TN-01 House winner?

Kalshi Elections › House Closes Nov 3, 2027 · $517 traded · $404 at stake · prices read 8 h ago

The odds

97%Diana Harshbarger

Diana Harshbarger97%▼ 1
Kristi Burke3%

How the odds have moved

Diana Harshbarger: 97% on Oct 19, 97% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
Diana Harshbarger	97%	▼ 1	95¢	99¢	$1.01	471
Kristi Burke	3%		0¢	5¢	$20.41	2.2K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: TN- House, Diana Harshbarger, Kristi Burke

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Federal bill aims to reform permitting, would reportedly expedite building and manufacturingRepairer Driven News · 4 days agoA recent bill introduced in the U.S. Senate promises cheaper energy, more jobs, and responsible growth nationwide, according to the bill sponsors. U.S. Sens. Shelley Moore Capito (R-WV), Mike Lee (R-UT), Sheldon Whitehouse (D-RI), and…
Tennessee Congressional District 1 candidate Diana Harshbargertimesnews.net · 9 days agoKingsport Times News Diana Harshbarger, R-Tenn., is running to represent Tennessee's First Congressional District Her opponent is Democrat Kristi Burke The Kingsport Times News sent a survey containing the same questions to both…
Tennessee Congressional District 1 candidate Kristi Burketimesnews.net · 8 days agoKingsport Times News Kristi Burke is running as a Democrat in the race for Tennessee's First Congressional District Her opponent is incumbent U.S The Kingsport Times News asked both candidates a series of the same questions, and this was…
Press Release: Harshbarger Attends White House Signing of Women’s Health Executive OrderQuiver Quantitative · 6 days agoHarshbarger attended a White House event for an executive order expanding women’s health research and coordination. Harshbarger attends White House signing: Rep. Diana Harshbarger said she joined President Donald Trump and First Lady…
Melania Trump Unveils Initiative That Elevates Women’s Health Issues at White House, NIH@TheTNStar · 6 days agoFirst lady Melania Trump on Monday appeared with President Donald Trump to unveil the White House’s women’s health initiatives, which creates health division for them within the National Institutes of Health. “This is a transformative…
Donald Trump signs American Music Tourism Act into law, tasking Commerce Department with promoting travel to US music sites and eventsMusic Business Worldwide · 11 days agoPresident Donald Trump has signed the American Music Tourism Act into law. The White House confirmed that Trump signed the bill, S. 195, on October 9. The law requires the US Department of Commerce to identify the US locations and events…
Mark Proctor, Bill Hancock vie for TN House District 59Nashville Banner · 13 days agoA competitive state house race in Nashville may serve as a litmus test on scope rather than a simple measure of right vs. left. Tennessee House District 59, which spans much of southern Davidson County from Belle Meade to Cane Ridge, is up…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onLibrary of Congress

Trading closesNov 3, 2027 11:00 AM ET

Traded$517 (2,696 contracts)

This week$14

At stake$404

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If the House member sworn in for TN-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

The race

The candidates, the incumbent, every market on this race and its coverage: the race on 4Search Politics ›

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions