UK Nominal GDP in 2026
$4.25median
$3.30$4.60
Median $4.25Middle half $4.14 – $4.33
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Australia Nominal GDP in 2026
The odds
$2.13median
$1.50$2.80
Median $2.13Middle half $2.04 – $2.21
How the odds have moved
Median: $2.13 on Oct 20, $2.13 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above $1.6 trillion | 98% | 97¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 1.5K | |
| Above $1.7 trillion | 94% | 89¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 11.00 | |
| Above $1.8 trillion | 94% | 89¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 583 | |
| Above $1.9 trillion | 91% | 86¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | 10.00 | |
| Above $2.0 trillion | 86% | ▼ 1 | 81¢ | 91¢ | $1.10 | 36.00 |
| Above $2.1 trillion | 58% | ▼ 1 | 53¢ | 63¢ | $1.59 | 511 |
| Above $2.2 trillion | 28% | 23¢ | 33¢ | $3.03 | 47.00 | |
| Above $2.3 trillion | 6% | 3¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | 140 | |
| Above $2.4 trillion | 4% | 1¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 167 | |
| Above $2.5 trillion | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 177 | |
| Above $2.6 trillion | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 573 | |
| Above $2.7 trillion | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | 74.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: GDP, economic growth, Australia Nominal GDP
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China's third-quarter economic growth quickens to 4.5% as exports surge, beating estimatesChina's economic growth accelerated to 4.5% in the third quarter from a year earlier, as foreign demand for the country's technological goods largely offset a deepening property slump and sluggish consumer demand. -
Australian Banking Association Welcomes Call for ASIC, APRA to Craft Regulation to Boost Economic GrowthThe Australian Banking Association welcomed comments by Australian Shadow Treasurer Tim Wilson calling for regulators, the Australian Prudential Regulation Authority and the Australian Securities... Australian Banking Association Welcomes… -
Roaring exports lift China’s economic growth; violent French protests put pressure on euro, stocks and bonds – business liveWorld’s second-largest economy on track to meet Beijing’s 2026 growth target, though consumer spending lags behind factory output Here’s our full story: France was hit by a fresh wave of selling in its bond and stock markets on Monday… -
NAICOM tasks insurance brokers on public trust, economic growthThursday, October 22, 2026 22 October 2026 3:06 am WAT The National Insurance Commission (NAICOM) has urged insurance brokers to rebuild public confidence in the industry, expand insurance coverage and mobilise long-term investments to… -
Budget Watchdog Lowers Economic Growth Outlook for 2027 Amid US TariffsThe Parliamentary Budget Office (PBO) lowered its economic growth forecast for Canada amid tariff tensions with the United States. The PBO projects that Ottawa will meet its target of balancing day-to-day operating spending with revenues… -
FTC chief acknowledges role of conglomerates in economic growthJu Biung-ghi, head of the Fair Trade Commission, answers lawmakers' questions during the Political Affairs Committee's audit at the National Assembly in Seoul, Oct. 12. Yonhap The chief of Korea's antitrust watchdog on Wednesday… -
BlackRock CEO warns data center delays could fuel inflation, threaten economic growth(SMH:NASDAQ) Seeking Alpha BlackRock (BLK) CEO Larry Fink warned that slowing data center construction could drive up AI computing costs and undermine economic growth as demand for the technology surges. “If we don’t build out these data… -
‘HANDSOME’ CALLS ON UNIVERSITIES TO PRODUCE GRADUATES WHO DRIVE ECONOMIC GROWTHMANZINI – Minister of Education and Training Owen Nxumalo has called on universities to produce graduates who can drive Eswatini’s economic growth through innovation, entrepreneurship and job creation, urging young professionals to turn… -
Ghana must mobilise more domestic capital to finance economic growth – Stanbic CEGhana must strengthen its capacity to mobilise domestic capital to finance economic growth and reduce its exposure to external financial shocks, President of the Ghana Association of Banks and Chief Executive of Stanbic Bank Ghana, Kwamina… - USTreasury Amplifies SecScottBessent’s View on Economic GrowthUSTreasury retweets SecScottBessent's post on economic growth driven by trade policies. Here's why this matters for market sentiment. The tweet highlights the impact of trade policies on the economy. 4176 likes indicate strong public…
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Rep. McCormick highlights economic growth in GeorgiaJust The News Rep. McCormick highlights economic growth in Georgia "If you want to see where minorities are succeeding the most, look no further than conservative areas." Rep. McCormick shreds Democratic governance in blue states, urging… -
Morocco Targets Five Percent Economic Growth by 2031Morocco’s new government has set a target of five per cent average annual economic growth between 2027 and 2031, while pledging to keep the fiscal deficit below three per cent of Gross Domestic Product (GDP). Prime Minister Fatima Ezzahra…
Related markets
All growth & recession ›US Nominal GDP in 2026
$32.67median
$28.80$33.20
Median $32.67Middle half $32.38 – $32.79
Brazil Nominal GDP in 2026
$2.63median
$2$3.30
Median $2.63Middle half $2.49 – $2.73
Canada Nominal GDP in 2026
$2.49median
$2$3.30
Median $2.49Middle half $2.37 – $2.61
China Nominal GDP in 2026
$21.39median
$19$22.40
Median $21.39Middle half $21.14 – $21.82
France Nominal GDP in 2026
$3.59median
$3.10$4.60
Median $3.59Middle half $3.46 – $3.76
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions