Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
25.6median
1560
Median 25.6Middle half 20.3 – 30.7
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South Carolina Governor margin of victory
The odds
10.6median
-228
Median 10.6Middle half 5.50 – 15.1
How the odds have moved
Median: 12.3 on Oct 20, 10.6 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wilson, 1+ pts | 91% | 88¢ | 94¢ | $1.06 | ||
| Wilson, 4+ pts | 82% | ▼ 1 | 79¢ | 85¢ | $1.18 | 1.7K |
| Wilson, 7+ pts | 68% | ▼ 1 | 66¢ | 70¢ | $1.43 | 326 |
| Wilson, 10+ pts | 54% | ▲ 2 | 50¢ | 58¢ | $1.72 | 333 |
| Wilson, 13+ pts | 35% | ▲ 2 | 31¢ | 39¢ | $2.56 | 596 |
| Wilson, 16+ pts | 21% | ▲ 1 | 16¢ | 25¢ | $4.00 | 659 |
| Wilson, 19+ pts | 9% | ▲ 1 | 5¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | 172 |
| Wilson, 22+ pts | 4% | 9¢ | $11.49 | 34.00 | ||
| Wilson, 25+ pts | 4% | 1¢ | 6¢ | $16.39 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: South Carolina Governor
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Nikki Haley, asked if she thinks Trump is a "good candidate," replies "I think he is the Republican nominee"Updated on: September 6, 2024 / 5:16 PM EDT / CBS News Nikki Haley, the former U.S. ambassador to the United Nations, said she doesn't always agree with former President Donald Trump's communications, style or approach, but she backs his… -
VIDEO: South Carolina governor’s race enters two-week sprintLive 5 News VIDEO: South Carolina governor’s race enters two-week sprint VIDEO: City of Charleston Commission on Women to find solutions for affordable child care VIDEO: A bracelet with a big purpose: Berkeley Co. launches life-saving… -
South Carolina governor candidates campaign as early voting beginsWRDW South Carolina governor candidates campaign as early voting begins North Augusta approves rezoning for Victory Baptist Church Authorities look for missing people across the CSRA Cold mornings and seasonal afternoons through the week… -
South Carolina governor’s race enters two-week sprintCOLUMBIA, S.C. (WCSC) — Early voting is underway in South Carolina, and with just two weeks until Election Day, the state’s gubernatorial candidates are making a final push to win over voters. Republican nominee Alan Wilson and Democratic… -
South Carolina's Historic Senate Race Pits Two Women in a Tightening Dead-Heat FightEleven days before South Carolina voters render their verdict on a race that was never supposed to be competitive, the contest for the Palmetto State's open Senate seat has become one of the most scrutinized in the 2026 midterm cycle — a… -
Vivek Ramaswamy, An Ad, Sexual Assault & Mental Health: The $4-Million Campaign ExplainedThe Vivek Ramaswamy ad row refers to a major political controversy sparked in October 2026 by a $4 million statewide campaign advertisement released by Ramaswamy, the Republican nominee for Governor of Ohio. The advertisement has ignited… -
Nikki Haley calls Vivek Ramaswamy a ‘bad guy’ as Republicans rift deepensRepublicans are increasingly divided over Vivek Ramaswamy’s campaign for Ohio governor after an attack ad targeting his Democratic opponent, Amy Acton, drew criticism from prominent members of his own party, including former presidential… -
Trump Repeatedly Short-Circuits During Rally SpeechPresident Donald Trump won’t stop inserting wild sound effects into his already incoherent rants. After holding 21 campaign rallies in the span of just two months, the evidently exhausted 80-year-old president appeared to short-circuit… -
Haley Says Ramaswamy’s Ugly Ohio Ad Proves Her Point: He’s A Bad GuyCOLUMBUS, OH – Former South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley criticized Vivek Ramaswamy, accusing the Ohio MAGA gubernatorial candidate of demonstrating the same willingness to use personal attacks that marked their bitter rivalry during the… -
Former GOP governor David Beasley says Trump's 'demeaning' rhetoric pushed him from partyDavid Beasley spent more than three decades as a Republican, serving as South Carolina’s governor before leading Nobel Peace Prize-winning efforts at the U.N. World Food Programme. Recently, he announced that he’s walking away from his… -
Donald Trump health fears erupt after 'frog in throat' at live rallyConcerns regarding Donald Trump's wellbeing are intensifying following a peculiar sound he produced during a recent address. The President is presently undertaking the midterm campaign circuit, where his demanding itinerary means his every… -
Vance tells Republicans to ‘stop whining’ about controversial Ohio attack adUS Vice-President JD Vance has urged fellow Republicans to stop “whining” about a controversial attack ad that featured a Democratic candidate’s estranged mother calling her a liar. While campaigning in Ohio for Vivek Ramaswamy, the…
Related markets
All governors ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
24%Figures, 2+ pts
-132
Alabama's 3rd District margin of victory
38.6median
2454
Median 38.6Middle half 32.7 – 43.5
Alabama's 4th District margin of victory
59.3median
4272
Median 59.3Middle half 54.3 – 63.6
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
23.6median
737
Median 23.6Middle half 18.5 – 29
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
26.2median
1548
Median 26.2Middle half 20.6 – 31.5
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions