Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
25.6median
1560
Median 25.6Middle half 20.3 – 30.7
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New York Governor margin of victory
The odds
14.5median
131
Median 14.5Middle half 9.40 – 18.5
How the odds have moved
Median: 13.8 on Oct 20, 14.5 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hochul, 4+ pts | 92% | ▼ 1 | 90¢ | 93¢ | $1.08 | 6.7K |
| Hochul, 7+ pts | 85% | ▼ 3 | 83¢ | 87¢ | $1.15 | 3.1K |
| Hochul, 10+ pts | 73% | ▼ 6 | 71¢ | 74¢ | $1.35 | 11.0K |
| Hochul, 13+ pts | 60% | ▼ 3 | 59¢ | 60¢ | $1.67 | 11.5K |
| Hochul, 16+ pts | 41% | ▼ 3 | 39¢ | 43¢ | $2.33 | 7.2K |
| Hochul, 19+ pts | 22% | ▼ 6 | 18¢ | 26¢ | $3.85 | 3.8K |
| Hochul, 22+ pts | 10% | ▼ 8 | 7¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | 595 |
| Hochul, 25+ pts | 4% | ▼ 1 | 9¢ | $11.36 | 21.00 | |
| Hochul, 28+ pts | 4% | 2¢ | 6¢ | $16.39 | 1.5K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: New York Governor
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Voices of the voters in the 2026 New York governor's raceCBS News New York is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WCBS-TV and channel 2, CBS News New York offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. - The 5:33 |… -
Hochul campaigns with Mamdani as New York's governor's race enters final stretchOctober 23, 2026 / 6:44 PM EDT / CBS New York Gov. Kathy Hochul is increasingly turning to New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani as she seeks to energize voters in the final weeks of the gubernatorial campaign. Hochul joined Mamdani at a… -
Poll: Hochul has 14-point lead over Blakeman in New York governor’s racePoll: Hochul has 14-point lead over Blakeman in New York governorâs race - The Black Chronicle (The Center Square) â Democratic New York Gov. Kathy Hochul appears poised for another term with a new poll showing her leading Republican… -
Blakeman trailing by double-digits to Hochul in New York governor's raceTHROGGS NECK, The Bronx (WABC) -- Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman, the Republican candidate for governor, campaigned in a conservative enclave of the Bronx on Thursday as he seeks support in an overwhelmingly Democratic city. "Every… - Inside Bruce Blakeman’s High-Stakes Surge for New York Governor: Defying Mandates and Uniting the Right Against Kathy HochulBoth candidates outlined their starkly opposing paths for the state on WABC’s Up Close with Mike Marza, pitching their visions to a fractured electorate. Recent Siena polling shows Hochul’s once-dominant advantage narrowing sharply…
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New York governor's race heats up as Kathy Hochul and Bruce Blakeman clash over high energy costsOctober 20, 2026 / 7:26 PM EDT / CBS New York New York Gov. Kathy Hochul and Republican challenger Bruce Blakeman butted heads on the campaign trail Tuesday over energy policy and the increasingly high cost of utility bills. Hochul took… -
New Poll: Hochul Leads Blakeman By 14 Points In New York Governor’s RaceNEW YORK (VINnews) — Republican Bruce Blakeman has narrowed Gov. Kathy Hochul’s advantage in New York’s gubernatorial contest, although the Democratic incumbent continues to lead by double digits, according to a Quinnipiac University poll… -
Hochul leads Blakeman by 14 points in New York governor’s race, per new Quinnipiac pollNew York Gov. Kathy Hochul leads Republican challenger Bruce Blakeman by 14 percentage points, 55% to 41%, among likely voters, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released on Wednesday, less than two weeks before Election Day… - Ex-aide to New York Governors accused of spying for China: NewsClick funding scandal signals warning for IndiaFormer aide to 2 New York governors is charged with being an agent of the Chinese government (The Seattle Times) Allegations of Espionage and Subtle Influence A Wake-Up Call for India: Lessons from the New York Espionage Case The NewsClick…
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WATCH LIVE: Gov. Hochul campaigns with NYC Mayor Mamdani in BrooklynNew York Governor Kathy Hochul joins New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani to rally voters on the campaign trail in Brooklyn. WATCH LIVE: Gov. Hochul campaigns with NYC Mayor Mamdani in Brooklyn New York Governor Kathy Hochul joins New York… -
FDR made it a blue bastion – now it’s Trump’s stronghold in California. Is it forever lost?Shasta has embraced the Maga movement with gusto – can Democrats ever win back the rural, working-class voters they once relied upon? A crucial election was approaching and the country was desperate. Despite promises that economic… -
What to know about the New York governor’s raceWho will run New York for the next four years? Governor Kathy Hochul, the incumbent Democrat, is seeking her second full term against Republican Bruce Blakeman, the Nassau County executive, in what even some Hochul allies consider to be an…
Related markets
All governors ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
24%Figures, 2+ pts
-132
Alabama's 3rd District margin of victory
38.5median
2454
Median 38.5Middle half 32.7 – 43.4
Alabama's 4th District margin of victory
59.2median
4272
Median 59.2Middle half 54.3 – 63.5
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
23.6median
737
Median 23.6Middle half 18.5 – 28.9
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
26.1median
1548
Median 26.1Middle half 20.6 – 31.4
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions