October Inflation China - Annual
0.77%median
0.5%1.4%
Median 0.77%Middle half 0.71% – 0.95%
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FAO Food Price Index for October (October 2026)
The odds
135.1median
130141
Median 135.1Middle half 133.3 – 136.4
How the odds have moved
Median: 134.7 on Oct 20, 135.1 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 131.0 | 95% | ▲ 5 | 90¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | |
| Above 132.0 | 89% | ▲ 11 | 85¢ | 93¢ | $1.08 | 213 |
| Above 133.0 | 78% | ▲ 12 | 74¢ | 81¢ | $1.23 | 1.1K |
| Above 134.0 | 70% | ▲ 11 | 66¢ | 74¢ | $1.35 | 400 |
| Above 135.0 | 54% | ▲ 9 | 49¢ | 58¢ | $1.72 | 313 |
| Above 136.0 | 29% | 32¢ | $3.13 | 255 | ||
| Above 137.0 | 20% | ▲ 3 | 15¢ | 24¢ | $4.17 | 73.00 |
| Above 138.0 | 9% | ▲ 2 | 5¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | |
| Above 139.0 | 5% | ▲ 1 | 1¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | 240 |
| Above 140.0 | 4% | 7¢ | $14.29 | 356 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: FAO Food Price Index
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Global food inflation may intensify as supply shocks pile upMuhamad Yasin, a 63-year-old parking attendant in central Jakarta, says he has cut back on meals as rising prices have put food staples beyond his reach. “I used to be able to get rice, tempeh and tofu for 7,000 to 8,000 rupiah ($0.39 to… -
Global food inflation expected to rise through 2027SINGAPORE/JAKARTA - Global food inflation is expected to rise in the coming months and remain elevated through 2027. Shipping disruptions caused by war, rising fertiliser costs and El Niño-driven drought threaten cereal supplies and are… -
On World Food Day, WFP promotes innovation and early action as shocks to the global food system mountWFP warns that El Niño could worsen food insecurity through 2027, threatening vulnerable communities and driving greater hunger worldwide. We know that choosing where to give your time, trust or support is a big decision — and asking… -
Global inflation jumps as supply shocks pile up“All this has put considerable pressure on the system,” said Maximo Torero, chief economist at the United Nations’ Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO). “We will see a bigger impact towards the end of the year, at the beginning of next… -
Global food inflation is expected to intensify as supply shocks pile upMuhamad Yasin, a 63-year-old parking attendant in central Jakarta, says he has cut back on meals as rising prices have put food staples beyond his reach. "I used to be able to get rice, tempeh and tofu for 7,000 to 8,000 rupiah ($0.39 to… -
World food inflation set to accelerate as supply shocks pile upMuhamad Yasin, a 63-year-old parking attendant in central Jakarta, says he has cut back on meals as rising prices have put food staples beyond his reach. "I used to be able to get rice, tempeh and tofu for 7,000 to 8,000 rupiah ($0.39 to… - Analysis-Global food inflation is expected to intensify as supply shocks pile upBy Naveen Thukral and Bernadette Christina SINGAPORE/JAKARTA, Oct 19 (Reuters) – Muhamad Yasin, a 63-year-old parking attendant in central Jakarta, says he has cut back on meals as rising prices have put food staples beyond his reach. “I…
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Trump Eases Russian Oil Sanctions Threat, Improving India’s Position in US Trade TalksUS President Donald Trump’s decision to pause Russian oil sanctions legislation has eased pressure on India’s crude imports. India remains heavily dependent on imported crude oil, meeting more than 88% of its requirements through overseas… -
FAO Food Price Index up for third consecutive month largely on rising vegetable oil pricesIndex also impacted by increases in cereal and rice prices amid disruptions linked to Strait of Hormuz crisis The benchmark of world food commodity prices rose in April for a third consecutive month amid elevated energy costs and… -
FAO Food Price Index rises in March as Near East conflict raises energy costsPressure on fertilizer supplies and elevated energy prices add uncertainty to markets, despite a broadly comfortable global cereal supply situation World food commodity prices rose in March for the second month in a row, due largely to…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions