Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
25.6median
1560
Median 25.6Middle half 20.3 – 30.8
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Iowa's 1st District margin of victory
The odds
5%Meeks, 3+ pts
012
How the odds have moved
Meeks, 3+ pts: 4% on Oct 19, 5% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meeks, 3+ pts | 5% | 0¢ | 10¢ | $10.42 | 2.1K | |
| Meeks, 6+ pts | 5% | 2¢ | 7¢ | $14.49 | 3.2K | |
| Meeks, 9+ pts | 3% | 6¢ | $17.54 | 1.5K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Iowa
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Iowa’s Senate rivals pitch independence from their partiesAshley Hinson qualified her pledge to be Trump’s strongest ally, while Josh Turek praised the president’s border record. U.S. Senate candidate Josh Turek speaks during a debate with his Republican opponent, Ashley Hinson, on Oct. 7, 2026… - Iowa’s health care electionThe unofficial guide to official Washington, every morning and weekday afternoons. 10/25/2026 12:37 PM EDT With help from Ali Bianco and Irie Sentner Happy Sunday. This is Eli Okun coming to you with a dispatch from Iowa, where I…
- Health care shakes up the Iowa electionIf Democrats flip Congress, health care could find its way to the top of their 2027 agenda. 10/25/2026 12:26 PM EDT WAVERLY, Iowa — Gas and grocery prices have dominated the midterms, but November is shaping up to be a health care election…
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Iowa’s cancer problem is scrambling the midtermsAs the debate season kicked off in Iowa’s heated gubernatorial race, one question seemed to animate and, in some ways, unify the candidates. “What are the immediate and specific steps that you would take to combat Iowa’s cancer crisis?”… -
Iowa farmers continue backing Trump and GOP ahead of midtermsIowa GOP gubernatorial candidate Zach Lahn joins ‘The Big Weekend Show’ to discuss diesel prices, farmers’ support for the GOP and his race against Iowa State Auditor Rob Sand. Iowa farmers continue backing Trump and GOP ahead of midterms… -
‘On the brink of a crisis’: Farmers’ troubles imperil Iowa GOP after years of dominanceThis harvest season, farmers are feeling the pinch from both the war with Iran and the trade war. And it’s causing political problems for Iowa Republicans. POLK CITY, Iowa — Aaron Lehman has spent every fall for decades working the fields… -
Oil politics squeeze IowaThe unofficial guide to official Washington, every morning and weekday afternoons. 10/23/2026 02:36 PM EDT And President Donald Trump just told reporters that the order came directly from him, another breach of DOJ independence: “I’m the… -
Thune campaigns with Ashley Hinson as Senate Republicans view Iowa as a majority-makerOctober 23, 2026 / 10:09 PM EDT / CBS News Sioux City, Iowa — Senate Majority Leader John Thune campaigned with GOP Rep. Ashley Hinson in Iowa on Friday in his latest effort to prop up Republican candidates on the campaign trail… -
Trump floats unconstitutional third term at campaign rally in Iowa – videoDonald Trump told rally-goers on Thursday evening that he had 'the right to run again' for president, invoking a claim he has repeatedly made that he may seek a third term despite it being unconstitutional Continue reading... Trump floats… -
WATCH LIVE: Senate Majority Leader Thune joins Ashley Hinson on Iowa bus tourSenate Majority Leader John Thune joins Rep. Ashley Hinson in Sioux City, Iowa, to tour the 185th Air Refueling Wing and host a campaign roundtable discussion. WATCH LIVE: Senate Majority Leader Thune joins Ashley Hinson on Iowa bus tour… -
Iowa's Ashley Hinson courts Trump loyalists while promising to push back on himOctober 23, 2026 / 11:43 AM CDT / AP After Ashley Hinson dropped off her boys at school earlier this month, she saw the initials "DJT" flash on her phone. "'Ashley, it's your favorite president,'" Iowa's Republican nominee for U.S. Senate… -
Donald Trump Iowa Rally Tests Ashley Hinson’s Distancing StrategyOct 23, 2026 at 12:36 PM EDT Oct 23, 2026 at 12:37 PM EDT U.S. President Donald Trump told Iowans to “pretend [he] is on the ballot” in the November election, a message that may test Republican Senate candidate Ashley Hinson’s campaign…
Related markets
All elections ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
24%Figures, 2+ pts
-132
Alabama's 3rd District margin of victory
38.6median
2454
Median 38.6Middle half 32.7 – 43.5
Alabama's 4th District margin of victory
59.3median
4272
Median 59.3Middle half 54.3 – 63.6
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
23.6median
737
Median 23.6Middle half 18.5 – 29
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
26.2median
1548
Median 26.2Middle half 20.6 – 31.5
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions