Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
25.6median
1560
Median 25.6Middle half 20.3 – 30.7
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Nevada Governor margin of victory
The odds
2.74median
-213
Median 2.74
How the odds have moved
Median: 1 on Oct 20, 2.74 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ford, 1+ pts | 63% | ▲ 3 | 61¢ | 64¢ | $1.56 | 15.8K |
| Ford, 4+ pts | 41% | ▲ 2 | 40¢ | 42¢ | $2.38 | 7.1K |
| Ford, 7+ pts | 23% | ▲ 2 | 21¢ | 24¢ | $4.17 | 2.1K |
| Ford, 10+ pts | 9% | ▲ 1 | 8¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | 294 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Nevada Governor
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Election 2026 Nevada GovernorWV News Democratic gubernatorial candidate Aaron Ford, attorney general of Nevada, speaks accompanied by Diana Valles, president of the Culinary Union, at the Culinary Workers Union headquarters Wednesday, Oct. 21, 2026, in Las Vegas… -
Got a Minute? Danielle Ford, running for Nevada governor, shares her native rootsFOX5 Vegas Got a Minute? Danielle Ford, running for Nevada governor, shares her native roots Got a Minute? Bobby Khan, running for Nevada's first congressional district, shares goals FULL: General Election interview with Aaron Ford |… -
FULL: General Election interview with Aaron Ford | Nevada GovernorFOX5 Vegas FULL: General Election interview with Aaron Ford | Nevada Governor FULL: General Election interview with Danielle Ford | Nevada Governor More than 23,000 cast ballots in Clark County early voting opening weekend Got a Minute?… -
FULL: General Election interview with Danielle Ford | Nevada GovernorFOX5 Vegas FULL: General Election interview with Danielle Ford | Nevada Governor FULL: General Election interview with Aaron Ford | Nevada Governor More than 23,000 cast ballots in Clark County early voting opening weekend Got a Minute?… -
Sandoval confident in electionsRENO, Nev. (KOLO) -Early voting is well underway here in Nevada. There will always be a healthy skepticism about elections, and counting machines as well as elections workers. Former Nevada Governor Brian Sandoval who is now president of… - Photograph : Kamala Harris Campaigns At Culinary UnionKamala Harris Campaigns At Culinary Union Attorney General Aaron Ford, Democratic candidate for Nevada governor, speaks to union members during an event at the Culinary Workers Union, Local 226, headquarters Wednesday, Oct. 21, 2026. Diana…
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Got a Minute? Nevada incumbent for lieutenant governor Stavros Anthony shares his local experienceFOX5 Vegas Got a Minute? Nevada incumbent for lieutenant governor Stavros Anthony shares his local experience FULL: General Election interview with Susie Lee | NV US House District 3 FULL: General Election interview with Marty O’Donnell |… - Amodei Calls Flippo a ‘Fraud’ on CNN as Nevada’s GOP Stronghold Turns Competitive Amid Early Voting Edge for DemocratsNevada’s 2nd Congressional District has never elected a Democrat since its creation, but candidate controversies and early voting numbers have made the race unusually competitive By Megan Barth, October 23, 2026 11:45 am Retiring…
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Our top takeaways from Nevada’s new campaign finance reportsBy Eric Neugeboren, Tabitha Mueller, Mini Racker, and Isabella AldreteThe Nevada Independent Millions of dollars poured into Nevada’s congressional and statewide races from July through September, according to campaign finance reports… -
53 Nevada legislative seats are up in 2026. Most fundraising is going to nine of them.Nevada's governor race is the biggest-ticket item on voters' ballots this fall. But what the next governor can accomplish will depend largely on this year's downballot state Assembly and Senate races. Donors poured millions of dollars… -
Lombardo, Ford in statistical tie in latest Nevada governor race pollingCandidates have debated data centers, education, voter ID, abortion, affordable housing, and the tourism industry. Republican Gov. Joe Lombardo and Democratic Attorney General Aaron Ford are competing neck to neck as the nation tunes in to… -
Looking at recent 2026 Nevada campaign finance reportsBoth campaigns have seen money pouring in. We are exactly two weeks away from Election Day, and campaigns have seen money pouring in, according to the latest contribution and expense reports. The biggest takeaway is how much money is being…
Related markets
All governors ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
24%Figures, 2+ pts
-132
Alabama's 3rd District margin of victory
38.5median
2454
Median 38.5Middle half 32.7 – 43.4
Alabama's 4th District margin of victory
59.2median
4272
Median 59.2Middle half 54.3 – 63.5
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
23.6median
737
Median 23.6Middle half 18.5 – 28.9
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
26.1median
1548
Median 26.1Middle half 20.6 – 31.4
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions