Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
25.6median
1560
Median 25.6Middle half 20.3 – 30.8
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Vermont margin of victory
The odds
38.7median
2353
Median 38.7Middle half 33.5 – 43.9
How the odds have moved
Median: 39.5 on Oct 19, 38.7 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balint, 26+ pts | 96% | 92¢ | 100¢ | |||
| Balint, 29+ pts | 93% | 88¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | ||
| Balint, 32+ pts | 83% | ▼ 1 | 78¢ | 87¢ | $1.15 | 15.00 |
| Balint, 35+ pts | 68% | ▼ 1 | 63¢ | 72¢ | $1.39 | 159 |
| Balint, 38+ pts | 54% | ▼ 1 | 49¢ | 58¢ | $1.72 | 215 |
| Balint, 41+ pts | 39% | ▼ 1 | 34¢ | 43¢ | $2.33 | 23.00 |
| Balint, 44+ pts | 25% | ▼ 1 | 20¢ | 29¢ | $3.45 | 154 |
| Balint, 47+ pts | 11% | ▼ 1 | 7¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | |
| Balint, 50+ pts | 4% | 9¢ | $11.36 | 15.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Vermont
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Southern Vermont and New HampshirePolice said firefighting efforts were hampered due to local conditions. Brazilians head to the polls on Sunday facing a stark choice: another four years under veteran leftist Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, or a return to the right under… -
Vermont gubernatorial candidates react to proposed changes to FEMAThe Trump administration is proposing changes to how the government aids disasters, Vermont's candidates for governor shared their thoughts. KYIV, Oct 24 (Reuters) - Ukraine said on Saturday that the Starlink satellite system and its… -
Scientists: Vermont getting warmer and wetterThe study of Vermont's climate shows that the state's average temperature is up by 3.6 degrees and precipitation up by 20 percent, with winter seeing more rain and mild days. By Erin Banco and Joey Roulette WASHINGTON, Oct 23 (Reuters)… -
Vermont “I voted” sticker contest winners announcedMONTPELIER, Vt. (WCAX) - Burlington’s Theo Moore is the winner of this year’s “I voted” sticker design contest. Vermont Secretary of State Sarah Copeland Hanzas made the announcement Friday for the contest her office supports as part of… -
Vermont lawmakers set aside millions for home heating assistanceMONTPELIER, Vt. (WCAX) - State legislators are setting aside millions of dollars to help Vermonters cover home heating costs this winter. Vermont receives some $22 million as part of the federal Low Income Home Energy Assistance Program… -
Vermont commits $15.3M to expand heating assistance amid high fuel pricesTheo Wells-Spackman is a Report for America corps member who reports for VTDigger. Vermont officials approved a $15.3 million state funding package to expand home heating aid programs on Friday. The state administers lump-sum seasonal fuel… -
NBC5 In Depth: Discussions with the candidates for Vermont Attorney GeneralCandidates, Charity Clark and Edwin Howell Kemon, shared their visions for the role. The Vermont Attorney General's role in prosecuting ICE protestors is a topic of discussion as the November Midterm Election nears. NBC5 sat down with… -
Vermont 2026 Election Results2026 results › Vermont General election, November 3, 2026 Results will appear on this page on election night, November 3, 2026, as votes are counted. The last polls in Vermont close at 7 PM ET. Follow every state live → On the Vermont… -
Journalism Club to discuss Vermont election coverage on Nov. 5 in WillistonPrepare for Vermont’s Nov. 3 general election with VTDigger’s 2026 Election Guide. Get the latest reporting from towns across Vermont delivered each morning in Daily Digger, our free newsletter. The second meeting of Vermont’s new… -
Bernie Sanders 1-on-1: Why Vermont Sen. donated $1M to El-SayedThe independent senator from Vermont spoke with FOX 2 about why he donated a million dollars to Abdul El-Sayed and whether he thinks the Democratic candidate for U.S. Senate needs to moderate his message. President Trump on Friday slashed… -
Vermont early voting turnout reaches 88,000New early voting data from the secretary of state shows 88,000 Vermont voters have cast their ballots as of Thursday. MONTPELIER, Vt. (WCAX) - New early voting data from the secretary of state shows 88,000 Vermont voters have cast their… -
Vermont volunteers deliver beds to local families giving children a place to sleepFor many families, a bed is something that's easy to take for granted. But for some children in Vermont, having a bed of their own isn't a reality. That's why volunteers with Sleep in Heavenly Peace's Chittenden County chapter spent…
Related markets
All elections ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
24%Figures, 2+ pts
-132
Alabama's 3rd District margin of victory
38.6median
2454
Median 38.6Middle half 32.7 – 43.5
Alabama's 4th District margin of victory
59.3median
4272
Median 59.3Middle half 54.3 – 63.6
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
23.6median
737
Median 23.6Middle half 18.5 – 29
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
26.2median
1548
Median 26.2Middle half 20.6 – 31.5
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions