Will NYC ban horse-drawn carriages in 2026?
96%chance▼ 2
Install
Will Democrats hold a midterm convention? (Before Nov 3, 2026)
The odds
2%chance▲ 1
How the odds have moved
Yes: 3% on Oct 19, 2% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 2% | ▲ 1 | 0¢ | 3¢ | $29.41 | 18.8K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Democrats
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WATCH LIVE: Barack Obama campaigns with Ohio Democrats in ClevelandFormer President Barack Obama speaks at a Cleveland campaign rally to support Ohio Democrats including former Senator Sherrod Brown. WATCH LIVE: Barack Obama campaigns with Ohio Democrats in Cleveland Former President Barack Obama speaks… -
Forced to pick, Grok’s AI model chooses Republicans. OpenAI’s picks Democrats.Buy One Founder Summit Ticket, Get a Second for Free. Register now. Most AI chatbots won’t outright tell you who to vote for, but some of the models behind them will. A new study found that when forced to choose in this year’s upcoming… -
Democrats see an opening in secretary of state races in red terrainAs the midterm battleground increasingly shifts to red territory, Democrats hope a favorable national environment will translate to winning lower-profile offices that have long eluded the party. As the midterm battleground increasingly… -
‘Made by humans, not AI.’ Why Democrats are shunning fake videos in adsBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. A clear trend has… -
Woman in ad who said a Democrat endangers kids pleaded guilty to endangering kidsBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. A Republican woman in… -
Obama returning as campaign "closer-in-chief" for DemocratsFormer President Obama is hitting the campaign trail this weekend. Just how are Democrats banking on his star power to get them over the finish line? CNN's Arlette Saenz has the details. Obama returning as campaign ‘closer-in-chief’ for… -
Democrat James Talarico targets Elon Musk at rally: ‘Texas is not for sale’The Senate candidate denounced opponent Ken Paxton, calling out corruption allegations and support from Musk James Talarico, the Democratic candidate for the US Senate in Texas, has taken aim at Elon Musk, warning that the tech mogul is… -
Map Shows Where Top 2028 Democrats Are Campaigning Ahead of MidtermsOct 23, 2026 at 06:38 PM EDT Potential 2028 Democratic presidential candidates like former Vice President Kamala Harris, Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg are hitting the campaign… -
How Democrats could win the House, how the GOP could hang on, and where to look for a waveDemocrats must compete deeper in territory Trump won in 2024 to make big gains in this year’s midterms, but the political environment is on their side. In 2024, America swung to the right, powering Donald Trump back to the White House with… -
Ken Paxton blasts James Talarico as 'radical Democrat' during Texas campaign stopTexas Attorney General Ken Paxton criticized Democratic U.S. Senate candidate James Talarico during a campaign stop, accusing him of supporting socialist policies. Ken Paxton blasts James Talarico as 'radical Democrat' during Texas… -
Government agencies are blaming the shutdown on Democrats. Ethics experts say it could be against the law.Handfuls of agencies posted statements to their websites Wednesday, alerting Americans that the government has officially shut down and that the "radical left” is responsible. The West Lawn of the Capitol and the National Mall stretch into… -
Top Democrats including Newsom, Pelosi hold "Take It Back" rally in San FranciscoCBS News Bay Area is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KPIX-TV and channel 5, CBS News Bay Area offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Top Democrats…
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2 more
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Will Jasmine Crockett campaign for James Talarico?
35%chance▼ 8
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Apr 30, 2027even chance by
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Will California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?
61%chance
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions