Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
25.6median
1560
Median 25.6Middle half 20.3 – 30.8
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Texas Governor margin of victory
The odds
28%Hinojosa, 1+ pts
08
How the odds have moved
Hinojosa, 1+ pts: 22% on Oct 24, 28% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hinojosa, 1+ pts | 28% | ▲ 4 | 25¢ | 32¢ | $3.13 | 95.00 |
| Hinojosa, 2+ pts | 22% | ▲ 3 | 20¢ | 24¢ | $4.17 | 287 |
| Hinojosa, 3+ pts | 16% | ▲ 1 | 15¢ | 16¢ | $6.25 | 22.5K |
| Hinojosa, 4+ pts | 13% | ▲ 3 | 11¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | 181 |
| Hinojosa, 5+ pts | 8% | 7¢ | 10¢ | $10.10 | 521 | |
| Hinojosa, 6+ pts | 7% | ▲ 1 | 3¢ | 10¢ | $10.10 | |
| Hinojosa, 7+ pts | 4% | 1¢ | 8¢ | $12.66 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Texas Governor
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Bill Clements documentary revisits his 1978 Texas governor’s raceFilmmaker Mat Hames can't help but spread the word about a Texas political figure who was foolish enough to think he could break one political party's stranglehold on Texas elections and maybe even usher in an unheard-of era of… -
REPLAY: Texas Governor Hosts Get-Out-the-Vote Event in LindaleTexas Gov. Greg Abbott hosts a get-out-the-vote event in Lindale, Texas, on Oct. 23, ahead of the November midterm elections. REPLAY: Texas Governor Hosts Get-Out-the-Vote Event in Lindale -
Today on Texas Standard: Gina Hinojosa makes her case for Texas governorBy Texas StandardOctober 23, 2026 9:07 amTexas Standard Original, Whole Shows Here’s what’s coming up on Texas Standard for Friday, Oct. 23, 2026. Listen on your Texas public radio station, or ask your smart speaker to play Texas Standard… -
Education reform at stake in Ohio, Oregon and Texas governor’s racesEducation is a top issue for voters in the upcoming midterm elections, ranking behind only the economy, the future of democracy and health care. It is also a factor in at least three major gubernatorial races. Nearly 50% of Republican… -
Texas governor odds tighten as Hinojosa closes polling gap on AbbottDemocratic candidate Gina Hinojosa's odds in the Texas governor race have tripled since summer, rising from single digits in mid-July to 37% by late October. While incumbent Governor Greg Abbott continues to hold a strong lead on Kalshi's… -
Gina Hinojosa cites affordability, support for public education in bid for Texas governorPolls are showing the Democrat is giving incumbent Republican Gov. Greg Abbott one of his toughest reelection races in years. By Sarah AschOctober 23, 2026 12:56 pmGovernment & Politics, Texas Standard Original Leila Saidane / KUT News… -
Texas governor’s race 2026: Who is running and what to knowPublished 5:40 am Friday, October 23, 2026 By Kayla Guo and María Méndez, The Texas Tribune To help readers learn more about the candidates running for statewide seats, The Texas Tribune is sharing information about the Republican… -
Texas governor candidate Gina Hinojosa brings campaign tour to HoustonGina Hinojosa, the Democratic candidate for governor, rallied with voters in Montrose and at the University of Houston on Thursday, the fourth day in a row that high-profile Democrats have campaigned in the Bayou City since early voting… -
Texas governor’s race: Abbott holds narrow lead over Hinojosa in latest pollThe What's Your Point panel shares their expectations for Texas' governor race with a little over two weeks left until Election Day. HOUSTON - Republican Texas Gov. Greg Abbott holds a slim lead over Democrat Gina Hinojosa as the pair… -
Abbott Extends Lead Over Hinojosa in Texas Governor RaceActiVote’s October 21, 2026 Texas Governor poll finds that Republican Governor Greg Abbott leads his Democratic challenger Gina Hinojosa by 5.0%. The poll was in the field between October 17 and October 21 (median field date of October… -
Transcript: Texas Democratic gubernatorial candidate Gina Hinojosa on "Face the Nation with Margaret Brennan," Oct. 25, 2026October 25, 2026 / 11:21 AM EDT / CBS News The following is the transcript of the interview with Texas Democratic gubernatorial candidate Gina Hinojosa that aired on "Face the Nation with Margaret Brennan" on Oct. 25, 2026. MARGARET… -
The mega-Maga contender in deep-red Florida who doesn’t want to talk about TrumpByron Donalds removed mentions of the president from his website and has barely uttered his name – will his ploy prove successful in a tight governor’s race? It took Byron Donalds, addressing a wildly supportive crowd at a rally in…
Related markets
All governors ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
24%Figures, 2+ pts
-132
Alabama's 3rd District margin of victory
38.6median
2454
Median 38.6Middle half 32.7 – 43.5
Alabama's 4th District margin of victory
59.3median
4272
Median 59.3Middle half 54.3 – 63.6
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
23.6median
737
Median 23.6Middle half 18.5 – 29
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
26.2median
1548
Median 26.2Middle half 20.7 – 31.5
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions