Maine Governor margin of victory

Kalshi Elections › Governors Closes Nov 3, 2027 · $41 today · $2.2K traded · $1.2K at stake · prices read 3 h ago

The odds

14.3median
030
Median 14.3Middle half 10.3 – 19

How the odds have moved

Median: 14.2 on Oct 20, 14.3 now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Pingree, 3+ pts 93% 90¢ 96¢ $1.04 13.00
Pingree, 6+ pts 91% 86¢ 95¢ $1.05 77.00
Pingree, 9+ pts 84% ▼ 1 79¢ 88¢ $1.14 2.0K
Pingree, 12+ pts 65% ▼ 2 60¢ 69¢ $1.45
Pingree, 15+ pts 46% ▼ 3 41¢ 50¢ $2.00 534
Pingree, 18+ pts 30% ▼ 2 25¢ 34¢ $2.94 745
Pingree, 21+ pts 16% ▼ 1 12¢ 20¢ $5.00 46.00
Pingree, 24+ pts 8% ▼ 1 4¢ 12¢ $8.33
Pingree, 27+ pts 5% 1¢ 8¢ $11.90

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Maine Governor

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  • Independent Rick Bennett pushes common-ground politics in Maine governor bid@WABI_TV5 · 2 days agoBANGOR, Maine (WABI) - Independent candidate for governor Rick Bennett says it’s time for a different kind of politics — one that starts with common ground. Bennett says running without a party label lets him focus on Maine as a whole. He…
  • Maine governor candidates lay out housing plans, budget prioritiesMainebiz · 4 days agoRenee joined Mainebiz in 2017 after more than two decades as a journalist in Europe and was promoted to deputy editor in 2025. She covers beats including startups, small business and banking and finance and has won several awards for her…
  • Recommended StoriesWashington Examiner · 35 h agoWashington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a…
  • McGuinness welcomes Maine Governor to Leinster House for discussions on trade, maritime affairs and Irish unity – Conor D. McGuinness TDSinn Féin · 5 days agoSinn Féin TD for Waterford Conor D. McGuinness welcomed Governor Janet Mills to Leinster House as part of his ongoing engagement to deepen relations between Ireland and the State of Maine. As Cathaoirleach of the Oireachtas Committee on…
  • Independent candidates hold the key to our democracy | Opinionpressherald.com · 20 h agoSam Hunkler of Beals was a 2022 independent candidate for Maine governor. It’s a squeal I often heard while collecting signatures to get on the ballot. “You’re going to split the vote,” a political party cry. One woman was beside herself…
  • Maine firefighters union endorses Collins, Pingree@WABI_TV5 · 2 days agoWELLS, Maine (WABI/WMTW) - The Professional Firefighters of Maine and International Association of Fire Fighters endorsed candidates from both parties Thursday, backing Sen. Susan Collins and gubernatorial candidate Hannah Pingree. Collins…
  • Maine 2026 Election ResultsMultiState Elections · 3 days ago2026 results › Maine General election, November 3, 2026 Results will appear on this page on election night, November 3, 2026, as votes are counted. The last polls in Maine close at 8 PM ET. Follow every state live → On the Maine ballot…
  • Anti-Trump Maine voters to decide fate of GOP's only New England senatorMacon Telegraph · 2 days agoBANGOR, Maine − As the only Republican senator from a state that President Donald Trump lost in 2024, Maine's Susan Collins was supposed to be the most vulnerable Senate Republican up for re-election in 2026. Trump's presidency is…
  • Maine Gov. LePage accuses lawmaker of calling him racist, wishes they could duelPOLITICO · 6 days agoMaine Gov. Paul LePage left an explicit message on a Democratic lawmaker’s phone voicemail on Thursday morning, accusing the legislator of calling him a racist and subsequently expressing a desire to challenge him to an armed duel. “I want…
  • Letter: Rick Bennett advocated for Mainers most in needBangor Daily News · 5 days agoBangor Daily News Letters submitted by BDN readers are verified by BDN Opinion Page staff. Send your letters to [email protected] I will be voting for Rick Bennett for governor because I believe he is way ahead in vision…
  • Sen. Elizabeth Warren joins Troy Jackson and Hannah Pingree at No Kings rally in PortlandWMTW · 8 days agoSen. Elizabeth Warren, D-MA, joined Democratic candidates for U.S. Senate Troy Jackson and for Maine governor Hannah Pingree on Saturday in Portland for a No Kings Rally. Hundreds of supporters filled Deering Oaks Park to speak out against…
  • Rebecca Nagle (@gohini)Substack · 9 days agoWabanaki leaders just endorsed Hannah Pingree for Maine governor after she promised to restore their full tribal sovereignty. A 1980 law binds Maine's tribes to state law—treating them like towns, not nations. "Sovereignty is not a favor…

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