Highest temperature in Phoenix on Oct 22, 2026?

Kalshi Weather › Daily weather Closed Fri 3:00 AM ET · $11.8K today · $13.3K traded · $9.9K at stake

Settled 89.00A day before, traders had a median of 86.5

The last odds before it closed

86.5median
  • ✓ 87° or above98%▲ 73
  • 78° or below<1%▼ 2
  • 79° to 80°<1%▼ 5
  • 81° to 82°<1%▼ 10
  • 83° to 84°<1%▼ 22
  • 85° to 86°<1%▼ 36

How the odds have moved

Median: 83.8 on Oct 21, 86.5 now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Last odds Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
✗ 78° or below <1% 5.7K
✗ 79° to 80° <1% 6.8K
✗ 81° to 82° <1% 6.1K
✗ 83° to 84° <1% 6.0K
✗ 85° to 86° <1% 10.1K
✓ 87° or above 98% 13.1K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Phoenix weather

Search ›
  • Phoenix Weather: Flood Watch Arrives After One More Dry DayHoodline · 5 days agoPhoenix is expected to have a dry day Tuesday, with temperatures around 90 before a wetter and stormier pattern takes over. Showers and thunderstorms are possible Tuesday night, with the most serious rain and flooding concerns arriving…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions