The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Above 258 million
93%
88¢
98¢
$1.02
43.00
Above 260 million
90%
▲ 1
85¢
95¢
$1.05
38.00
Above 262 million
85%
80¢
89¢
$1.12
403
Above 264 million
78%
73¢
83¢
$1.20
358
Above 266 million
73%
70¢
75¢
$1.33
339
Above 268 million
65%
60¢
69¢
$1.45
380
Above 270 million
55%
51¢
59¢
$1.69
886
Above 272 million
43%
38¢
48¢
$2.08
834
Above 274 million
39%
34¢
44¢
$2.27
312
Above 276 million
18%
13¢
22¢
$4.55
44.00
Above 278 million
14%
11¢
18¢
$5.56
542
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions