Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?
>99%chance
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Altria domestic cigarette shipments in 2026
The odds
58.60Bmedian
54.00B61.50B
Median 58.60BMiddle half 56.63B – 59.81B
How the odds have moved
Median: 58.59B on Oct 20, 58.60B now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 54.5 billion | 93% | ▲ 1 | 91¢ | 95¢ | $1.05 | 12.8K |
| Above 55 billion | 92% | 90¢ | 93¢ | $1.08 | 7.0K | |
| Above 55.5 billion | 86% | ▲ 1 | 83¢ | 88¢ | $1.14 | 4.3K |
| Above 56 billion | 80% | ▼ 1 | 75¢ | 85¢ | $1.18 | 454 |
| Above 56.5 billion | 76% | ▼ 1 | 71¢ | 81¢ | $1.23 | 672 |
| Above 57 billion | 72% | ▼ 1 | 67¢ | 77¢ | $1.30 | 3.7K |
| Above 57.5 billion | 66% | ▼ 1 | 61¢ | 70¢ | $1.43 | 481 |
| Above 58 billion | 61% | ▼ 1 | 56¢ | 65¢ | $1.54 | 796 |
| Above 58.5 billion | 53% | ▼ 1 | 48¢ | 57¢ | $1.75 | 1.0K |
| Above 59 billion | 40% | 35¢ | 44¢ | $2.27 | 983 | |
| Above 59.5 billion | 30% | 26¢ | 34¢ | $2.94 | 1.1K | |
| Above 60 billion | 22% | 18¢ | 26¢ | $3.85 | 1.4K | |
| Above 60.5 billion | 16% | ▼ 1 | 11¢ | 20¢ | $5.00 | 4.4K |
| Above 61 billion | 10% | ▼ 1 | 6¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | 9.8K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Altria
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.