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Idaho Governor margin of victory
The odds
How the odds have moved
Median: 28.1 on Oct 19, 24.3 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Little, 15+ pts | 88% | 83¢ | 93¢ | $1.08 | ||
| Little, 18+ pts | 78% | ▼ 1 | 73¢ | 82¢ | $1.22 | 650 |
| Little, 21+ pts | 66% | ▼ 1 | 61¢ | 70¢ | $1.43 | |
| Little, 24+ pts | 52% | ▼ 1 | 47¢ | 56¢ | $1.79 | 205 |
| Little, 27+ pts | 38% | ▼ 1 | 33¢ | 42¢ | $2.38 | 2.00 |
| Little, 30+ pts | 26% | 21¢ | 31¢ | $3.23 | 507 | |
| Little, 33+ pts | 18% | ▼ 1 | 13¢ | 22¢ | $4.55 | 641 |
| Little, 36+ pts | 7% | ▼ 1 | 3¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | 479 |
| Little, 39+ pts | 4% | 9¢ | $11.76 | 141 | ||
| Little, 42+ pts | 3% | 6¢ | $16.39 | 84.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Idaho Governor
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Idaho governor candidates propose budget solutions ahead of upcoming electionKOOTENAI COUNTY, Idaho -- In 15 days, voters in Idaho will decide between the six candidates currently running for governor. Many of those candidates believe the state needs to move in a different direction. Some say the state has… -
Idaho Health and Welfare Director to step down later this yearIdaho Department of Health and Welfare Director Juliet Charron is leaving her job later this year. Boise State Public Radio first reported the news on Wednesday. A spokeswoman for Idaho Governor Brad Little says Charron is leaving to focus… -
Commentary: Idaho helped start the nuclear age. We should help write what comes next.In July, the U.S. Department of Energy named Idaho as a finalist to host one of three Nuclear Lifecycle Innovation Campuses. As former legal counsel for Idaho Gov. Butch Otter and administrator of the Idaho Governor’s Office of Species… -
Jalen Hurts out for season due to clotsKXLY.com Local news coverage from KXLY+ Chiefs' Harrington wins WHL Player of the Week Jalen Hurts out for season due to clots Dad arrested for son's fentanyl death - Spokane Police ask for help finding missing 94-year-old man - WSU… -
4 News Now Nightside - October 19, 2026KXLY.com Local news coverage from KXLY+ 4 News Now Nightside - October 19, 2026 Chiefs' Harrington wins WHL Player of the Week Jalen Hurts out for season due to clots - Spokane Police ask for help finding missing 94-year-old man - WSU… -
Thrills vs. SafetyKXLY.com Local news coverage from KXLY+ Gonzaga ranked number 15 in preseason AP poll WSU begins prep for #21 Boise State - Spokane Police ask for help finding missing 94-year-old man - WSU defense faces major test against Boise Stateâs… -
WSU begins prep for #21 Boise StateKXLY.com Local news coverage from KXLY+ Lay's announce new holiday chip flavors Trump calls on New Mexico to become New America Gonzaga ranked number 15 in preseason AP poll - Spokane Police ask for help finding missing 94-year-old man… -
Here’s Why Idaho Governor Brad Little Needs Four More YearsBrad Little isn't exciting, but he manages Idaho like a solid quarterback who gets the job done. After eight years, the state hasn't fallen apart. Here’s Why Idaho Governor Brad Little Needs Four More Years First, unlike a radical fringe… -
Utah, Idaho and Wyoming's governors tour a nuclear power plant under constructionKEMMERER, Wyoming — Microsoft founder Bill Gates hosted the governors of Utah, Idaho and Wyoming at a construction site for a new nuclear power plant. "We've got our permit, we've got our construction plans, so here we are," he said… -
Little leads in fundraisingCandidate for governor Terri Pickens smiles as she speaks with voters. The race for Idaho governor features three main candidates: Republican incumbent Brad Little, independent John Stegner and Democrat Terri Pickens. Campaign finance… - Idaho Gov. Brad Little announces record-breaking campaign contributionsIdaho Gov. Brad Little’s campaign has broken the fundraising record for a statewide candidate’s reelection, his campaign announced Wednesday. That record was previously set by his 2022 campaign. Little’s campaign has raised over $2.4…
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Protest over transgender rights leads to second trespassing convictionRiley Shoemaker is a Senior Reporter at Idaho News 6, where she covers politics, government accountability, education, criminal justice and the stories that impact Idahoans every day. BOISE, Idaho — An Ada County jury found Andrea Rane…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions