Average Wall Street bonus in 2026
$283,750median
$175,000$375,000
Median $283,750Middle half $262,500 – $305,729
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Will New Hampshire alpine skier visits rise YoY? (the 2026–27 ski season)
The odds
17%chance
How the odds have moved
Yes: 17% on Oct 20, 17% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 17% | 16¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | 15.6K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: New Hampshire
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Douglas Herlihy pleads guilty in 2003 New Hampshire cold case killingDouglas Herlihy pleaded guilty to manslaughter in a New Hampshire cold case, admitting he killed his father in 2003. He faces up to 24 years under a plea agreement. Douglas Herlihy pleads guilty in 2003 New Hampshire cold case killing… -
Michigan State Earns Redemption in 2-1 Win Over New HampshireAfter a disappointing 1-0 shutout loss to open the weekend against New Hampshire, the Spartans bounced back in the second game of the series and held strong for a 2-1 win, splitting the weekend series against the Wildcats. Though it was no… -
No. 2 Michigan State Stunned by New HampshireThe Michigan State Spartans headed east to New Hampshire this weekend for their second consecutive weekend on the road. Facing a 2-1-1 New Hampshire team that had just earned its first two wins of the season against Colgate last weekend… -
John Sununu is running on his family’s legacy in New Hampshire. His brother is staying on the sidelinesThe campaign signs across New Hampshire read “Sununu” in block letters. They’re for Republican Senate nominee John E. Sununu, who held the seat from 2003 to 2009 and is running to replace retiring Democratic Sen. Jeanne Shaheen. But they… -
Bemis fire in New Hampshire's Crawford Notch, White Mountain forest is 45% containedMay 17, 2022 / 4:18 PM EDT / CBS Boston CONWAY, N.H. - The Bemis fire burning in New Hampshire's Crawford Notch State Park and the White Mountain National Forest is 45% contained, authorities said Tuesday. The Forest Service said fire… -
MSU hockey shut out on the road for first loss at New HampshireThe No. 2 Michigan State hockey team dropped its first contest of the season on Oct. 23, falling 1-0 on the road against New Hampshire in the first if a two-game series with the Wildcats. Both sides skated to a 0-0 tie through two periods… -
US supreme court sides with Republicans on rejecting student IDs in New Hampshire midtermsVoting rights advocates say directive would disenfranchise young and low-income voters, but Republicans say it’s needed to combat voter fraud The US supreme court has cleared the way for New Hampshire to prohibit student IDs as a form of… -
Supreme Court blocks use of student IDs as voter identification in New HampshireFirst Assistant U.S. Attorney Bill Essayli examines the growing dispute over voter eligibility verification in California. Los Angeles County election officials acknowledge they lack the resources to verify the citizenship status of… -
Supreme Court says New Hampshire can limit use of student IDs for votingThe Supreme Court on Thursday allowed New Hampshire officials to limit when voters may use a student ID to receive a ballot, agreeing that a lower court ruling that blocked enforcement of the policy was too close to Election Day. The… -
Supreme Court rules New Hampshire can ban use of student IDs for midterm votersOctober 22, 2026 / 7:53 PM EDT / CBS/AP The Supreme Court cleared the way Thursday for New Hampshire to fully ban the use of student IDs for voting during the midterm elections. The justices granted a Republican-backed emergency appeal and… -
Supreme Court says New Hampshire student IDs can’t be used to vote in NovemberWASHINGTON — In a win for Republicans, the Supreme Court on Thursday said that student IDs cannot be used in New Hampshire for the midterm elections. The justices granted an emergency request filed by the state, which had the backing of… -
Trump aide Corey Lewandowski "put in a box" by Trump and ordered to narrow focus to New HampshireUpdated on: October 14, 2024 / 7:23 PM EDT / CBS News As former President Donald Trump entered his final weeks of campaigning, the uneasy relationship between rival factions of his campaign's leadership has grown more testy, with sources…
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All jobs ›How high will US unemployment go in 2026?
5%5.0%
4.5%13%
US retail jobs added this holiday season (September–December 2026)
568,490median
250,000650,000
Median 568,490
Unemployment in October (Oct 2026)
4.15%median
3.6%5.1%
Median 4.15%Middle half 4.08% – 4.23%
UK retail sales in October (October 2026)
50%Above 2.0%
-2%3%
October 2026 Employment Combo · U3 & NFP
15%U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: 50-99k
- U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: 50-99k15%
- U3: 4.3%, NFP growth: 50-99k11%▲ 8
- U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: 100k or above6%
8 more
- U3: 4.4% or above, NFP growth: Below 50k5%▲ 2
- U3: 4.4% or above, NFP growth: 50-99k5%▲ 2
- U3: 4.4% or above, NFP growth: 100k or above5%▲ 2
- U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: Below 50k1%
- U3: 4.2%, NFP growth: Below 50k1%
- U3: 4.2%, NFP growth: 50-99k1%
- U3: 4.3%, NFP growth: Below 50k1%▼ 21
- U3: 4.3%, NFP growth: 100k or above1%▼ 4
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions