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Connecticut's 3rd District margin of victory
The odds
How the odds have moved
Median: 25.0 on Oct 20, 26.9 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeLauro, 14+ pts | 92% | 90¢ | 93¢ | $1.07 | 62.00 | |
| DeLauro, 17+ pts | 89% | 84¢ | 94¢ | $1.06 | 428 | |
| DeLauro, 20+ pts | 81% | ▼ 1 | 76¢ | 85¢ | $1.18 | 416 |
| DeLauro, 23+ pts | 69% | ▼ 1 | 64¢ | 73¢ | $1.37 | 650 |
| DeLauro, 26+ pts | 55% | 50¢ | 60¢ | $1.67 | 503 | |
| DeLauro, 29+ pts | 39% | 34¢ | 44¢ | $2.27 | 308 | |
| DeLauro, 32+ pts | 25% | 20¢ | 30¢ | $3.33 | 303 | |
| DeLauro, 35+ pts | 14% | 10¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 | 823 | |
| DeLauro, 38+ pts | 5% | 2¢ | 8¢ | $12.20 | 1.4K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Connecticut
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This Week in Connecticut: Oct. 25, 2026Connecticut's election system, a West Hartford entrepreneur's mission to provide healthier food options and efforts to support young patients at Connecticut Children's are among the topics featured this week on "This Week in Connecticut… -
Webull to pull sports prediction market services out of ConnecticutHARTFORD — Another company plans to pull its sports-related prediction market offerings in Connecticut, as the state Department of Consumer Protection looks to crack down on the industry. The change comes after an official at Google also… -
Lamont is attacking the $2 trillion federal deficit. Connecticut still owes about $80 billionGovernor Ned Lamont, right, meets with reporters after a gubernatorial debate against State Senator Ryan Fazio at WFSB in Rocky Hill on October 22, 2026. Democratic Gov. Ned Lamont and his reelection campaign mostly mention state debt to… -
Connecticut gubernatorial candidates campaigning at UConn football gameThe UConn football team is taking on UMass at Rentschler Field on Friday night, with both candidates for governor campaigning there in a effort to get out the vote. A second storm, Storm Boelo, is expected to hit Scotland, Northern Ireland… -
Connecticut gubernatorial candidates tailgate with voters at UConn football gameThe UConn football team played a rare Friday night game against UMass, and candidates in the race for governor used the tailgate as an opportunity to talk with voters and fans before next month's high-stakes election. Scotland Yard opens… -
Federal judge orders halt to Connecticut voter investigations, citing faulty dataA federal judge on Wednesday ordered federal immigration authorities to stop investigations into voting by noncitizens in Connecticut and eight other states, finding that President Donald Trump’s administration has used “faulty data… -
Connecticut College and CT Examiner to host 2nd Congressional District debate Oct. 26Connecticut College and CT Examiner will host a debate between U.S. Rep. Joe Courtney and George Austin, candidates for Connecticut’s 2nd Congressional District, on Monday, Oct. 26, with the support of the League of Women Voters. The… -
Bipartisan calls grow for temporary statewide ban on new data centers in ConnecticutA large hallway with supercomputers inside a server room data center. Calls are growing at the Connecticut State Capitol for a temporary statewide ban on new data centers as lawmakers raise concerns about their potential impact on… -
Trump DOJ Opens Civil-Rights Investigation Into Two Connecticut Cities Over Gun-Permit DelaysPresident Trump’s Justice Department has opened a civil-rights investigation into the gun-permit systems in two Connecticut cities. The federal probe targets Middletown and Waterbury, where the DOJ says otherwise qualified residents may be… -
Connecticut Republicans are skipping some state races to deny Democrats campaign cashRepublican state party Chairman Ben Proto. BRIDGEPORT — If you can’t beat 'em, limit the amount of public campaign cash they can receive. Not exactly a catchy, motivational election season battle cry. “We made a conscious decision not to… -
Connecticut gubernatorial candidates set up tailgates at UConn football game in home stretch of campaignThe UConn football team is taking on UMass at Rentschler Field on Friday night, with both candidates for governor campaigning there in a effort to get out the vote. President Trump on Friday slashed tariffs on a handful of Canadian… -
Eyewitness News Extra: Connecticut Restaurant and Hospitality AssociationWFSB Eyewitness News Extra: Connecticut Restaurant and Hospitality Association Ryan Fazio takes questions from the media after debate with Lamont Capitol Rundown team reacts to Lamont's comments after debate Ned Lamont speaks to reporters…
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions