Average Wall Street bonus in 2026
$283,750median
$175,000$375,000
Median $283,750Middle half $262,500 – $305,729
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Will Kentucky distillery employment rise YoY? (June 2026)
The odds
12%chance
How the odds have moved
Yes: 9% on Oct 20, 12% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 12% | 11¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | 35.2K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Kentucky
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Staff Predictions: Vanderbilt Football vs. KentuckyNASHVILLE—-Can this be the week for Vanderbilt football? Vanderbilt has lost four-consecutive games and is searching to try to get right. It’s clinging to the fact that Kentucky has been in a few one-score games recently, but it knows it… -
Takeaways From Vanderbilt Football's 34-17 Loss To KentuckyLEXINGTON, KY—Vanderbilt football leaves Lexington, Kentucky, with the same tune and the same feel that it's had for the past four weeks. Its 34-17 loss to Kentucky was its fifth in a row and indicated that it's still got a long ways to go… -
Kentucky Wildcats News: Vanderbilt GamedayIt's gameday in the Bluegrass as the No. 12 Kentucky Wildcats welcome the Vanderbilt Commodores to Kroger Field for another SEC showdown. Kentucky (6-1, 4-1 SEC) enters Saturday riding a five-game winning streak following an impressive… -
Kentucky vs. Vanderbilt game discussion and pregame readingThe Kentucky Wildcats return to Kroger Field tonight as they welcome the Vanderbilt Commodores to Lexington. Sitting at 6-1 on the year, the Cats are looking to pick up one more win before they head into a bye week, and at that point, it… -
Vanderbilt Loses to No. 12 Kentucky, Drops Fifth Straight GameLEXINGTON, Ky. - Vanderbilt football lost its fifth-consecutive game Saturday night, losing to No. 12 Kentucky 34-17. It was a really solid start for Vanderbilt to begin the game. The Commodores were playing a classic Clark Lea type of… -
See our best photos from Vanderbilt football vs KentuckyTake a look at some of the best photos from Vanderbilt football's game against No. 12 Kentucky on Oct. 24, 2026 at Kroger Field in Lexington. Kentucky vs. Vanderbilt game discussion and pregame reading Kentucky Wildcats News: Vanderbilt… -
Kentucky Wildcats survive another absolutely wild weekend of college football upsetsIf you like chaos, then this weekend's slate of college football games was right up your alley. Ranked teams fell, OT all over the place, and Kentucky stayed above the fray against a feisty Vanderbilt team. BYU had a massive win last week… -
Gabe Fisher ejected for targeting in Vanderbilt football vs KentuckyLEXINGTON, KY ― Gabe Fisher, a Vanderbilt football fullback/tight end, was ejected for targeting in the fourth quarter of the game against Kentucky at Kroger Field on Oct. 24. According to new SEC rules, Fisher will no longer be suspended… -
How To Watch Indiana Basketball vs. Western Kentucky: TV Channel, Tipoff TimeIndiana's final exhibition presents one last opportunity to answer some lingering questions before the games begin to count.Perhaps the most encouraging development through the first two exhibitions has been the Hoosiers' dominance on the… -
The Kentucky Canary in the Coal Mine for RepublicansOct 24, 2026 at 05:00 AM EDT When you think of Kentucky, you probably think of horse racing and bourbon. On election night, the state’s 6th Congressional District will be one of the first competitive House races out of the gate, and the… -
Where to watch Indiana basketball vs Western Kentucky game today: Live score, channel, streamEVANSVILLE — Indiana basketball closes its preseason playing in front of its fans in the southern part of the state against Western Kentucky. It took a while for the Hoosiers to gel in their opener, but have looked strong since… -
Kentucky Football Brings In Former Vanderbilt Star As Honorary Captain For Vanderbilt MatchupLEXINGTON, KY-Former Vanderbilt and Kentucky running back Ray Davis has clearly made his allegiances known.If they weren't already, they are now. Davis started his career at Vanderbilt and was the MVP of one of the best early wins of the…
Related markets
All jobs ›US retail jobs added this holiday season (September–December 2026)
570,238median
250,000650,000
Median 570,238
Unemployment in October (Oct 2026)
4.15%median
3.6%5.1%
Median 4.15%Middle half 4.08% – 4.23%
October 2026 Employment Combo · U3 & NFP
15%U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: 50-99k
- U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: 50-99k15%
- U3: 4.3%, NFP growth: 50-99k10%▲ 7
- U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: 100k or above6%
8 more
- U3: 4.4% or above, NFP growth: Below 50k5%▲ 1
- U3: 4.4% or above, NFP growth: 50-99k5%▲ 1
- U3: 4.4% or above, NFP growth: 100k or above5%▲ 1
- U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: Below 50k1%
- U3: 4.2%, NFP growth: Below 50k1%
- U3: 4.2%, NFP growth: 50-99k1%
- U3: 4.3%, NFP growth: Below 50k1%▼ 21
- U3: 4.3%, NFP growth: 100k or above1%▼ 4
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?
10%5.0%
4.5%13%
UK retail sales in October (October 2026)
50%Above 2.0%
-2%3%
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions