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S&P 500 Daily Up/Down (Nov 2, 2026)
The odds
How the odds have moved
Yes: 54% on Oct 31, 47% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Nov 2, 2 PM ET77% → 47%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 47% | ▼ 22 | 42¢ | 51¢ | $1.96 | 16.6K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: S&P 500, stocks, S&P Daily Up
Search ›- Meet the S&P 500 name I’m eyeing for my Stocks and Shares ISA in NovemberStephen Wright thinks an S&P 500 healthcare stock that’s sat out the sector’s rally could be a value opportunity for his Stocks and Shares ISA. Finding value for a Stocks and Shares ISA is tricky right now. The scariest thing I saw this…
- SPYM: S&P 500 Monthly Dashboard For NovemberState Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF offers a low-cost S&P 500 ETF alternative, best suited for long-term and tactical allocation. But I rate SPYM ETF as Hold. Read why. - Energy leads in value and quality scores, while real estate and…
- Turkey month delivers: S&P 500 has climbed in 74% of NovembersNovember has been a strong month for the S&P 500, with 74% positive returns over 50 years. da-kuk/E+ via Getty Images November has historically been a strong month for U.S. equities, with the S&P 500 posting an average return of 2.1% and…
- S&P 500 Falls As Investors Get Spooked By High Costs Of AICompared to the previous week, the S&P 500 didn't change much in the trading week ending on Friday, 30 October 2026. - Compared to the previous week, the S&P 500 didn't change much in the trading week ending on Friday, 30 October 2026…
- 1 S&P 500 stock to consider right now and 2 we avoidThe S&P 500 (^GSPC) is often seen as a benchmark for strong businesses, but that doesn’t mean every stock is worth owning. Some companies face significant challenges, whether it’s stagnating growth, heavy debt, or disruptive new…
- Okta to Enter S&P 500 on November 4 as Kenvue Exits Following Acquisition by Kimberly-ClarkKalkine Media Has Gold Bottomed? What It Means for ASX 200's Ramelius (ASX:RMS) Unhedged and Exposed: Why Is ASX 200's Capricorn (ASX:CMM) on Watch?
- S&P 500 index showed little change after Stockholm's closeIn the broader Wall Street market, the S&P 500 index closed 0.28 percent higher on Wednesday at 7 743.98. After the Stockholm Stock Exchange closed at 5:30 p.m., the S&P 500 index showed little... In the broader Wall Street market, the S&P…
- 2 Safe S&P 500 Healthcare Dividend Stocks Boomers Can Buy and Hold ForeverArthritis flares, cholesterol checks and cancer treatments arrive on their own schedule, in recessions and booms alike, which is why healthcare draws attention from retirees building an income plan. It also gives boomers a second…
- Is AI costing jobs outside tech? I read 4,335 S&P 500 earnings callsI read 4,335 earnings calls from the S&P 500 companies outside the technology sector, held from January 2024 to 23 October 2026, looking for one thing: an executive saying AI was changing the company's headcount. A keyword filter would not…
- S&P 500: This Setup Is 19-0S&P 500 breaks support, but post-midterm seasonality points to upside. Read the full analysis here. Last week's action in the S&P 500 (SPY) unfolded almost identically to the week before, with a gap up Monday, a rally into Wednesday's…
- Prediction: Netflix Will Begin Paying a Dividend in 2027 and Beat the S&P 500 During the Next DecadeSince its initial public offering in May 2002, Netflix (NFLX +0.05%) has delivered a mind numbing 52,150% return -- making it a generational wealth builder for long-term investors. But during the past five years, it may surprise you to…
- Biotech Stocks Beat The S&P500 – Can Pfizer, Novo And Moderna Earnings Keep The Rally Going?Biotech stocks head into a busy earnings week after beating the broader market, with Pfizer, Novo Nordisk and Moderna set to report earnings alongside a fresh round of cancer-treatment data. Healthcare and biotech rallied the previous…
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- Fear54%▼ 9
- Extreme Fear35%▲ 3
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2 more
- Greed1%▼ 3
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions