AL-01 House winner?
98%Jerry Carl
- Jerry Carl98%
- Clyde Jones2%
Install
TX-37 House winner?
The odds
97%Greg Casar
- Greg Casar97%▲ 2
- Lauren B. Peña3%▼ 1
How the odds have moved
Greg Casar: 97% on Oct 19, 97% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Casar | 97% | ▲ 2 | 96¢ | 99¢ | 653 | |
| Lauren B. Peña | 3% | ▼ 1 | 1¢ | 4¢ | $23.26 | 1.8K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: TX- House, Greg Casar, Lauren B. Peña
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Rep. Greg Casar faces first-time Republican candidate Lauren Peña in U.S. House District 37 raceU.S. Rep. Greg Casar, D-Austin, and first-time Republican candidate Lauren Peña are facing off to represent Texas District 37 in the U.S. House of Representatives next year. There are 435 representatives in the U.S. House, and Texas has… -
As AI layoff fears mount, lawmakers weigh a bigger safety net for workersUpdated on: October 23, 2026 / 3:06 PM CDT / CBS News As artificial intelligence capabilities improve, many Americans are worried that the technology could one day put them out of work — a possibility more lawmakers in Washington are… -
Elon Musk vows to fight back if Democrats investigate him after midterms: ‘Live by the sword, die by the sword’Elon Musk warned Wednesday that he would fight back against Democrats who are reportedly planning to target him with investigations if they gain control of the House in next month’s midterms. “Live by the sword, die by the sword,” Musk… -
Beto O’Rourke says he can ‘feel the energy’ on the ground in TexasFormer Democratic candidate Beto O’Rourke claims the energy in Texas is “even greater” than in his 2018 run when he came within 3 percentage points of incumbent Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX). When asked by the Washington Examiner about the energy… -
Katie Miller warns that Democrats are serious about going after Trump staffers who commit crimesDemocrats have constantly scrutinized the legality of Trump’s policies on immigration, war and trade Katie Miller, the wife of White House Deputy Chief of Staff Stephen Miller, has warned about Democrats who want to go after President… -
Salgado Family Waited 105 Days. O'Rourke and Sanders Just Named It "Gestapo Tactics"The rally delivered something the Salgado family had been denied since July 7: a prominent national figure willing to name, on a political stage, what happened on Canal Street that morning. Billed as a stop on Sanders' "Fighting Oligarchy"… -
Jayapal, Sanders Demand Answers on Meta’s Potential Interference in Brazilian Elections“With Brazil’s runoff elections occurring in less than a week, we call for further clarification of these ‘measures’ and urge additional action to ensure that, going forward, candidates in democratic elections at home and abroad benefit… -
13 US Lawmakers Press Meta on Brazil VoteRead our Brazil election 2026 runoff guide → Brazil election 2026 · Brazil election polls · Who will win: Brazil election odds · Brazil runoff date and results start · Brazil election results · Brazil election poll data (CSV) · All… -
Letter: Permit reason to prevailOn Oct. 20, I picked up my son, a senior at Rice, on a beautiful clear fall afternoon. He asked me for a ride to see Bernie Sanders at Wheeler Avenue Baptist Church. Positioned next to a polling center, many voters headed over to see… -
Why Engineers Should Brave Capitol HillLucas Laursen is the technology policy editor at IEEE Spectrum. During this year’s Congressional Visits Day, Nikhil Jathar [second from left] and three other IEEE members met with Nile Whitmore [middle], a legislative assistant for… -
Talarico skips Bernie Sanders rally in Texas, campaigns separately as Senate race heats upSen. Bernie Sanders and Beto O'Rourke rally Texas Democrats in El Paso as Senate candidate James Talarico campaigns separately in North Texas. Democratic Texas Senate candidate James Talarico skipped a Monday night rally headlined by Sen… -
Democrats’ Musk-ask questionsThe unofficial guide to official Washington, every morning and weekday afternoons. By ADAM WREN, WILL STEAKIN and DASHA BURNS 10/20/2026 06:03 AM EDT With help from Eli Okun, Ali Bianco and Irie Sentner Good Tuesday morning. Who hasn’t had…
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AL-03 House winner?
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AL-04 House winner?
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions