Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?
>99%chance
Install
How low will the Claude Opus 4.8 input token price get in 2026?
The odds
69%$4/MTok or below
$0.0000$5
How the odds have moved
$1/MTok or below: 97% on Oct 20, 98% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $1/MTok or below | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | 676 | ||
| $2/MTok or below | 95% | 92¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | 2.7K | |
| $3/MTok or below | 85% | ▼ 1 | 83¢ | 87¢ | $1.15 | 4.4K |
| $4/MTok or below | 69% | ▲ 36 | 67¢ | 70¢ | $1.43 | 13.6K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Anthropic, Claude, Claude Opus
Search ›-
Mercury 3 vs Claude Opus 5: The Same 1M-Token Window, Priced Two Different Ways• Context and output — Mercury 3: 1,000,000 in, 131,072 out. Claude Opus 5: 1,000,000 in, 128,000 out. • Modalities — Mercury 3: text in, text out. Claude Opus 5: text, image and file in, text out. • Speed — Mercury 3: 1,068 tokens per… -
Antigravity will remove Claude Opus 4.6 on November 2, and a Pro trial cannot run Opus 5.5Google's own Antigravity documentation says Claude Sonnet 4.6, Claude Opus 4.6 and GPT-OSS-120b "will be removed on November 2, 2026". The three newer models in the same list, Gemini 4 Argon, Claude Sonnet 5.5 and Claude Opus 5.5, carry a… -
MIT’s Claude Opus 4.7 experiment highlights AI self-directed learning potentialEstefano Gomez is an editor at Crypto Briefing specializing in blockchain analysis, DeFi, and the intersection of crypto and digital art. He previously served as Editor in Chief at Interesante for over three years, where he covered… -
Claude Opus 5.5 Built an RTS You Play Over Sound: Inside Battle Drones' Audio ModemModes include skirmish, Last Stand survival waves, AI-vs-AI spectating, an eight-mission campaign, and something genuinely unusual: an agent-vs-agent mode where two language models play each other through a tool that exposes only… -
Claude Opus 5.5 vs GPT-6 Astra: Terminal-Bench 66% [2026]GPT-6 Astra rounds out the September 2026 wave of frontier launches. LogRocket’s AI dev tool power rankings group GPT-6 Astra with Anthropic’s Claude 5.5 family as the models that reshaped the frontier in the final weeks of September, and… - Claude Opus 5 vs Hy-Memory-30B-A3B: Benchmarks & CostUpdated October 19, 2026. We do not rank this pair: at least one has no public score. Public scores include evidence status and uncertainty. Claude Opus 5 vs Hy-Memory-30B-A3B Supported · Public rank #8 Hy-Memory-30B-A3B has no comparable…
- Claude Opus 5 vs GPT-4o mini: Benchmarks & CostUpdated October 19, 2026. Rank says Claude Opus 5 is ahead. Price, access, and your workload can each overturn that. Public scores include evidence status and uncertainty. Claude Opus 5 vs GPT-4o mini Supported · Public rank #8 Supported ·…
- Claude Opus 5 vs Granite-4.0-H-1B: Benchmarks & CostUpdated October 19, 2026. Rank says Claude Opus 5 is ahead. Price, access, and your workload can each overturn that. Public scores include evidence status and uncertainty. Claude Opus 5 vs Granite-4.0-H-1B Supported · Public rank #8…
- Claude Opus 5 vs Nemotron 3.5 Bolt 74B-A9B: ComparisonUpdated October 19, 2026. Rank says Claude Opus 5 is ahead. Price, access, and your workload can each overturn that. Public scores include evidence status and uncertainty. Claude Opus 5 vs Nemotron 3.5 Bolt 74B-A9B Claude Opus 5 has the…
- Claude Opus 5 vs Phi-4-reasoning-plus: Benchmarks & CostUpdated October 19, 2026. We do not rank this pair: at least one has no public score. Public scores include evidence status and uncertainty. Claude Opus 5 vs Phi-4-reasoning-plus Supported · Public rank #8 The page does not recommend a…
- Claude Opus 5 vs HeyGen Voice: Benchmarks & CostUpdated October 19, 2026. We do not rank this pair: at least one has no public score. Public scores include evidence status and uncertainty. Claude Opus 5 vs HeyGen Voice Supported · Public rank #8 HeyGen Voice has no comparable published…
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Claude Opus 5.5 vs Mythos 5: Similar Cyber Capability, Very Different Price and AccessClaude Mythos 5, released on June 9, 2026, is available only through Anthropic’s verification programmes. A refreshed Mythos 5.1 followed on September 1. Claude Opus 5.5, released on September 22, is generally available and can be accessed…
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5 more
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Largest Company end of October 2026?
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- Microsoft<1%
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.