How many new housing units will NYC permit in 2026?
26,550median
20,00044,000
Median 26,550Middle half 23,341 – 29,075
Install
NYPD uniformed headcount at the end of 2026?
The odds
34,971median
34,00036,000
Median 34,971Middle half 34,625 – 35,348
How the odds have moved
Median: 34,971 on Oct 19, 34,971 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 34,250 | 92% | 88¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | 205 | |
| Above 34,500 | 85% | 80¢ | 89¢ | $1.12 | ||
| Above 34,750 | 66% | 61¢ | 70¢ | $1.43 | ||
| Above 35,000 | 48% | 44¢ | 52¢ | $1.92 | 223 | |
| Above 35,250 | 32% | 27¢ | 36¢ | $2.78 | ||
| Above 35,500 | 15% | ▲ 1 | 11¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 | |
| Above 35,750 | 8% | 4¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: NYPD
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NYPD busts mysterious manhole divers emerging from the sewersTwo groups of manhole divers have been busted for recent underground incursions in Upper Manhattan – as the city’s bizarre subterranean mystery deepens, authorities said. In one incident, a witness spotted two nightcrawlers entering a… -
Off-duty NYPD officer busted after interfering with NYC car stop: cops, sourcesAn off-duty NYPD cop was arrested early Friday after he interfered with an Upper Manhattan car stop —grabbing an officer who was conducting it, cops and sources said. Officer Daniel Almonte, 35, stepped in when he spotted cops interacting… -
Police are responding to a possible officer-involved shooting in Queens, NYPD saysUpdated on: October 23, 2026 / 11:24 PM EDT / CBS New York Police are investigating a possible officer-involved shooting in South Ozone Park, Queens, according to the NYPD. Officers responded to a report of a burglary near 149th Street… -
NYPD, FDNY and other service members compete in city-first jiu-jitsu tourneyFirst responders from across the tri-state will face off in a jiu-jitsu tournament this weekend to prove which agency has the most muscle — and celebrate those who put their lives on the line. A beefed-up slate of firefighters, police… -
ICE official details criminal history of suspects in NYPD detective attackICE New York City Field Office Director Ken Genalo discusses the suspects in the stabbing of an NYPD detective. Genalo highlights the prior arrests and immigration status of the Dominican Republic nationals involved in the attack. ICE… -
Retired NYPD detective charged in deadly road rage incidentCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. Deadly road rage… -
Woman stabs man in Midtown Manhattan during possible hate crime, NYPD saysOctober 22, 2026 / 11:17 AM EDT / CBS New York Police are looking for the woman who stabbed a man in the back Wednesday in Midtown Manhattan. The 26-year-old victim was approached by an unknown woman in her 40s just before 6 p.m. in front… -
Suspect accused in NYPD hit-and-run is reportedly illegal immigrantFox News Suspect accused in NYPD hit-and-run is reportedly illegal immigrant Former DHS senior advisor Todd Bensman reacts to the arrest of Eduardo Paulino, an illegal immigrant suspect charged with attempted murder of an NYPD officer… -
Retired NYPD detective faces murder charges in deadly GWB shootingCBS News - The 5:33 | Legacy of the LIRR Massacre - On The Dot with David Schechter: Wildfires & Climate Change Retired NYPD detective faces murder charges in deadly GWB shooting 15-year-old boy with autism found safe in Monmouth County… -
Suspect in apparent road rage shooting on GWB is a former NYPD detectiveCBS News - The 5:33 | Legacy of the LIRR Massacre - On The Dot with David Schechter: Wildfires & Climate Change Suspect in apparent road rage shooting on GWB is a former NYPD detective 15-year-old boy with autism found safe in Monmouth… -
NYC suburb rocked by arrest of retired NYPD detective accused of road rage murder: ‘He is a great neighbor’The arrest of a retired NYPD detective for the deadly road-rage shooting of a father of two on the George Washington Bridge has shocked his neighbors, who saw him as a “great person” who “cared about the community.” Victor Romero, 62, who…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.