Will NYC ban horse-drawn carriages in 2026?
96%chance▼ 2
Install
Will Mamdani tax billion-dollar incomes in 2026?
The odds
5%chance
How the odds have moved
Yes: 6% on Oct 20, 5% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 5% | 5¢ | 6¢ | $16.39 | 96.3K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Mamdani
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Hochul and Mamdani unite for final campaign sprintThe Democratic governor is trying to hold a fractious party together and aid swing seat House candidates. New York Gov. Kathy Hochul and New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani hit the campaign trail together. | Yuki Iwamura/AP 10/25/2026 6:47… -
Mamdani gives migrants tips to avoid ICE in SpanishNew York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani delivers an anti-ICE message in Spanish, informing illegal immigrants about ways to avoid ICE. Mamdani gives migrants tips to avoid ICE in Spanish New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani delivers an anti-ICE… -
Blakeman Blasts Hochul As Mamdani's 'Puppet' During New York Campaign Rally-6adeb19ab86f6e7fa97ea544-100-0.mp4Republican gubernatorial candidate Bruce Blakeman called Gov. Kathy Hochul a "puppet" of NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani at a Sunday rally, accusing her of embracing his agenda while neglecting immigration and crime. Blakeman Blasts Hochul As… -
Blakeman slams ‘Mamdani’s puppet’ Hochul over NY immigration policy, crimeBruce Blakeman slammed Gov. Kathy Hochul as lefty Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s “puppet” during a GOP campaign rally at an upstate shopping center Sunday, calling out the governor over the state’s soft-on-immigration sanctuary policy. The… -
Bruce Blakeman calls Kathy Hochul Zohran Mamdani's 'puppet' during New York campaign rallyRepublican gubernatorial candidate Bruce Blakeman called Gov. Kathy Hochul a "puppet" of NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani at a Sunday rally, accusing her of embracing his agenda while neglecting immigration and crime. Republican New York… -
Mayor Mamdani and Gov. Hochul team up to bash Trump, Bruce Blakeman, at campaign rallyUnlikely duo Mayor Zohran Mamdani and Gov. Kathy Hochul joined forces at a Brooklyn campaign rally on Sunday to bash President Trump and Republican gubernatorial candidate Bruce Blakeman. The political odd couple appeared at a… -
Even a socialist like Mamdani can improve New York — here’s howMayor Zohran Mamdani recently made an observation that ought to command widespread agreement. “Quality of life has come to be seen as somehow a right-wing concern,” he said. The same goes for efficiency and rooting out waste. His point was… -
Zohran Mamdani’s contempt for doing his job will cost him — and NYCThe Post’s exposure of Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s weird habit of not bothering to sign bills into law bodes ill for him and for the city. He’s taken the trouble to sign just one in his first 10 months, vs. 30, 47 and 28 for the last three… -
New Yorker yells 'the mayor cut me!' as Mamdani appears to bypass him in voting lineA New Yorker shouted out "the mayor cut me!" after New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani appeared to skip the queue to cast his ballot in early voting at the New York Metropolitan Museum on Saturday. New Yorker yells 'the mayor cut me!' as… -
Zohran Mamdani casts his midterm ballot as first day of early voting kicks off in NYCEarly voting kicked off Saturday in New York with NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani casting his ballot at the Metropolitan Museum of Art. Early voting kicked off Saturday in New York with NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani casting his ballot at the… -
Mamdani accused of ‘openly helping illegal aliens evade ICE’ in Spanish language videoNew York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani sparked outrage Friday when he unveiled a social media video where the socialist shared tips in Spanish on how the public should handle encounters with federal immigration authorities. “If you encounter… - Blakeman amps up gubernational bid with three NYC stops, jabs Mamdani-Hochul allianceRepublican Bruce Blakeman hit three corners of NYC to deliver his affordability message Saturday as his gubernatorial bid reached the final stretch, jabbing opponent Gov. Kathy Hochul and “anti-American” Mayor Zohran Mamdani along the way…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions