Settled43.00A day before, traders had a median of 33.0
The last odds before it closed
—
✓ Above 2093%▲ 3
✓ Above 2599%▲ 12
✓ Above 3099%▲ 28
✓ Above 3599%▲ 57
✓ Above 4091%▲ 62
Above 451%▼ 12
Above 506%▼ 3
Above 552%▼ 3
Above 602%▼ 1
How the odds have moved
Above 25: 88% on Oct 20, 85% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
Outcome
Last odds
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
✓ Above 20
93%
1.3K
✓ Above 25
99%
1.1K
✓ Above 30
99%
2.2K
✓ Above 35
99%
6.1K
✓ Above 40
91%
1.3K
✗ Above 45
1%
2.5K
✗ Above 50
6%
1.9K
✗ Above 55
2%
2.3K
✗ Above 60
2%
25.00
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.