Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
25.6median
1560
Median 25.6Middle half 20.3 – 30.7
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North Dakota margin of victory
The odds
27.9median
1545
Median 27.9Middle half 22.6 – 33
How the odds have moved
Median: 27.7 on Oct 19, 27.9 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fedorchak, 18+ pts | 91% | 86¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | ||
| Fedorchak, 21+ pts | 82% | ▼ 1 | 77¢ | 86¢ | $1.16 | |
| Fedorchak, 24+ pts | 70% | ▼ 1 | 65¢ | 74¢ | $1.35 | 226 |
| Fedorchak, 27+ pts | 55% | 50¢ | 60¢ | $1.67 | 180 | |
| Fedorchak, 30+ pts | 39% | ▲ 2 | 34¢ | 44¢ | $2.27 | 9.00 |
| Fedorchak, 33+ pts | 25% | 20¢ | 30¢ | $3.33 | 2.00 | |
| Fedorchak, 36+ pts | 13% | 9¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | 229 | |
| Fedorchak, 39+ pts | 6% | 1¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | 79.00 | |
| Fedorchak, 42+ pts | 4% | 7¢ | $13.70 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: North Dakota
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Senator Hoeven addresses North Dakota livestock producersKFYR-TV BISMARCK, N.D. (KFYR) - Saturday afternoon, North Dakota Republican Senator John Hoeven addressed key priorities for livestock producers at the annual Independent Beef Association of North Dakota meeting (I-BAND). At the Radisson… -
Senator Cramer urges Defense Production Act funding for North Dakota oil refineryUnited States Senator Kevin Cramer on The Flag’s What’s On Your Mind FARGO, N.D. — U.S. Sen. Kevin Cramer is pushing for federal defense dollars to support refinery construction in Western North Dakota following the Biden administration’s… -
North Dakota bishops back 60 per cent threshold for constitutional amendmentsBishops John Folda and David Kagan say Measure 1 would protect the state constitution and help safeguard North Dakota’s pro-life laws from changes backed by narrow majorities North Dakota bishops back 60 per cent threshold for… - Early voting in North Dakota begins as one group looks to encourage Native votersEarly in-person voting begins in certain counties throughout North Dakota during the next week, an opportunity one Bismarck-area group is highlighting to encourage Indigenous people to vote. Staff of the Sacred Pipe Resource Center…
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Catholic bishops urge support of North Dakota Measure 1Diocese of Fargo Bishop John Folda (left) & Diocese of Bismarck Bishop David Kagan. Fargo, N.D. (KVRR) - North Dakota's Catholic bishops are urging Catholics to vote in support of North Dakota Constitutional Measure 1. Bishop John Folda of… -
A look at early voting trends in North DakotaMINOT, N.D. (KMOT) - Ward County is preparing for thousands of voters to cast their ballots before election. County Auditor Marisa Haman expects around 8,000 people to vote early this year. Haman said that would be similar to the number… -
Early in-person voting in North Dakota begins as group looks to encourage Native votersBISMARCK — Early in-person voting begins in certain counties throughout North Dakota during the next week, an opportunity one Bismarck-area group is highlighting to encourage Indigenous people to vote. Staff of the Sacred Pipe Resource… -
Six North Dakota communities receive $4.2M in CDBG awardsThe North Dakota Department of Commerce has awarded $4,216,938 through the Community Development Block Grant (CDBG) program to six communities across the state, supporting critical infrastructure improvements, housing rehabilitation and… -
FEMA Allocates Nearly $4.5 Million to Bolster North Dakota Storm Recovery and Infrastructure ResilienceDENVER — North Dakota communities will receive nearly $4.5 million in federal disaster assistance to reimburse recovery costs from past severe weather events and fortify essential utilities against future storms, the Federal Emergency… -
North Dakota Supreme Court Hears Arguments in Election CaseDakota News Network North Dakota Supreme Court Hears Arguments in Election Case (Bismarck, ND) — Less than two weeks before the midterm elections, a case before the North Dakota Supreme Court is challenging the candidacy of some primary… - Port: Why North Dakota seems immune to the national 'blue wave'MINOT — Nationally, Republicans are in a panic ahead of this midterm election. It's not just that the polls suggest they're on a path to losing in key battleground states. It's also that Democratic candidates are competitive in Republican…
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Issue spotlight: North Dakota attorney general candidates cautious on AI use in law and orderBISMARCK, N.D. (North Dakota Monitor) – Candidates for North Dakota’s top law enforcement position say artificial intelligence will be transformative for society but is not a replacement for humans in investigations or legal matters…
Related markets
All elections ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
24%Figures, 2+ pts
-132
Alabama's 3rd District margin of victory
38.5median
2454
Median 38.5Middle half 32.7 – 43.4
Alabama's 4th District margin of victory
59.2median
4272
Median 59.2Middle half 54.3 – 63.5
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
23.6median
737
Median 23.6Middle half 18.5 – 28.9
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
26.1median
1548
Median 26.1Middle half 20.6 – 31.4
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions