Who will be the next CEO of X? (2026)

Kalshi Finance › Companies Closes Jan 1, 2027 · $21 today · $5.5K traded · $2K at stake · prices read 15 min ago

The odds

9%Elon Musk
  • Elon Musk9%
  • Grok3%
  • Nikita Bier3%▲ 1
  • Mahmoud Reza Banki3%
  • Sriram Krishnan2%▲ 2
  • Jack Dorsey1%
  • Jimmy Donaldson1%
  • Sam Altman1%

How the odds have moved

Elon Musk: 9% on Oct 20, 9% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Elon Musk 9% 7¢ 10¢ $10.00 48.5K
Grok 3% 1¢ 5¢ $20.00 13.7K
Nikita Bier 3% ▲ 1 1¢ 5¢ $20.00 18.0K
Mahmoud Reza Banki 3% 1¢ 5¢ $20.00 6.8K
Sriram Krishnan 2% ▲ 2 4¢ $25.00 4.6K
Jack Dorsey 1% 1¢ $100.00 4.2K
Jimmy Donaldson 1% 1¢ $100.00 4.7K
Sam Altman 1% 1¢ $100.00 2.9K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: CEO of X, Elon Musk, Nikita Bier

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  • Elon Musk says Tesla-SpaceX merger being consideredBBC News · 5 days agoElon Musk is the top executive of both Tesla and SpaceX Elon Musk has said he likes the idea of a merger of Tesla and SpaceX, two of his most notable companies, and it is under active consideration. "Do I think it would be a good idea?…
  • Elon Musk is in Democrats’ oversight crosshairsPOLITICO · 5 days agoFrom DOGE to Ukraine, the uberwealthy GOP donor could be an irresistible target if House gavels change hands. More than a year after he left government service, Democrats have not forgotten Musk's role in dismantling federal programs. |…
  • Elon Musk ordered Starlink slowdown for Ukraine: ReportCNBC · 5 days agoElon Musk ordered the slowdown of a version of SpaceX's Starlink that Ukraine has relied on in its war against Russia, The Wall Street Journal reported Tuesday, citing U.S. officials and people familiar with the matter. Musk, SpaceX's…
  • Want flying cars? America needs thousands more Elon Musks and less red tapeFox News · 5 days agoChasing Horsepower founder Mike Caudill joins ‘America Reports’ to discuss the rocket-powered thrusters that allow Tesla’s new Roadster prototype to fly and perform barrel rolls during Elon Musk’s live demonstration. For just a few…
  • Abbott Slams Democrat’s ‘Stunt’ Bid for Elon Musk Messages in Texas LawsuitNewsweek · 5 days agoOct 20, 2026 at 07:04 PM EDT Texas Governor Greg Abbott has dismissed a lawsuit filed by Democratic gubernatorial nominee Gina Hinojosa seeking access to confidential communications between his office and Elon Musk's companies, calling it…
  • Gina Hinojosa sues Gov. Abbott over Elon Musk communicationsCBS News · 6 days agoCBS News Gina Hinojosa sues Gov. Abbott over Elon Musk communications Feeling like fall with a gradual warm-up in North Texas Melissa ISD bus driver arrested for second time in a week for alleged child sex crimes Masked Biden look-alike…
  • Elon Musk plans SpaceX stock giveaway for American childrenFox Business · 6 days agoElon Musk announces a plan to give one share of SpaceX stock to every child in America. The 'Big Money Show' debates the business and charitable aspects of this multi-billion dollar giveaway, contrasting it with Anthropic's decision to…
  • If Elon Musk gifts SpaceX stock through Trump Accounts, it will come with a catchCNBC · 5 days agoElon Musk said on Monday that he will give every kid in America a share of SpaceX next year. He appeared to suggest the gift could land in Trump Accounts — thanking Brad Gerstner, an architect of the program, for "helping enable this" in a…
  • Elon Musk says SpaceX and Tesla have formed special committees to discuss merger ideaNBC News · 5 days agoTech billionaire Elon Musk said Tuesday that the boards of SpaceX and Tesla had separately formed special committees to discuss the idea of a merger, taking a small step toward the possible consolidation of his two biggest companies. Musk…
  • Watters: This why the left can't stand Elon MuskFox News · 6 days agoJesse Watters and Steve Hilton discuss why the left can't stand Elon Musk. 'Fox & Friends' on Musk pledging one SpaceX share to every child in America. Watters: This why the left can't stand Elon Musk Jesse Watters and Steve Hilton discuss…
  • Elon Musk vows to donate SpaceX shares to every child in AmericaCNBC · 6 days agoCNBC's Robert Frank reports on SpaceX CEO Elon Musk saying that he’ll give every child in the U.S. one of his shares in the company next year. Elon Musk vows to donate SpaceX shares to every child in America
  • Elon Musk promises to give one SpaceX share to every child in the USThe Verge · 6 days agoElon Musk says he plans to give one of his SpaceX shares to every child in the US, amounting to around $10.5 billion worth of shares. Elon Musk says he plans to give one of his SpaceX shares to every child in the US starting next year With…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions