Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
25.6median
1560
Median 25.6Middle half 20.3 – 30.8
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Oregon's 1st District margin of victory
The odds
48.2median
3060
Median 48.2Middle half 42.1 – 54
How the odds have moved
Median: 48.1 on Oct 20, 48.2 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bonamici, 33+ pts | 95% | 90¢ | 99¢ | 4.4K | ||
| Bonamici, 36+ pts | 92% | 87¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | ||
| Bonamici, 39+ pts | 84% | ▼ 1 | 80¢ | 88¢ | $1.14 | |
| Bonamici, 42+ pts | 76% | ▼ 1 | 71¢ | 80¢ | $1.25 | |
| Bonamici, 45+ pts | 65% | 60¢ | 70¢ | $1.43 | ||
| Bonamici, 48+ pts | 51% | 46¢ | 56¢ | $1.79 | ||
| Bonamici, 51+ pts | 37% | 32¢ | 42¢ | $2.38 | ||
| Bonamici, 54+ pts | 25% | 20¢ | 30¢ | $3.33 | ||
| Bonamici, 57+ pts | 11% | 9¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | 1.1K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Oregon
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Meet the hero dad who took down the Oregon elementary school shooterCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. This dad stopped… -
Teacher injured in Oregon shooting shares emotional survival storyCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. Teacher injured in… -
Trump’s DOJ targets Oregon for election monitoringThe Trump administration has notified Oregon election officials that it plans to deploy election monitors to Multnomah County on Election Day Nov. 3. The notification was sent by the Civil Rights Division of the U.S. Department of Justice… -
Lane County tests Oregon’s first smart ballot drop boxEUGENE, Ore. — Lane County is testing what officials describe as Oregon’s first smart ballot drop box, a new technology designed to give election workers an earlier record of returned ballots and help them identify which voters could be… -
Gov. Kotek: Affordable childcare is a ‘lifeline’ for Oregon familiesPublished 2:59 pm Friday, October 23, 2026 More than 20 years ago, Oregon state Rep. Jules Walters, D-Tualatin/West Linn, before she set her sights on politics, was a mom of four facing a difficult choice so many others across the state… -
Oregon expands drop box access across dozens of countiesSALEM, Ore. - Oregon Secretary of State Tobias Read's office has updated voters on where they can find secure, official ballot drop boxes as ballots are now out. "Your vote is your right as an American to hold government accountable. Don't… -
Tina Kotek Just Ahead in Oregon Governor’s RaceA new The Oregonian/OregonLive/DHM Research poll in Oregon finds Tina Kotek (D) leading Christine Drazan (R) in the governor’s race, 46% to 44%. Oregon Governor’s Race Tina Kotek (D) 46% Christine Drazan (R) 44% The… -
Oregon Sheriff Loses Certification for 3 Years After 91-MPH, 0.19 BAC Stop. He’s AppealingThe board acted on its consent agenda with no discussion, the East Oregonian reported, adopting a recommendation its Police Policy Committee made Aug. 20. The criminal case against Rowan ended in a diversion dismissal. The certification… -
Oregon father describes confronting teen shooter at daughters' elementary schoolThe team behind the haunted attraction, “Fright at the Farm,” shares the significant preparation that goes into scaring visitors. The Minnesota Public Utilities Commission has approved a site permit ... Oregon father describes confronting… -
Don’t Mail Ballot After Oct. 27th Say Oregon Election WorkersWatch the Oregon Gubernatorial Debates hosted by KOBI-TV and KTVZ, and view other elections coverage. MEDFORD, Ore.–With the November 3rd election fast approaching, Oregon election workers say if you plan to mail your ballot you should do… -
AI's Dark Cash, the Oregon Massacre, Erin's Law & a Kid With a CameraIn this episode, Jon Leiberman follows Scripps News' reporting on pro-AI super PACs pouring money into 36 House and Senate races, mostly in Georgia, New York and Texas. AI companies want more data centers and they're spending big to elect… - Cyrus Javadi switched parties. Will his Oregon district reelect him anyway?Election Day is Tuesday, Nov. 3. Stay informed with OPB on the Oregon governor's race and other regional contests in Oregon and Southwest Washington at our ballot guide. On a sunny Sunday last month, Cyrus Javadi was not having much…
Related markets
All elections ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
24%Figures, 2+ pts
-132
Alabama's 3rd District margin of victory
38.6median
2454
Median 38.6Middle half 32.7 – 43.5
Alabama's 4th District margin of victory
59.3median
4272
Median 59.3Middle half 54.3 – 63.6
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
23.6median
737
Median 23.6Middle half 18.5 – 29
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
26.2median
1548
Median 26.2Middle half 20.6 – 31.5
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions