Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
25.6median
1560
Median 25.6Middle half 20.3 – 30.8
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South Carolina's 7th District margin of victory
The odds
14.9median
036
Median 14.9Middle half 9.35 – 20.2
How the odds have moved
Median: 17.1 on Oct 19, 14.9 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fry, 3+ pts | 93% | 89¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | ||
| Fry, 6+ pts | 88% | 83¢ | 92¢ | $1.08 | ||
| Fry, 9+ pts | 77% | ▼ 1 | 72¢ | 81¢ | $1.23 | 245 |
| Fry, 12+ pts | 64% | ▼ 1 | 59¢ | 68¢ | $1.47 | 276 |
| Fry, 15+ pts | 50% | ▼ 1 | 45¢ | 54¢ | $1.85 | 20.00 |
| Fry, 18+ pts | 35% | ▼ 1 | 30¢ | 39¢ | $2.56 | 204 |
| Fry, 21+ pts | 22% | ▼ 1 | 17¢ | 26¢ | $3.85 | 22.00 |
| Fry, 24+ pts | 11% | ▼ 1 | 7¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | |
| Fry, 27+ pts | 5% | 1¢ | 10¢ | $10.20 | 502 | |
| Fry, 30+ pts | 4% | 7¢ | $13.89 | 2.00 | ||
| Fry, 33+ pts | 3% | 6¢ | $17.54 | 3.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: South Carolina
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Graham gains data center industry backing in tight South Carolina Senate raceEstefano Gomez is an editor at Crypto Briefing specializing in blockchain analysis, DeFi, and the intersection of crypto and digital art. He previously served as Editor in Chief at Interesante for over three years, where he covered… -
Bulwark on Sunday: South Carolina? Florida? Mississippi?! Democrats Test the Limits of a Blue WaveA recording from The Bulwark's live video Bulwark on Sunday: South Carolina? Florida? Mississippi?! Democrats Test the Limits of a Blue Wave A recording from The Bulwark’s live video Could Democrats really flip Senate seats in deep-red… -
Protesters removed as Trump rallies behind Darline Graham in South CarolinaPresident Trump threw his support behind Sen. Darline Graham at a South Carolina rally on Wednesday. Plus, candidates in Ohio and Michigan continue to throw jabs as midterm campaigns reach their peak. Weijia Jiang reports. Trump rallies in… -
Protesters disrupt Donald Trump's South Carolina rally – videoThe US president rallied in Clemson, South Carolina, for Republican senator Darline Graham on 21 October. Tension marked the event as several demonstrators were removed and in at least two instances Trump supporters allegedly physically… - Fact Check: Did Trump make a strange noise during South Carolina rally?PENDLETON, SOUTH CAROLINA: With the midterm elections just days away, a video circulating on social media platforms claims that President Donald Trump made a strange noise during the rally in South Carolina. The claim has sparked mockery…
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Does video show Trump making strange noise during South Carolina rally?People spread the clip — which was easily authenticated via the original C-SPAN footage — on various social media platforms. It's anybody's guess whether it was a burp (or other an involuntary noise), or purposeful expression of dislike or… -
Trump makes ‘weird noises’ during South Carolina, Iowa rallies; social media users baffled by ‘eugh’ soundPresident Donald Trump appeared to make ‘weird sounds’ when speaking at rallies in South Carolina and Iowa. Several social media users shared videos of his speech flagging the strange noises the Republican appeared to be making. The… -
Over 350K early votes cast so far in South CarolinaCOLUMBIA, S.C. (WIS) - Over 350,000 ballots have been cast over the first four days of South Carolina’s early voting period. Data from the South Carolina Election Commission shows 82,886 ballots were cast statewide on Thursday, bringing… -
Democrat Nancy Lacore outlines priorities in South Carolina U.S. House District 1 raceCHARLESTON, S.C. (WTOC) - Democrat Nancy Lacore said ending corruption and lowering the cost of living are focuses of her campaign for the South Carolina U.S. House District 1 seat. Lacore is running against Republican Jenny Costa… -
‘Man, I loved that’: Trump cheers South Carolina rally attender who hit protesterPresident was reportedly heckled at least nine times during campaign event for Darline Graham Multiple protesters were removed from Donald Trump’s rally at South Carolina’s Clemson University on Wednesday, including one who was apparently… -
South Carolina to be awarded $10M by FEMA for Helene recoveryThe federal package was announced Thursday. - On Air Now Playing South Carolina Public Radio – News & Talk - On Air Now Playing South Carolina Public Radio - News & Music South Carolina to be awarded $10M by FEMA for Helene recovery The… -
Former Governor of South Carolina Endorses Ralph Norman Over Darline GrahamWASHINGTON—More lines have been drawn in the South Carolina special primary to replace the late Lindsey Graham as the Republican Senate nominee. Former South Carolina Gov. Mark Sanford, who came in fourth in the Aug. 11 primary, has thrown…
Related markets
All elections ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
24%Figures, 2+ pts
-132
Alabama's 3rd District margin of victory
38.6median
2454
Median 38.6Middle half 32.7 – 43.5
Alabama's 4th District margin of victory
59.3median
4272
Median 59.3Middle half 54.3 – 63.6
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
23.6median
737
Median 23.6Middle half 18.5 – 29
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
26.2median
1548
Median 26.2Middle half 20.6 – 31.5
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions