South Dakota Governor margin of victory

Kalshi Elections › Governors Closes Nov 3, 2027 · $1.2K traded · $833 at stake · prices read 40 min ago

The odds

15.2median
339
Median 15.2Middle half 9.84 – 20.4

How the odds have moved

Median: 19.9 on Oct 20, 15.2 now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Rhoden, 6+ pts 89% 84¢ 93¢ $1.07
Rhoden, 9+ pts 79% ▼ 1 74¢ 83¢ $1.20
Rhoden, 12+ pts 66% 61¢ 71¢ $1.41 1.1K
Rhoden, 15+ pts 51% 46¢ 56¢ $1.79 500
Rhoden, 18+ pts 37% 33¢ 40¢ $2.50 256
Rhoden, 21+ pts 22% 17¢ 27¢ $3.70 100
Rhoden, 24+ pts 12% 7¢ 17¢ $5.88 213
Rhoden, 27+ pts 5% 1¢ 10¢ $10.10 700
Rhoden, 30+ pts 4% 7¢ $13.89 142
Rhoden, 33+ pts 3% 6¢ $17.54
Rhoden, 36+ pts 3% 5¢ $19.23

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: South Dakota Governor

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  • Poll shows Rhoden leading Ahlers in race for South Dakota governorSDPB · 6 days agoA new poll says incumbent Republican Larry Rhoden is leading Democrat challenger Dan Ahlers in the race for South Dakota governor. The poll shows Rhoden with 56 percent support, compared to 36 percent for Ahlers. Eight percent are…
  • South Dakota 2026 Election ResultsMultiState Elections · 3 days ago2026 results › South Dakota General election, November 3, 2026 Results will appear on this page on election night, November 3, 2026, as votes are counted. The last polls in South Dakota close at 9 PM ET. Follow every state live → On the…
  • Kristi Noem Takes Senior Adviser Role at State DepartmentExecutive Gov · 3 days agoFormer Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem will serve as a senior adviser at the State Department after her six-month appointment as special envoy for the Shield of the Americas program expired. Noem confirmed the appointment’s…
  • Gov. Rhoden Deploys Guardsmen to Southern BorderSouth Dakota War College · 3 days ago?We have the most secure border in American history! But there is still more work to do, and we cannot give up the fight,” said Governor Larry Rhoden. “I am proud of our brave guardsmen for serving with strength and courage. Their mission…
  • Kristi Noem Takes New State Department Role After Homeland Security ExitKOTA · 4 days agoWASHINGTON, D.C. – Former South Dakota Governor Kristi Noem is back in a federal government role. Noem has been named a senior adviser to Deputy Secretary of State Christopher Landau. According to a source familiar with the appointment…
  • Governor helps cut ribbon on new Single Engine Air Tanker baseDaily Dispatch · 4 days agoDailyDispatch.com Home » Fire News » South Dakota Fire News » Governor helps cut ribbon on new Single Engine Air Tanker base South Dakota Governor Larry Rhoden was on hand to cut the ribbon on the new Single Engine Air Tanker (SEAT) Base…
  • Mullin’s Wife Caught Up in Free-Flight Scandal That Has Critics Bringing Up Kristi NoemAtlanta Black Star · 4 days agoDonald Trump’s administration has a luxury aircraft problem. The president first raised concerns when he accepted a $400 million jet from the Qatari government in 2025. He took his first flight on the renovated aircraft in July. His use of…
  • Kristi Noem takes new role as senior adviser at State Department@ktivnews · 5 days agoFormer South Dakota Gov. Kristi Noem has taken a new role as a senior adviser at the State Department, working on anti-cartel initiatives with Deputy Secretary Landau. RAPID CITY, S.D. (KOTA) - Former South Dakota Governor Kristi Noem is…
  • South Dakota Tribes Among Hardest Hit by Trump/Musk CutsDakota Free Press · 5 days agoAs Elon Musk and Donald Trump turn their attention to openly betraying Ukraine, we should remember how those two billionaires have betrayed America’s own oppressed victims of invasion, our American Indian brothers and sisters. Kevin…
  • Governor Rhoden Dedicates New Wildfire Air Tanker Base in WallKOTA · 6 days agoWALL, S.D. — South Dakota Governor Larry Rhoden joined state and local officials last week to cut the ribbon on a new Single Engine Air Tanker, or SEAT, base in Wall, a project aimed at improving wildfire response times across western…
  • Poll: Gov. Rhoden leads challenger Ahlers 56-36%Madison Daily Leader · 6 days agoRepublican Gov. Larry Rhoden leads Democratic challenger Dan Ahlers 56% to 36%, according to the latest South Dakota Poll sponsored by News Watch and the Chiesman Center for Democracy at the University of South Dakota. The Oct. 12-14…
  • Kristi Noem sparks concern after posing with new hunting dog: ‘PLEASE DON’T KILL HIM’Toronto Sun · 6 days agoThe former Secretary of Homeland Security posed with Foster to mark the opening of pheasant hunting season. “Happy Opener, South Dakota! Foster and I wish you good luck in the field!,” she wrote in an X post on Saturday. “Pheasant hunting…

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions