AR-04 House winner?

Kalshi Elections › House Closes Nov 3, 2027 · $3K traded · $2.4K at stake · prices read 2 h ago

The odds

97%Bruce Westerman
  • Bruce Westerman97%▼ 1
  • James Russell2%

How the odds have moved

Bruce Westerman: 98% on Oct 20, 97% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Bruce Westerman 97% ▼ 1 97¢ 98¢ $1.02 3.1K
James Russell 2% 1¢ 3¢ $29.41 1.8K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: AR- House, Bruce Westerman, James Russell

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  • Key energy lobbyists call for swift enactment of bipartisan Fix Our Forests ActDaily Energy Insider · 5 days agoThe measure, S. 1462 / H.R. 471, would establish requirements for managing forests on federal lands, including requirements concerning reducing wildfire threats, expediting the review of certain forest management projects, and implementing…
  • What is on the Crawford County ballot in November?AOL.com · 6 days agoCRAWFORD COUNTY, Ark. (KNWA/KFTA) — Voters in Crawford County are heading to the polls to vote in local, county and state races, along with a handful of issues. Early voting got underway on Oct. 19, and it runs through Nov. 2. Arkansas…
  • Senators help PB Arsenal break ground on Plainview GatePine Bluff Commercial · 7 days agoThe Pine Bluff Arsenal took another step in its revitalization with the groundbreaking of a $24.6-million access control point at its Plainview Gate on Monday (Oct. 19). Sens. John Boozman and Tom Cotton, both R-Ark., part of the…
  • Early Voting Now Open for Southeast Arkansas November General ElectionDeltaplex News · 7 days agoEarly voting for Arkansas’s November 3rd general election began Monday, October 19th, giving registered voters across Southeast Arkansas an opportunity to cast their ballots ahead of Election Day. Early voting will continue through Monday…
  • November 2026 ArkLaMiss election guide@KNOE8 · 7 days agoMONROE, La. (KNOE) - Voters all across the U.S. will go to the polls on Nov. 3 for the 2026 midterm elections. Here is a look at what voters will be deciding in both Louisiana and Arkansas. You can get election results here, and also learn…
  • Barrick Gold Lobbies Mining Regulatory Clarity ActLegis1 · 6 days agoThe third-quarter 2026 team: H.R. 1366, sponsored by Rep. Mark E. Amodei (R-NV-2), passed the House and was placed on the Senate Legislative Calendar as Calendar No. 357 on March 17, 2026. The Senate companion, S. 544, sponsored by Sen…
  • Press Release: Troy Downing Bill Signed Into Law to Update Crow Tribe Water Rights SettlementQuiver Quantitative · 10 days agoBill signed into law: A congressional office said President Trump signed the Crow Tribe Water Rights Settlement Amendments Act of 2025, with Sen. Steve Daines and Rep. Troy Downing backing the measure in Congress. What the law changes: The…
  • Farm Credit Administration Lacks Quorum With Two Seats VacantLegis1 · 10 days agoThe Farm Credit Administration's three-member board has only one sitting member, serving on an expired term, and two vacant seats, leaving the regulator of the Farm Credit System and Farmer Mac without the quorum required by law to conduct…
  • Reauthorization of Regional Ocean Partnerships Introduced in the House of RepresentativesThe National Law Review · 11 days agoProposed legislation will bring continued support for regional collaboration to identify and develop solutions for coastal environments and economies OCEAN SPRINGS, MS, UNITED STATES, October 15, 2026 /EINPresswire.com/ -- U.S. Congressman…
  • Bruce Westerman faces challenger James Russell in debate5newsonline.com · 14 days ago5newsonline.com Bruce Westerman faces challenger James Russell in debate To stream 5NEWS on your phone, you need the 5NEWS app. Download the 5NEWS app Next up in 5 Example video title will go here for this video Before You Leave, Check…
  • House candidates criticize Trump Russia diesel deal, split on other issuesLog Cabin Democrat · 13 days agoChemistry students in Karen Ferrer’s class at St. Joseph High School recently took part in a colorful experiment. We were on our way back from the cabin this afternoon when Jesse exclaimed, “Look, a lamb.” Candidates for Arkansas’ 4th…
  • ELECTION 2026 | Republican Westerman, Democrat Russell face off in 4th District debate@TXKGazette · 13 days agoTexarkana Gazette ELECTION 2026 | Republican Westerman, Democrat Russell face off in 4th District debate Topics span war, health, data centers WASHINGTON -- U.S. Rep. Bruce Westerman, R-Ark., leaned on his legislative expertise during…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions