Maine lobster landings in 2026
73.4median
5095
Median 73.4Middle half 68.6 – 77.9
Install
Initial jobless claims for the week ending October 17, 2026
The odds
198,448median
120,000230,000
Median 198,448Middle half 192,727 – 203,534
How the odds have moved
Median: 198,333 on Oct 20, 198,448 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 125000 | 99% | ▲ 2 | 98¢ | $1.01 | 112 | |
| At least 130000 | 99% | ▲ 3 | 98¢ | $1.01 | 204 | |
| At least 135000 | 99% | ▲ 8 | 98¢ | $1.01 | 61.00 | |
| At least 140000 | 98% | ▲ 1 | 75¢ | $1.02 | 133 | |
| At least 145000 | 98% | 13¢ | $1.02 | 72.00 | ||
| At least 150000 | 98% | ▲ 10 | 14¢ | $1.02 | 261 | |
| At least 155000 | 98% | ▲ 11 | 15¢ | $1.02 | 903 | |
| At least 160000 | 98% | ▲ 10 | 14¢ | $1.02 | 261 | |
| At least 165000 | 98% | 13¢ | $1.02 | 71.00 | ||
| At least 170000 | 98% | ▲ 9 | 15¢ | $1.02 | 261 | |
| At least 175,000 | 98% | ▲ 1 | 98¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 1.6K |
| At least 180,000 | 96% | ▲ 8 | 85¢ | $1.04 | 9.00 | |
| At least 185,000 | 93% | 74¢ | $1.08 | 18.00 | ||
| At least 190,000 | 93% | ▲ 10 | 37¢ | $1.08 | 19.00 | |
| At least 195,000 | 60% | 62¢ | $1.67 | 61.00 | ||
| At least 200,000 | 46% | ▲ 18 | 41¢ | 50¢ | $2.00 | 216 |
| At least 205,000 | 17% | ▲ 9 | 15¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | 4.8K |
| At least 210,000 | 4% | 2¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 1.6K | |
| At least 215,000 | 4% | ▲ 3 | 57¢ | $1.75 | 53.00 | |
| At least 220,000 | 3% | ▲ 1 | 5¢ | $20.00 | ||
| At least 225,000 | 3% | ▲ 1 | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: jobs report, unemployment, payrolls
Search ›No recent headlines name this market's subject.
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.