Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
27%Carl, 33+ pts
3060
Install
New York's 21st District margin of victory
The odds
5.85median
027
Median 5.85
How the odds have moved
Median: 5.81 on Oct 20, 5.85 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Constantino, 3+ pts | 69% | ▲ 4 | 60¢ | 71¢ | $1.41 | 606 |
| Constantino, 6+ pts | 49% | ▼ 1 | 44¢ | 54¢ | $1.85 | 527 |
| Constantino, 9+ pts | 33% | ▲ 2 | 29¢ | 40¢ | $2.50 | 639 |
| Constantino, 12+ pts | 33% | ▲ 12 | 16¢ | 27¢ | $3.70 | 1.4K |
| Constantino, 15+ pts | 27% | ▲ 15 | 7¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | 800 |
| Constantino, 18+ pts | 22% | ▲ 16 | 0¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | 300 |
| Constantino, 21+ pts | 5% | ▲ 1 | 2¢ | 9¢ | $11.63 | 97.00 |
| Constantino, 24+ pts | 3% | ▲ 1 | 7¢ | $14.49 | 1.1K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: New York
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New York to reverse course on statewide ban on Native American imagery for sports logosUpdated on: October 19, 2026 / 4:20 PM EDT / CBS New York New York plans to drop its statewide ban on Native American imagery for school sports logos. The Department of Education said Monday it will recommend that the Board of Regents… - Top New York City Hall aide worked quietly with state super PACIngrid Lewis-Martin made calls soliciting support for the Committee for a Fair New York in an arrangement that alarmed good government groups. 05/10/2023 5:00 AM EDT NEW YORK — An independent expenditure committee supporting a suite of…
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Federal court dismisses suit against New York’s sanctuary laws in a loss for Trump administrationNew York’s mayor celebrated the ruling and said: ‘Our city belongs to all of us, and we will not abandon our neighbors’ A federal court dismissed a lawsuit filed by the Trump administration against New York City’s sanctuary laws on… -
Mamdani leads New York Democrats in demanding parking lot owners ban ICEWashington Examiner Mayor Zohran Mamdani, along with other New York Democrats, asked the owners and operators of parking garages and lots in New York City to prevent Immigration and Customs Enforcement from using their private property as… -
WATCH LIVE: SpaceXAI testifies before New York City CouncilFox Business WATCH LIVE: SpaceXAI testifies before New York City Council Elon Musk’s SpaceXAI is sending its senior manager of global government affairs to testify before the New York City Council Friday, after initially refusing to appear… -
Trump’s New York Stops Are No Ego TripNational Review -
Mamdani, New York Democrats call on private parking lot owners to ban ICE officersby Sarah Davis 10/16/26 03:15 PM ET New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani (D) and other Empire State Democratic leaders urged the city’s private parking lot owners Friday to ban Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) officers from their… -
New York to spend another $1.2B to expand childcare options(The Center Square) — New York is moving to further expand "universal" childcare by diverting $1.2 billion to create 10,000 more seats in taxpayer-subsidized pre-K programs this fall. The expansion was announced Monday by Gov. Kathy Hochul… -
Vivek Ramaswamy appears to have violated New York state bar registration rulesOhio's Republican nominee for governor reportedly listed a West Chester address as his home in a July 2026 New York attorney filing, five years after moving to Columbus and registering to vote there. The conflicting addresses raise… -
New York’s suburban Dems face a Mamdani dilemmaJewish Democrats fear the mayor could dampen the party’s chances in suburban and outer borough races Mayor Zohran Mamdani speaks during a press conference at the Unisphere on Nov. 5, 2025. New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s socialist… -
Republican Attorney General Candidate New York, Saritha Komatireddy, Lays Out Her VisionFresh off a fiery political debate last week, Republican challenger Saritha Komatireddy on Oct. 15 laid out a plan for her first hundred days in office if elected to replace incumbent New York Attorney General Leticia James. Komatireddy… -
Is It Illegal To Remove A Neighbor’s Political Yard Sign In New York?If you have a social media account, a television, or a radio it would be pretty difficult to not know that Tuesday November 3, 2026 is Election Day in the United States! One of the most visible reminders are the political signs dotting the…
Related markets
All elections ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
15%Figures, 5+ pts
232
Alabama's 3rd District margin of victory
39.2median
2454
Median 39.2Middle half 33 – 45.2
Alabama's 4th District margin of victory
61.8median
4278
Median 61.8Middle half 57.4 – 66.4
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
21.9median
737
Median 21.9Middle half 18.5 – 32
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
28.5median
1848
Median 28.5Middle half 22.8 – 37.2
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.