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Florida Governor margin of victory
The odds
How the odds have moved
Jolly, 1+ pts: 13% on Oct 24, 14% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jolly, 1+ pts | 14% | 10¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | 114 | |
| Jolly, 2+ pts | 10% | 6¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | ||
| Jolly, 3+ pts | 7% | 5¢ | 9¢ | $11.36 | 14.0K | |
| Jolly, 4+ pts | 6% | ▲ 1 | 4¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | 10.00 |
| Jolly, 5+ pts | 4% | 1¢ | 8¢ | $11.90 | ||
| Jolly, 6+ pts | 4% | 3¢ | 6¢ | $17.24 | 7.6K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Florida Governor
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President Trump and Florida Governor Ron DeSantis Deliver Brief Media Remarks from Fort Myers AirportFlorida Governor Ron DeSantis traveled to Regional Southwest airport in Fort Myers to welcome President Trump who is holding a midterm MAGA rally in the region. President Trump and Governor DeSantis delivered quick remarks. The video is… - Florida governor Ron DeSantis urges states to stop hiring foreign workers through H-1B visa program at universitiesFlorida Governor Ron DeSantis has urged other US states to stop hiring foreign workers through the H-1B visa program at public universities, arguing that such hiring comes at the expense of young American graduates struggling to find jobs…
- As Florida governor’s race tightens, Ken Griffin gives another $5 million to DonaldsMiami billionaire Ken Griffin has contributed another $5 million to a PAC for Republican candidate Byron Donalds, bringing his total support for Donalds’ bid for Florida governor to $15 million as the Nov. 3 election approaches. The latest…
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Byron Donalds predicts victory in tightening Florida Governor raceFox News Byron Donalds predicts victory in tightening Florida Governor race Republican Florida Gubernatorial candidate Byron Donalds discusses the tightening race in the Sunshine State on 'America's Newsroom.' Florida Governor candidate… -
Donalds ducks Trump as Florida governor fight tightensByron Donalds is trying to win a statewide race in Florida without making Donald Trump the centerpiece of it. When pressed on whether he was trying to separate himself from Trump’s more unpopular positions, he brushed off the question and… -
Florida governor’s race tightens in home stretchFox News Florida governor’s race tightens in home stretch Rep. Byron Donalds, R-Fla., discusses the tightening Florida governor’s race, his Democratic opponent David Jolly and the key voter groups shaping the race. Rep. Byron Donalds… -
Florida governor, U.S. Senate races tighten in latest poll from UNFTwo major Florida races are competitive, according to a new University of North Florida poll, with Republican Byron Donalds leading Democrat David Jolly by 2 percentage points in the governor's race and Republican incumbent Ashley Moody… -
Florida governor's race focuses on affordability as candidates campaign across South FloridaWith Election Day approaching, the candidates for Florida governor and lieutenant governor are making stops across South Florida, focusing on affordability, immigration and the economy as both parties work to mobilize voters. NBC6’s Hatzel… -
Donalds, Jolly in dead heat for Florida governor: PollA new poll shows Byron Donalds and David Jolly are neck and neck in the race to become Floridaâs next governor. FOX 13âs Matthew McClellan reports. TAMPA, Fla. - Florida's race for governor is entering its final two weeks essentially… - Florida Governor Appoints Stephen Beckman to Construction Licensing BoardFlorida Gov. Ron DeSantis appoints Naples Building Services Director Stephen Beckman to the Construction Industry Licensing Board, pending Senate confirmation. Gift a Payroll Tax Calendar to your Payroll Admins this holiday season. →…
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Florida Governor Race Odds Face a Polling Reality CheckFlorida’s governor race is proving difficult to pin down, with recent polls offering very different pictures of the contest. As Election Day approaches, voter enthusiasm, turnout expectations and regional differences could matter more than… -
Donalds and Jolly aren't the only candidates for Florida governor. Here's the rest of the fieldSome people would argue it's not the best system in the world, but the two-party system is what drives American politics. In Florida's gubernatorial race, Republican Byron Donalds and Democrat David Jolly are dominating the race. They have…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions