Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
25.6median
1560
Median 25.6Middle half 20.3 – 30.8
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Alabama Governor margin of victory
The odds
10.2median
-234
Median 10.2Middle half 5.30 – 15.0
How the odds have moved
Median: 11.6 on Oct 20, 10.2 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tuberville, 1+ pts | 91% | 86¢ | 96¢ | $1.05 | ||
| Tuberville, 4+ pts | 82% | ▲ 2 | 77¢ | 86¢ | $1.16 | 167 |
| Tuberville, 7+ pts | 67% | ▼ 1 | 62¢ | 71¢ | $1.41 | 1.5K |
| Tuberville, 10+ pts | 51% | 46¢ | 56¢ | $1.79 | 398 | |
| Tuberville, 13+ pts | 35% | ▼ 1 | 30¢ | 39¢ | $2.56 | 2.4K |
| Tuberville, 16+ pts | 21% | ▲ 2 | 17¢ | 24¢ | $4.17 | 751 |
| Tuberville, 19+ pts | 6% | 4¢ | 9¢ | $11.24 | 382 | |
| Tuberville, 22+ pts | 4% | 8¢ | $12.35 | 420 | ||
| Tuberville, 25+ pts | 3% | 6¢ | $16.95 | 405 | ||
| Tuberville, 28+ pts | 3% | 5¢ | $18.87 | 96.00 | ||
| Tuberville, 31+ pts | 3% | 5¢ | $19.61 | 4.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Alabama Governor
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Alabama governor calls special primary for new House districtsMost of the southern states have moved to redraw their maps in response to the Supreme Court's narrowing of Section 2 of the Voting Rights Act to eliminate race-based districts. Alabama governor calls special primary for new House… - Tuberville Leads Jones in New Alabama Governor PollRepublican Tommy Tuberville holds an 11-point lead over Democrat Doug Jones in the race for Alabama governor, according to a new poll of 500 likely voters conducted Oct. 16 and 17. The survey found 51.2% backing Tuberville compared to 40%…
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Tommy Tuberville wins Republican nomination for Alabama governor: APThe victory comes after President Donald Trump endorsed Tuberville in January, and endorsed Alabama GOP Rep. Barry Moore to replace him in the Senate. Tommy Tuberville wins Republican nomination for Alabama governor: AP The victory comes… - Alabama governor race 2026: Tuberville vs. Jones on key issuesAlabama voters will head to the polls Nov. 3 to choose a governor, with Republican Tommy Tuberville and Democrat Doug Jones offering different plans for the state's economy, education system, health care and government. Tuberville, a U.S…
- Who holds the lead in Alabama's governor race? New ADN poll resultsWith Election Day approaching, a new Alabama poll puts Republican Tommy Tuberville 11 points ahead of Democrat Doug Jones in the race for governor. The poll, commissioned by Alabama Daily News and Gray Television, found that 51.2% of…
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Poll: Tuberville leads Jones by about 11 points in Alabama governor’s raceMONTGOMERY, Ala. (WBMA) — U.S. Sen. Tommy Tuberville leads former U.S. Sen. Doug Jones by about 11 percentage points in Alabama’s governor’s race, according to a new poll of likely voters. The Alabama Poll found 50.8% of respondents… -
Alabama 2026 Election Results2026 results › Alabama General election, November 3, 2026 Results will appear on this page on election night, November 3, 2026, as votes are counted. The last polls in Alabama close at 8 PM ET. Follow every state live → On the Alabama… -
‘You Owe the People of Alabama Some Answers’: In Solo Virtual Debate, Doug Jones Makes Direct Address to Tommy TubervilleBy Shauna Stuart | For the Birmingham Times With less than 14 days before the Alabama governor’s race, Democratic gubernatorial candidate Doug Jones used part of his Wednesday campaign stop in Birmingham to address his opponent, Republican… -
Gubernatorial candidate Doug Jones holds town hall in TuscaloosaQ&A with Homecoming candidate Kameron Baba Q&A with Homecoming candidate Rylie Dewley Q&A with Homecoming candidate Emie Vandiver Q&A with Homecoming candidate Savannah Strong Injury report for Alabama football ahead of Tennessee showdown… - Alabama's Civil Rights Trails and Historic Sites Span the StateCommunities across Alabama preserve and present civil rights history to visitors and residents alike. A WBRC 6 News report covered the second anniversary of Tuscaloosa's Civil Rights History Trail. Organizers say the self-guided downtown…
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Ivey awards $27 million to Auburn, Alabama School of Healthcare SciencesDoug Jones holds quasi-virtual debate with absent Tuberville Alabama unveils America 250 “I Voted” stickers for 2026 election NFIB PAC backs Corey Hill for Alabama agriculture commissioner Ivey commutes death sentence of Toforest Johnson… -
7 Things: Tuberville leads Jones 51-40, fake poll firm caught, lottery for grocery tax, and more…7. Alabama Governor Kay Ivey commuted Toforest Johnson’s death sentence to life imprisonment without the possibility of parole for the 1995 murder of Jefferson County Deputy Sheriff William Hardy stating, “My decision is not a…
Related markets
All governors ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
24%Figures, 2+ pts
-132
Alabama's 3rd District margin of victory
38.6median
2454
Median 38.6Middle half 32.7 – 43.5
Alabama's 4th District margin of victory
59.3median
4272
Median 59.3Middle half 54.3 – 63.6
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
23.6median
737
Median 23.6Middle half 18.5 – 29
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
26.2median
1548
Median 26.2Middle half 20.6 – 31.5
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions