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Nebraska Governor margin of victory
The odds
How the odds have moved
Median: 10.5 on Oct 19, 8.45 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republicans, 4+ pts | 68% | ▼ 8 | 8¢ | 74¢ | $1.35 | 560 |
| Republicans, 7+ pts | 65% | ▲ 3 | 2¢ | 63¢ | $1.59 | 300 |
| Republicans, 10+ pts | 34% | ▼ 11 | 4¢ | 49¢ | $2.04 | 323 |
| Republicans, 13+ pts | 27% | ▼ 3 | 3¢ | 36¢ | $2.78 | 204 |
| Republicans, 19+ pts | 14% | ▲ 5 | 1¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | 200 |
| Republicans, 22+ pts | 14% | 1¢ | 9¢ | $11.76 | ||
| Republicans, 25+ pts | 14% | ▲ 20 | 1¢ | 25¢ | $4.00 | 13.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Nebraska Governor
Search ›- Nebraska Governor Candidate Lynne Walz Vows Day-One Executive Order to Expedite Medical Marijuana AccessDaily Cannabis News Brief for 10/19/2026 Nebraska Democratic gubernatorial candidate Lynne Walz says if she’s elected next month she will sign an executive order on her first day in office to accelerate implementation of the state’s…
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Jim Pillen Barely Leads in Nebraska Governor’s RacePolitical Wire Just dropped · Trial Balloon · Ep. 191 A new Public Policy Polling poll in Nebraska finds Jim Pillen (R) leading Lynne Walz (D) in the governor’s race, 44% to 43%. “Separate but equal” was the infamous justification for the… -
New Nebraska governor's race poll shows Walz and Pillen statistically tiedA new poll from Public Policy Polling shows Republican Gov. Jim Pillen holding a lead of just one percentage point over challenger Lynne Walz, the Democratic nominee and a former state lawmaker from Fremont. President Donald Trump… -
Who funded Nebraska Working People, America First parties? Law doesn’t require disclosure.LINCOLN — Candidates and ballot-measure campaigns petitioning to appear on Nebraska's ballot must disclose how much is spent on signature gathering. But Nebraska law doesn't require new political parties to disclose their finances until… -
The Races I Missed Earlier: Late Breaking Contests #1There are five contests I missed in earlier articles that have been elevated to “Districts in Play” by the DCCC. I will cover these contests in two separate entries. They include Kansas-2, North Carolina-9, North Carolina-13, Texas-9, and… -
Lower Big Blue NRD closing recreation areasThe Lower Big Blue Natural Resources District is closing several recreation areas to vehicle traffic beginning Oct. 28. U.S. Sen. Pete Ricketts defended his 2022 vote to pardon a man convicted of first-degree sexual assault after a new ad… -
Nebraska task force to review emergency communications after wildfire challengesNebraska Governor Jim Pillen says he’s taking steps to strengthen emergency response resources for rural communities impacted by natural disasters. He tells Brownfield there were communication challenges between volunteer fire departments… -
Nebraska governor urges veterans to move to Cornhusker State through new initiativeGov. Jim Pillen announced Tuesday morning a new initiative with the goal of bringing more veterans to Nebraska. Good Life is Calling Veterans will overhaul the state's recruiting efforts for veterans across the United States. The program… -
South entrance of Madison County Courthouse to close temporarilyThe entrance will close at 7 a.m. Wednesday and remain closed until noon Thursday, Oct. 22, according to Madison County Clerk Anne Pruss. During that time, visitors and county employees must use the courthouse’s north entrance to enter and… -
Nebraska challengers Osborn, Backemeyer outraise incumbents in Senate, House racesIndependent U.S. Senate candidate Dan Osborn outraised incumbent Republican U.S. Sen. Pete Ricketts in the third quarter of 2026, bringing in roughly $4 million compared to Ricketts' $2.2 million, according to campaign finance records. We… -
Norfolk Avenue road work, lighting project to affect trafficMotorists can expect road work and traffic disruptions along Norfolk Avenue over the next several days as the city continues its mill-and-overlay project and prepares for overhead lighting work downtown. Road work will take place along… -
In her own words: Lynne Walz on property taxes, the budget and medical marijuanaThe Democratic candidate for Nebraska governor says the state's budget comes first, and property tax relief comes next Early voting is underway in Nebraska, and the race for governor is closer than many expected. KETV NewsWatch 7 sat down…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions