AL-01 House winner?
98%Jerry Carl
- Jerry Carl98%
- Clyde Jones2%
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NY-07 House winner?
The odds
98%Claire Valdez
- Claire Valdez98%
- Melvin Rivera2%
How the odds have moved
Claire Valdez: 98% on Oct 19, 98% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claire Valdez | 98% | 97¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 3.00 | |
| Melvin Rivera | 2% | 2¢ | 3¢ | $31.25 | 459 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: NY- House, Claire Valdez, Melvin Rivera
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NY House candidate Brad Lander briefly detained by Israeli military in West BankWashington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a… -
Everything to know about Election Day 2026 in QueensEarly voting is set to begin in Queens for the 2026 midterm elections on Saturday, Oct. 24, and run through Sunday, Nov. 1. With early voting and the Nov. 3 Election Day around the corner, Queens residents should know which candidates and… -
Mamdani campaigns with Hochul in Brooklyn ahead of early voting’s startMayor Mamdani and Gov. Hochul hit McCarren Park in Williamsburg, a lefty stronghold for the mayor, to urge New Yorkers to vote on Friday, hours before the start of early voting. Enthusiasm — mostly for the mayor — rippled through the park… -
Lawler, Conley battle for competitive NY House seatFox News Lawler, Conley battle for competitive NY House seat Rep. Mike Lawler, R-N.Y., joins ‘Fox News Live’ to discuss his heated debate against Democratic challenger Cait Conley in New York’s 17th Congressional District, the Paris… -
The Machine Behind the Democratic Party’s Radical TransformationFollow the Money: The Donors, Politicians and PACs Seeking to Bring Down the “American Empire”. WATCH to find out what’s inside our latest report A network of far-left political action committees (PACs) is working with Islamic groups to… -
The Socialists Want to Hold Congress HostageNot sure what fits? A licensed AMAC advisor will walk you through it, at no cost. If Democrats win the House by a few seats, DSA-backed members want to withhold their votes from Jeffries unless he agrees to defund ICE and end aid to… -
Don’t get fooled againDon’t be fooled by Democrats’ talk on affordability. THEY caused this crisis under Biden when going to war on fossil fuels. They opened the borders and 10 – 15 million illegal immigrants poured in, including over 300,00 unaccompanied… -
Election hopefuls on the ballot in QueensWhether they head out to the polls on Nov. 3 or cast their ballots in advance, Queens voters have a lot to weigh in on this Election Day. Voters across Queens will soon start making their picks for governor, attorney general, state Senate… -
Mamdani's 'unforgivable' policy shift on policingYou will now start receiving email updates 08/14/2026 03:23 PM EDT Some of Mayor Zohran Mamdani's closest allies are frustrated by how he's shifted on policing since taking office. | Andres Kudacki/AP WITH FRIENDS LIKE THESE: Mayor Zohran… -
NY House Rep Ritchie Torres introduces legislation to protect player ownership of gamesThe Power to the Players Act aims to 'establish regulations protecting consumers' ability to own and play the video games they purchase.' The office of Ritchie Torres published a statement regarding the Power to the Players Act on October… -
Turnout Surge among GOP Seniors Could Be Midterm’s Biggest SurpriseVoter enthusiasm surveys are showing signs of a gathering “Silver Wave” of older voters surging to the polls on November 3 for the 2026 midterm elections and voting in greater numbers for Republican candidates than they have in recent… -
New: How the 'Mamdanification' of the Dem Party Could Be Their Undoing in a Crucial NY House RaceWhen Zohran Mamdani became the Democrat mayoral nominee in New York City in the summer of 2025, many political observers wondered whether the second-place finisher, disgraced former NY Gov. Andrew Cuomo, would somehow emerge victorious in…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions