving safe-haven demand…
- The average consumer price index for the first 10 months increased by 5.01%.The average consumer price index (CPI) for the first 10 months of 2026 in Da Nang city increased by 5.01% compared to the same period last year. According to the Da Nang Statistics Department's report, the city's CPI in October 2026…
- Eurozone Core Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (MoM) registered at 0.3% above expectations (0%) in OctoberAUD/USD holds steady above a two-week low, trading near 0.6965 in the Asian session on Wednesday as early midterm election results heighten political uncertainty and weigh heavily on the US Dollar. Moreover, reviving safe-haven demand…
Related markets
All inflation ›CPI in October (Oct 2026)
0.22%median
-0.2%1.1%
Median 0.22%Middle half 0.15% – 0.28%
October Inflation US - Annual
3.71%median
3.15%4.35%
Median 3.71%Middle half 3.68% – 3.74%
Brazil Annual Inflation 2026
5.4%median
2.51%7.49%
Median 5.4%Middle half 5.14% – 5.73%
How high will inflation get in 2026?
11%Above 4.5%
4%12%
CPI YoY in November (Nov 2026)
3.74%median
2.9%5.1%
Median 3.74%Middle half 3.6% – 3.84%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions