Average Wall Street bonus in 2026
$283,750median
$175,000$375,000
Median $283,750Middle half $262,500 – $305,729
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Will Michigan auto manufacturing jobs rise YoY? (2026)
The odds
24%chance
How the odds have moved
Yes: 30% on Oct 20, 24% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 24% | 23¢ | 24¢ | $4.17 | 21.1K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Michigan
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Big Three in Michigan's Football Program Lead the List of Losers as Michigan Suffers Overtime DefeatThe Michigan Wolverines had a chance. They were trailing 6-3 and four yards away from a game-winning score. They did not score a touchdown as Tommy Carr was sacked on third down, ruining any chance the Wolverines might have to win the game… -
2026 Midterm Elections: Trump, Obama Rally MichiganPresident Donald Trump is set to campaign in Michigan as Democrats deploy Barack Obama and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez while a Justice Department lawsuit threatens to complicate the closely watched Alaska Senate race. President Donald Trump… -
Michigan State basketball vs. Marquette: Score, highlights, analysisMichigan State basketball will wrap up their exhibition slate with a road game at Marquette this afternoon. The Spartans and Golden Eagles will take the court at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday. This exhibition ... - Michigan State basketball vs… -
Obama campaigns for El-Sayed, Benson in MichiganThe former president showed up in Detroit on Saturday to stump for the state's Democratic ticket. (Paul Steinhauser/Fox News Digital) Obama campaigns for El-Sayed, Benson in Michigan The former president showed up in Detroit on Saturday to… -
NBA Draft Watch: Michigan State's Jeremy Fears Jr.Sports Illustrated Jeremy Fears Jr., brother of current NBA standout Jeremiah Fears, is a 6-foot-1 returning upperclassman for Michigan State. Last season for the Spartans, Fears averaged 15 points and nine assists on 43-32-88 shooting… -
Instant Takeaways As Indiana Survives Michigan In OvertimeSimply put, Josh Hoover wasn't good enough Saturday. He'd likely tell you that himself, and so would Curt Cignetti.Hoover finished 8-of-18 passing for 81 yards and a touchdown and an interception — his first of the season. Hoover may be… -
Michigan Mailbag: What does Michigan need to do to upset Indiana?Each week is just a little more enjoyable after a Michigan win. Last week, Michigan had a win in basketball, a hockey sweep over top-ranked Denver, and a win on the football field that left all of us feeling just a little more hopeful… -
Injury-depleted Michigan State overmatched by unbeaten UCLAPASADENA, Calif. — For a brief spell in the first quarter, chants of "Go Green" and "Go White" broke out at the Rose Bowl for the first time since Kyler Elsworth's heroics in 2014. But much like the rest of this season, the next three… -
Michigan State Earns Redemption in 2-1 Win Over New HampshireAfter a disappointing 1-0 shutout loss to open the weekend against New Hampshire, the Spartans bounced back in the second game of the series and held strong for a 2-1 win, splitting the weekend series against the Wildcats. Though it was no… -
Toledo outlasts Western Michigan 45-38 to clinch bowl eligibilityToledo (6-2, 3-1), which came in with the Mid-American Conference's top scoring and total offense, rolled up 595 yards, 391 coming on Richter's 29-of-41 passing. CJ Miller added 183 yards rushing on 33 carries, including the tiebreaking… -
Michigan gas prices climb overnight as drivers wait for reliefOctober 24, 2026 / 12:13 AM EDT / CBS Detroit Michigan drivers are paying significantly more for gas than they did a year ago, with the statewide average at about $4.77 per gallon, according to AAA. That is up from about $3.10 per gallon… -
Michigan State falls to No. 9 UCLA 28-10 after Bruins rallyOctober 24, 2026 / 8:43 PM EDT / AP Michigan State was defeated by No. 9 UCLA 28-10 on Saturday as the Bruins improved to 7-0 for the first time since 2005. UCLA quarterback Ty Dieffenbach threw a 63-yard touchdown pass and handed off for…
Related markets
All jobs ›US retail jobs added this holiday season (September–December 2026)
563,415median
250,000650,000
Median 563,415
Unemployment in October (Oct 2026)
4.15%median
3.6%5.1%
Median 4.15%Middle half 4.08% – 4.23%
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?
11%5.0%
4.5%13%
October 2026 Employment Combo · U3 & NFP
15%U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: 50-99k
- U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: 50-99k15%
- U3: 4.3%, NFP growth: 50-99k10%▲ 7
- U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: 100k or above6%
8 more
- U3: 4.4% or above, NFP growth: Below 50k5%▲ 2
- U3: 4.4% or above, NFP growth: 50-99k5%▲ 2
- U3: 4.4% or above, NFP growth: 100k or above5%▲ 2
- U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: Below 50k1%
- U3: 4.2%, NFP growth: Below 50k1%
- U3: 4.2%, NFP growth: 50-99k1%
- U3: 4.3%, NFP growth: Below 50k1%▼ 21
- U3: 4.3%, NFP growth: 100k or above1%▼ 4
UK retail sales in October (October 2026)
50%Above 2.0%
-2%3%
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions