When will Apple release the iPhone 18?

Kalshi Finance › Companies Closes Mar 31, 2027 · $786 today · $114K traded · $39.7K at stake · prices read 28 min ago

The odds

84%Before April 2027

Before April 202784%▲ 1
Before March 202714%▲ 1
Before February 20274%
Before 20273%

How the odds have moved

Before April 2027: 84% on Oct 20, 84% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
Before April 2027	84%	▲ 1	84¢	86¢	$1.16	18.2K
Before March 2027	14%	▲ 1	14¢	16¢	$6.25	54.8K
Before February 2027	4%		3¢	5¢	$20.00	65.8K
Before 2027	3%		3¢	4¢	$25.00	1.5M
Before October	1%				$100.00	3.5M

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Apple, Phone

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Testing Apple’s first foldable phone | CNN BusinessCNN · 2 days agoCNN's Lisa Eadicicco got to try Apple’s newest phone, the iPhone Duo, ahead of its launch. She traded her regular-sized iPhone for the company's first-ever folding phone for nearly a week. Apple provided CNN with an iPhone Duo for testing…
Hackers Are Running Apple's iOS on Android Phones for the First TimeDecrypt · 4 days agoHobbyists are booting Apple’s iOS, the software that runs iPhones, on Android phones just to prove that they can, and video demonstrations are going viral on social media. One clip of iOS 16 on a Redmi Note 12 has passed 2 million views on…
Loop Capital Downgrades Apple Rating Over Weak Phone SalesThe Mac Observer · 2 days agoAkshay Kumar is a veteran tech journalist with thousands of posts on publications such as AndroidHeadlines, 91mobiles, TechNerdiness, and GizBot. As a Bachelor of Technology (BTech) in Computer Science, Akshay’s interests lie in all things…
Apple Limitis iPhone Duo Purchases to 2 Foldable Phones Per PersonCNET · 45 h agoTech > Mobile > Phones > Foldable Phones For the first time in many years, Apple is limiting how many phones you can buy. October 21, 2026, 10:43 pm ET If you were hoping to score multiple iPhone Duo devices from Apple when the new…
The Best Phones You Can’t Buy in the USWIRED · 2 days agoUpdated October 2026: I added the Oppo Find X10 Pro Max, Nothing Phone (4b), mentions of the TCL P80 Ultra, Xiaomi Poco F9 Ultra and Pro, and Xiaomi Redmi Note 17 Pro Max, and removed some older devices. For fans of OnePlus, no longer…
One Tech Tip: As Apple's Duo phone is released, here are dos and don'ts for folding phonesThe Independent · 44 h agoApple’s first folding phone arrives in stores on Friday, bringing the advantages of a flexible display to iPhone loyalists. Such devices also have their own unique care and protection considerations. Folding screen phones have their…
Review: Apple iPhone DuoWIRED · 3 days agoIt’s a little hard to review the iPhone Duo. I’ve been toting Apple’s first folding smartphone for the past week, and several apps I’ve tried to open on the sprawling 7.6-inch screen look awful. Thick, black bars on the sides, with a…
Apple's £2,000 iPhone Duo has ruined normal phones for meBritish GQ · 3 days agoBritish GQ ItÃ¢ÂÂs been a big year for comebacks Guys are buying Supreme again, the Premier LeagueÃ¢ÂÂs legal department finally got its act together, and people really care about a new iPhone From the moment I was there to see Apple…
Apple Music has a new logoThe Verge · 2 days agoApple is officially launching a rebrand of Apple Music. Following the appearance of a redesigned wordmark in a video and an updated app icon in an iOS 27.2 beta, Apple introduced the new "identity" for Apple Music today. There's a new…
iPhone Duo Review: Apple’s Foldable Phone Was Worth the WaitPopular Mechanics · 3 days agoThe first foldable iPhone feels like it’s already a generation ahead of its rivals. When closed, the 3.3 by 6.4 by 0.4–inch handset features a bright and sharp 5.4-inch, 2034 by 1398-pixel Super Retina XDR cover display and a standard…
Your phone can alert you when prices drop; here's howFox News · 2 days agoKurt ‘CyberGuy’ Knutsson explains how algorithms track browsing history and location to estimate what shoppers are willing to spend on ‘Fox & Friends.’ Have you ever found something you wanted to buy, only to wonder whether the price might…
Apple’s Foldable Phone Is Impressive, But Here’s Why I Chose the 18 ProPCMag UK · 2 days agoApple's fall 2026 lineup is all about premium devices. It pushed the base iPhone 18 to 2027 to make room for the foldable iPhone Duo, which launches on Oct. 23 (preorders open Oct. 17). If you're struggling with the $2,000+ price tag on an…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onApple and authorized retailers and distributors of Apple

Trading closesMar 31, 2027 11:59 PM ET

Traded$114K (5,163,273 contracts)

Today$786

This week$114K

At stake$39.7K

In the news427 headlines today, 4,187 this week

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If Apple Inc. releases iPhone 18 to the public before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Prices it is about

Apple Inc.AAPL · about the company347.73−0.14%

From 4Search Finance. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.