Will NYC ban horse-drawn carriages in 2026?
97%chance▼ 1
Install
Ken Martin out as DNC chair? (Before Jan 2027)
The odds
Nov 29, 2027even chance by
- Before Nov 1, 20266%
- Before Dec 1, 202618%▲ 1
- Before Jan 1, 202722%
- Before Jul 1, 202735%▲ 1
- Before Jan 1, 202854%▲ 1
How the odds have moved
Not enough history yet.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Sep 1, 2026 | 1% | $100.00 | 3.2K | |||
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | 2% | $50.00 | 478 | |||
| Before Nov 1, 2026 | 6% | 2¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | 11.00 | |
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | 18% | ▲ 1 | 14¢ | 21¢ | $4.76 | 354 |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 22% | 18¢ | 25¢ | $4.00 | 14.3K | |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | 35% | ▲ 1 | 31¢ | 38¢ | $2.63 | 499 |
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | 54% | ▲ 1 | 50¢ | 57¢ | $1.75 | 624 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Ken Martin
Search ›No recent headlines name this market's subject.
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.